Game 4 of the Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves is set to tip off at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 25, with the Nuggets entering as slight favorites with a 1.81x payout and 52% implied probability to win, via PrizePicks.
After the Nuggets won the first game of the series, it has been all Minnesota with back-to-back wins.
Below, we'll break down our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prediction and picks for Saturday’s playoff game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Don’t wait until lock — make your Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks on PrizePicks now for tonight’s NBA playoff game.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, April 25
The Nuggets came into the playoffs on a 12-game winning streak, and with a 116-105 win in Game 1, it looked like they might cruise to the conference semifinals. That narrative flipped in Game 2.
Denver finished the regular season leading the league with 121.6 points per game, but their 116.8 points per game allowed ranked 20th. Timberwolves F Jaden McDaniels pointed out Denver’s lack of defense, and he might be right because this has been the difference in the series. Minnesota has shot 47.0% from the floor, the fourth-highest among 16 playoff teams.
The Nuggets' offense flopped in Game 3, scoring under 100 points for the first time since January 18. Game 3 was pure domination, with the Timberwolves holding a double-digit lead from 3:38 left in the first quarter onward.
Minnesota had one of the better defenses in the regular season, ranking eighth in defensive rating (112.5), according to NBA.com. It’s maintaining its exceptional defensive play, ranking sixth in the playoffs (106.5).
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, April 25
The Nuggets enter Saturday’s game as slight favorites on the road against the Timberwolves, returning a 1.81 payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Nuggets -1.5
- Over/Under: 229.5
- Game Winner Payout: Nuggets - 1.81x | Timberwolves - 1.92x
Play the Nuggets vs. Timberwolves spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Timeline
Here is the full Nuggets vs. Timberwolves timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Nuggets, 101-72
Regular Season: Nuggets, 3-1
Series: Timberwolves, 2-1
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves First Round Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs
- Game 1: Nuggets 116, Timberwolves 105
- Game 2: Timberwolves 119, Nuggets 114
- Game 3: Timberwolves 113, Nuggets 96
- Game 4: Saturday, April 25, 8:30 p.m. ET in Minnesota
- Game 5: Monday, April 27, 10:30 p.m. ET in Denver
- Games 6 and 7, if necessary
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Prediction on Spread for NBA Playoffs First Round
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prediction on the spread for Saturday, April 25.
Lock in your Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Timberwolves are the top 3-point defense in the league, allowing the fewest 3-pointers per game (12.1).
- That has impacted the Nuggets in this series, as they are hitting the third-fewest triples per game (11.0) among all playoff teams. Keep in mind Denver finished 10th in this category in the regular season (14.2).
- Minnesota has controlled the boards in this series, leading the playoffs with 48.0 rebounds per game.
- The Nuggets were an average rebounding team, ranking 14th in the regular season (44.0).
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 4/25/26
Here are the top Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks to target in the NBA Playoffs on PrizePicks for Saturday, April 25. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include Ayo Dosunmu and Nikola Jokic.
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Timberwolves G Ayo Dosunmu Projection vs. Nuggets: 15.5 Pts + Asts
- The trade deadline acquisition took over Game 3, leading the team with 25 points and 9 assists.
- He’s been a confident pick with more than 15 combined points and assists in 12 of his last 15 games.
- Dosunmu has elevated his 3.6 assists per game to 5.0 in this series.
- When the Nuggets give up a basket, it’s usually accompanied by an assist, proven by their 64.3% assist rate allowed (21st), per Dunks & Threes.
Add Ayo Dosunmu to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Nuggets C Nikola Jokic vs. Timberwolves Projection: 24 Rebs + Asts
- Jokic seems to be out of sync recently and has fallen short of his rebounds and assists projection in three of his last four games.
- Minnesota is a place where the Joker struggles and has not met his combined rebounds and assists projection in three of his last four games at Target Center.
- In the 2024 Western Conference semifinals, the T-Wolves did well at keeping the three-time MVP off the glass. Jokic didn’t reach double-digit rebounds in four of the seven games, including two of the three matchups in Minnesota.
- In the second and fourth quarters, his rebounding and assists take a sharp decline, averaging 2.1 rebounds and 2.1 assists per quarter, compared to 4.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists in the first and third quarters.
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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves on PrizePicks for Game 4
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Nuggets vs. Timberwolves live picks in tonight’s game.
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- During the regular season, the Nuggets had a better net rating than the Timberwolves in the first and third quarters, but in the second and fourth quarters, the Timberwolves had the higher net rating.
- Timberwolves C Rudy Gobert gets the majority of his boards early in this series, as his 3.5 rebounds per first quarter is his highest quarter average thus far.
- Each team likes to start their games slow, with the Nuggets 21st (101.2) and the Timberwolves 18th (101.8) for first-quarter pace.
- The start and end of the game are where Nuggets G Jamal Murray is at his best, averaging 7.3 points in the first and fourth quarters.
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Make Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Playoffs Picks on PrizePicks
This could be a huge turning point in the series; either Minnesota takes a commanding 3-1 lead or Denver can knot up the series with three games remaining in the series.
Don’t wait until lock — make your Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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