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NFL Week 18 Picks for PrizePicks: Justin Jefferson For 1,000, Bo Nix For 4,000?

Vikings WR sits in the end zone in an NFL game.
AP Photo/Samantha Chow

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson is in the midst of a disappointing campaign, but another 1,000 season is within reach. Bears QB Caleb Williams and Broncos QB Bo Nix will also shoot for memorable numbers when they face, respectively, the Lions and the Chargers with aims on a 4,000-yard season.

Below, we'll discuss Jefferson, Williams, and Nix, then get into more of the top NFL Week 18 Picks for PrizePicks, including some quick picks.

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Quick PrizePicks Picks for NFL Week 18

Here are some quick PrizePicks DFS picks for NFL Week 18, including projections for pass yards, rush yards, and receiving yards.

Colts QB Riley Leonard vs. Texans Projection – 168.5 Pass Yards

  • With the Colts having been eliminated for the playoffs, QB Riley Leonard will start in place of QB Philip Rivers.
  • The Texans have allowed the fourth-fewest passing yards per game (177.6) in the league.
  • Houston should deploy their starters as normal since they still have an opportunity to win the AFC South.

Bears RB Kyle Monangai vs. Lions Projection – 39.5 Rush Yards

  • Bears RB Kyle Monangai has rushed for at least 48 yards in four of his last six games. During that span, he received at least 8 carries in all six games.
  • Bears QB D’Andre Swift reached 1,000 rushing yards for the season last week. If the Bears race out to a big lead early against a Lions team that has already been eliminated from the playoffs, Monangai could receive additional carries late in the game as the Bears try to keep Swift fresh for the playoffs.

Broncos WR Courtland Sutton vs. Chargers Projection – 59.5 Receiving Yards

  • Broncos WR Courtland Sutton finished with 4 receptions for 40 yards in a 20-13 win over the Chiefs.
  • The Chargers will be resting some key starters with a playoff seed already in hand, including QB Justin Herbert.
  • If they have difficulty scoring against a Broncos team that has allowed just 19.3 points per game, Denver might not need to give Sutton a lot of targets to win the matchup.

NFL Week 18 Picks for PrizePicks

Here are the top NFL DFS picks for Week 18. Player projections via the PrizePicks real money NFL game.

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson vs. Packers Projection: 64.5 Receiving Yards

  • JETS has posted at least 1,000 receiving yards in each of the first five seasons of his career.
  • Coming into Week 18, the former first-round pick has 947 receiving yards this season.
  • Despite his disappointing season, Jefferson still has a 29.7% target share and has accounted for 38.3% of the Vikings’ air yards.
  • Packers head coach Matt LaFleur has already said that some of their starters won’t play against the Vikings.

Bears WR Caleb Williams vs. Lions Projection: 237.5 Pass Yards

  • No Bears quarterback has ever thrown for at least 4,000 yards in a season.
  • Williams needs 270 passing yards to reach 4,000 for the current campaign.
  • As the Bears have made their playoff push, the second-year signal caller has thrown for at least 242 yards in each of the last three games.
  • The Lions are tied for the ninth-most yards allowed per pass attempt (7.3) in the NFL.

Cardinals WR Michael Wilson vs. Rams Projection: 5.5 Receptions

  • Cardinals head coach Jonathan Gannon said that WR Marvin Harrison Jr. (foot) won’t play against the Rams.
  • Harrison has missed four games previously this season. In three of those games, Cardinals WR Michael Wilson finished with at least 10 receptions.
  • Over the four games without Harrison, Wilson averaged 15.0 targets and 10.3 receptions.
  • Harrison also sat out when the Cardinals faced the Rams in Week 14. In that game, Wilson dominated with 11 receptions for 142 yards and 2 TDs.

Giants RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. vs. Cowboys Projection:  62.5 Rush Yards

  • Giants RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. has received at least 14 rushing attempts in six of his last seven games.
  • With added carries coming his way, the second-year back rushed for at least 62 yards in all six. That included four contests with at least 70 rushing yards.
  • Per RotoWire, Tracy has a 16.5% broken tackle rate and averaged 2.6 yards after contact.
  • The Cowboys have permitted the seventh-most yards per carry to running backs (4.70) in the NFL.

Broncos QB Bo Nix vs. Chargers Projection: 33 Pass Attempts

  • Nix has attempted at least 34 passes in each of his last six games.
  • Part of the reason for Nix’s heavy pass attempts lately is because the Broncos have played in a lot of close games. Over those six, two of their wins came by 3 or fewer. They did not take any of those games by more than 8 points.
  • With the Chargers resting Herbert and possibly more of their starters, there is blowout potential in this game.
  • Even with the Broncos losing to the Chargers in Week 3, Nix only attempted 25 passes in the game.

Titans TE Chig Okonkwo vs. Jaguars Projection: 3.5 Receptions

  • Titans TE Chig Okonkwo has received a total of 21 targets over the last three games.
  • The fourth-year tight end came away with at least 4 receptions in two of those games. In the other, he just missed with 3 catches.
  • The Jaguars have permitted the fourth-most receptions to tight ends (101) in the NFL.
  • When Okonkwo faced Jacksonville in Week 13, he caught 4 of 5 targets for 29 yards.
  • With the Titans lacking weapons at wide receiver, Okonkwo has been targeted on 20.6% of his routes.

Make NFL Week 18 Picks on PrizePicks

Jefferson, Williams, and Nix will chase individual milestones in Week 18, putting their projections front and center for the Sunday slate.

Wilson could shine this week with Harrison sitting out the Cardinals’ season finale.

On the flip side, the Broncos might not ask Nix to throw a lot if they race out to an early lead against a Chargers team that will be resting some of their starters.

With plenty of positions and projection categories to consider, now is the time to build your NFL Lineup on PrizePicks. Just pick More or Less for at least two NFL player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Check out the Playbook for more NFL DFS picks and analysis throughout the playoffs.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Mike Barner has been covering fantasy sports since 2007. He specializes in the NBA, NFL, and MLB. He is a two-time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writers Association Basketball Writer of the Year award and won the 2021-22 FSGA NBA Experts Champions league. In addition to PrizePicks, Mike has written for Sports Illustrated, RotoWire, SportsLine, and more.

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