Miami vs. Ole Miss Prediction on Spread for Fiesta Bowl, CFP Semifinals

Ole Miss Rebels head coach Pete Golding on the sideline against the Georgia Bulldogs in the CFP Quarterfinals.
AP Photo/Matthew Hinton Hinton

Long live the underdogs. It was upset galore in the CFP Quarterfinals last week, with both Miami and Ole Miss upsetting their respective opponents, Ohio State and Georgia.

Miami wreaked havoc on Ohio State’s offensive line thanks to DEs Rueben Bain Jr. and Akheem Mesidor. Can they mimic that performance vs. the elusive Rebels QB Trinidad Chambliss? The star signal-caller just dropped 362 yards and 2 TDs on the Bulldogs, making incredible plays outside the pocket.

Thursday night reveals the answer when Miami and Ole Miss kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday in Glendale, AZ, on ESPN.

Below, we'll cover a Miami vs. Ole Miss spread prediction for the Fiesta Bowl, as well as some CFP Semifinal trends to monitor with PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks.

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Miami vs. Ole Miss Over/Under, Spread for CFP Semifinals

Miami opened as 3-point favorites vs. Ole Miss. Since then, they have moved to 3.5-point favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks

The Hurricanes return a 1.58x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright. Ole Miss is the underdog with a 2.27x payout if they win.

The over/under total opened at 52.5 and has since dropped to 51.5 on PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Miami Hurricanes -3.5 (2x payout)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (1.78x payout on over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Hurricanes 1.58x | Rebels 2.27x

Team Picks payouts are live as of writing and are subject to change.


Miami vs. Ole Miss Prediction on Spread

Below, we’ll give you a Miami vs. Ole Miss spread pick for Thursday's CFP Semifinal game. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make CFB picks and earn money if you’re right.

  • If anyone can neutralize Miami’s elite defensive line, it may be Chambliss and the Rebels. Chambliss has just a 13% pressure-to-sack ratio and a 1.9% turnover-worthy rate.
  • One way to mitigate a pass rush is to play with tempo; Ole Miss does just that. This season, they're 20th in plays per second.
  • Ole Miss has a top-10 offensive line in both pressure rate and sack EPA.
  • Miami is in the bottom 10 in missed tackle rate, and Ole Miss is top five in missed tackle rate forced.
  • According to Game on Paper, this could be a matchup for Miami’s run game to exploit. Ole Miss’ defense is a lowly 138th in EPA/rush allowed at 0.17.
  • Miami’s offense hasn’t been particularly explosive running the ball yet, sitting 105th in EPA/rush at -0.06.
  • Ole Miss has the fifth-best special teams group in the nation, led by projected future NFL kicker Lucas Carneiro.

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Make Miami vs. Ole Miss Picks on PrizePicks

Miami vs. Ole Miss presents an interesting clash of styles. A fast-paced, explosive Ole Miss offense faces a Miami team that relies more on methodical drives. As the Hurricanes aim to take another step towards winning their first national title since 2001, the Rebels try to work their way to capturing their first since 1962.

You can make Miami vs. Ole Miss picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on CFP winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.

Keep it locked in here with the Playbook for continued CFB picks, predictions, and news all season long.


Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

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about the author

Adi Narang is a professional sports bettor and New York University graduate in Sports Management. A lifelong Denver sports fan, he’s spent over a decade applying data-driven analysis to trends, pricing, and game-level predictions. He’s always up for a sports conversation — from a Nikola Jokić GOAT debate to Korean Baseball batting orders.

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