The Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings game is set to tip off at 9 p.m. ET on Thursday, June 11, televised on Amazon Prime Video. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Wings enter as 7.5-point favorites on the spread, with a 1.36x payout if they win.
The Wings (7-4) look to bounce back after their four-game winning streak ended in Tuesday’s 100-76 blowout loss at Minnesota.
The Mercury (4-9) wrap up a four-game road trip, which started with victories at Seattle and Portland. Phoenix fell short at Golden State on Tuesday, 87-81, but managed a cover as 7.5-point underdogs.
Below, we'll break down our Mercury vs. Wings prediction and picks for Thursday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Mercury vs. Wings Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, June 11
Dallas has made plenty of strides this season, winning seven games after picking up only 10 victories in 2025. The Wings are averaging 88.2 points per game (PPG), an improvement from last season’s 81.7 PPG.
Top pick Azzi Fudd has shown some flashes of brilliance, scoring 24 and 22 points in consecutive wins over the Liberty and Aces, respectively. However, the former UConn star has compiled 26 points in the last three games combined.
The Wings allowed at least 100 points in Tuesday’s setback to Minnesota for the first time since their opening day win over the Fever. Dallas’ defense ranks last in the WNBA in field goal percentage allowed at 47.5%.
The Mercury split their first four games before going on a six-game slide. Phoenix held off Seattle, 72-68, to snap its cold streak, followed by a 78-72 triumph at Portland.
In Tuesday’s defeat to the Valkyries, the Mercury fell behind at the half, 49-32. Phoenix outscored Golden State, 49-38 in the second half to grab consecutive covers for the first time this season.
Mercury vs. Wings Spread, Over/Under – Thursday, June 11
The Wings enter Thursday’s game as 7.5-point home favorites against the Mercury, returning a 1.36x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Mercury vs. Wings game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Dallas Wings -7.5 (2.12x payout)
- Over/Under: 167.5 (1.63x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Mercury 3.03x | Wings 1.36x
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Mercury vs. Wings Injury Report for Thursday, June 11
Let’s dive into the full Mercury vs. Wings injury report for Thursday, June 11, via WNBA.com.
Phoenix Mercury Injury Report
- G Sami Whitcomb (knee) - OUT
Dallas Wings Injury Report
- F Awak Kuier (wrist) - Probable
- G Odyssey Sims (ankle) - OUT
Mercury vs. Wings Prediction on Winner – 6/11/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Mercury vs. Wings prediction on the winner for Thursday, June 11, in the WNBA game on Prime Video
- Dallas and Phoenix split four matchups last season with the home team winning each time.
- None of the games were competitive, with the lowest margin of victory being nine points.
- The Wings won both home games as a substantial underdog (+11.5 and +5.5), but are flipped to a favorite against Phoenix for the first time since 2023.
- The Mercury posted their best field goal percentage (46.2%) in the last 11 games in Tuesday’s loss at Golden State.
- Dallas has knocked down at least 10 3-pointers in five games, one of four teams to accomplish this feat.
- In five of the first six games, the Mercury scored at least 84 points. In each of the past seven contests, Phoenix has failed to bust the 81-point mark.
- According to WNBA.com, Dallas owns the third-best offensive rating in the league at 110.6, which is one point shy of the leader, Minnesota.
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Mercury vs. Wings Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 6/11/26
Here are the top Mercury vs. Wings picks to target on PrizePicks for Thursday, June 11. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Alyssa Thomas and Paige Bueckers.
Mercury F Alyssa Thomas vs. Wings: 23.5 Pts+Rebs
- Thomas is averaging 15.6 PPG and 7.1 rebounds per game. Her scoring average is the highest of her 12-year career.
- After finishing below this projection in four consecutive games, Thomas posted 22 points and 8 rebounds against Golden State.
- In four matchups with Dallas last season, the former Maryland star put up 24 combined points and rebounds once.
- Her combined points and rebounds average on the road (24.0) is slightly above her home numbers (20.8).
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Wings G Paige Bueckers vs. Mercury: 18.5 Points
- Bueckers leads Dallas in scoring at 18.7 PPG, slightly down from her 19.2 PPG average in her rookie season.
- The 2025 top pick scored 23 points in Tuesday’s loss at Minnesota after scoring 28 points in the previous two games.
- In three of four matchups with Phoenix last season, Bueckers topped the 23-point mark.
- The ex-UConn standout is hitting 50% of her 3-point tries at home, compared to 33.3% on the road. The Mercury are allowing 38% from deep, the worst in the league.
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Make Your Mercury vs. Wings Prediction on PrizePicks
The Wings have been the surprise of the league so far as they look to bounce back from Tuesday’s loss. Can Dallas take care of business at home against a struggling Phoenix squad?
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Mercury vs. Wings picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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