We have two potentially contrasting Conference Championship games for Sunday. On the NFC side, Rams QB Matthew Stafford and Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba will face off in a battle between two dangerous offenses. Points could be difficult to come by on the AFC side, especially with the Broncos down to backup QB Jarrett Stidham against the Patriots.
Below, we'll discuss Stafford and Smith-Njigba, and get into more of the NFL Conference Championship games picks for PrizePicks.
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NFL Conference Championship Games Picks for PrizePicks
Here are the top picks for the NFL Conference Championship games. Player projections via the PrizePicks real money NFL game.
Rams QB Matthew Stafford vs. Seahawks Projection: 1.5 Pass TDs
- Stafford did not record a touchdown in the Rams 20-17 win over the Bears in the Divisional Round.
- Prior to last week, the MVP candidate had posted at least 2 TDs through the air in 12 straight games.
- During the regular season, Stafford only had two games in which he failed to record multiple TD passes.
- The former Super Bowl champ had 2 TDs in a 21-19 home win over the Seahawks in Week 11. He racked up 3 scores through the air against them in a 38-37 loss in Week 16 in Seattle.
Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba vs. Rams Projection: 9.5 Rec Targets
- The Seahawks dominated the 49ers last week, winning 41-6. After taking an early lead, they only needed to throw the ball 17 times, which resulted in just 4 targets for Smith-Njigba.
- No Seahawks wide receiver saw more than 5 targets versus the Niners.
- Smith-Njigba received at least 10 targets in a game eight times during the regular season. That included both games against the Rams when he came away with 12 and 13 targets.
- The third-year wideout led Seattle with a 35.7% target share.
Rams RB Kyren Williams vs. Seahawks Projection: 55.5 Rush Yards
- Rams RB Kyren Williams received 21 carries against the Bears. He turned them into 82 yards and 2 TDs.
- Williams has posted at least 57 rushing yards in both of his 2025 playoff games.
- The fourth-year back has appeared in six career playoff games, never finishing with fewer than 57 rushing yards.
- In two regular season meetings with the Seahawks, Williams rushed for 91 and 70 yards.
Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson vs. Broncos Projection: 12.5 Rush Attempts
- Patriots RB Rhamondre Stevenson had 16 carries in a 28-16 win over the Texans in the Divisional Round. He finished with 70 yards.
- Fellow Patriots RB TreVeyon Henderson has not been effective in the playoffs. Over two games, he rushed 21 times for only 52 yards.
- Stevenson has proven difficult to bring down. Per RotoWire, he had a 23.1% broken tackle rate this season and averaged 3.5 yards after contact. Henderson only had an 11.7% broken tackle rate.
- The Broncos allowed 117 yards on 24 rush attempts to Bills RB James Cook III in a 33-30 overtime win last week.
Patriots WR Kayshon Boutte vs. Broncos Projection: 36.5 Receiving Yards
- Patriots WR Kayshon Boutte recorded at least 66 receiving yards in both playoff games for the Patriots.
- During the regular season, the former sixth-round pick had an average depth of target of 16.7 yards.
- Although Boutte only had a 9.5% target share, he was responsible for 17.7% of the Patriots’ air yards.
- The Broncos gave up 10 receptions of at least 40 yards during the regular season, tied for the fourth-most in the NFL.
Broncos RB RJ Harvey vs. Patriots Projection: 42.5 Rush Yards
- Broncos RB RJ Harvey was limited to 20 rushing yards by the Bills last week.
- The rookie running back only averaged 3.7 yards per carry during the regular season.
- Broncos RB J.K. Dobbins (foot) has participated in practice this week and could return from injured reserve.
- The Patriots allowed the sixth-fewest yards per carry to running backs (3.93) during the regular season. In their two playoff games, they have given up a total of 61 rushing yards to running backs.
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NFL Conference Championship Games Picks on PrizePicks
Stafford looks to carry over his regular season success against the Seahawks to earn a trip to the Super Bowl. In what could be a closer game than the Seahawks saw last week, Jaxon Smith-Njigba could be in line for a hefty workload
On the AFC side, Stevenson and Boutte could be unsung heroes for the Patriots, while Harvey might be facing an uphill battle to be productive.
With plenty of positions and projection categories to consider, now is the time to build your NFL Lineup on PrizePicks. Just pick More or Less for at least two NFL player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Check out the Playbook for more NFL picks and analysis throughout the playoffs.
