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Michigan State vs. Michigan Pick Against the Spread for Sunday, March 8

Michigan State Spartans G Jeremy Fears Jr. dribbles up the floor against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.
AP Photo/Noah K. Murray

As the sun sets on another fantastic college basketball regular season, we get to close it out with a heated in-state rivalry when the Michigan State Spartans (25-5) head to the Crisler Center to take on the Michigan Wolverines (28-2).

Michigan won the first meeting between these two teams earlier this year, 83-71. They also lead the all-time series against Michigan State, 104-92, but it's the Spartans who have dominated the recent meetings, going 35-16 since 1999.

Michigan State vs. Michigan tips off at 4:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, live on CBS.

Who may have an advantage for Sunday’s Michigan State vs. Michigan pick against the spread? Use PrizePicks Team Picks to make predictions on game winners, spreads, over/unders, and more.

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Michigan State vs. Michigan Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

It’s been a great season for Michigan State. They've won five straight games and are 15-4 in conference play while currently occupying the No. 2 seed in the Big Ten. A win for State would go a long way toward tournament seeding, especially given MSU's proximity to Nebraska in the standings.

The Spartans have been led all season by G Jeremy Fears Jr., who leads the Big Ten in assists per game at 9.1. Fears has topped the team in assists in every game and may have to be at his very best if Michigan State hopes to pull off the upset today in Ann Arbor.

Michigan has been absolutely dominant. They entered the year ranked seventh in the AP poll and have blown those expectations out of the water. They are currently both KenPom and Bart Torvik’s second-ranked team in the country.

“Yes” on the Wolverines to win the Big Ten tournament is currently returning a 1.78x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks.

Michigan State vs. Michigan Spread, Over/Under

The Wolverines enter Sunday’s game as 8.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.19x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Spartans are road underdogs with a 4.54x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: Michigan Wolverines -8.5 (1.96x payout)
  • Over/Under: 150.5 (1.92x payout on over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Michigan State 4.54x | Michigan 1.19x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.


Michigan State vs. Michigan Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Michigan State vs. Michigan prediction on the spread for Sunday, March 8, on PrizePicks.

  • Michigan State is 10-8-1 (55.6%) against the spread (ATS) in conference games.
  • Michigan is 8-11-0 (42.1%) ATS in the Big Ten, the fourth-worst record in the conference.
  • Michigan State ranks fourth in offensive rebounding percentage (38.7%) and first in defensive rebounding percentage (22.5%).
  • Another part of Michigan's size dominance displays itself by way of the second-highest 2-point field goal percentage in the country (62%). 
  • Michigan State can hold its own in that category defensively, though, ranking 36th in the country and holding opponents to just 47.4% from 2-point range.

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Make #8 Michigan State vs. #3 Michigan Picks on PrizePicks

Will Michigan be able to defend its home court and close out a dominant season in a similar fashion, or will Michigan State avenge its loss to the Wolverines earlier this year and secure the No. 2 seed in the Big Ten?

You can make your Michigan State vs. Michigan picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states

Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Adi Narang is a professional sports bettor and New York University graduate in Sports Management. A lifelong Denver sports fan, he’s spent over a decade applying data-driven analysis to trends, pricing, and game-level predictions. He’s always up for a sports conversation — from a Nikola Jokić GOAT debate to Korean Baseball batting orders.

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