Lynx vs. Sun Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Wednesday, July 8

There’s a trio of games on Wednesday’s WNBA slate, and the middle one pits perhaps the league’s best team against its worst when the Minnesota Lynx face the Connecticut Sun at 7:30 p.m. ET on USA Network.

That’s reflected in the midweek data from PrizePicks Team Picks. Entering the clash, Minnesota is favored by 6.5 points on the road and returns a 1.33x payout with a win despite its best player being banged up. Can Connecticut take advantage and come away with a rare triumph against an elite foe?  

Below, we'll break down our Lynx vs. Sun prediction and picks for Wednesday’s WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Lynx vs. Sun prediction on PrizePicks now.

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Lynx vs. Sun Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 8

Pretty much all the Lynx have known since 2010 is being competitive under head coach Cheryl Reeve, and 2026 is no different. The club is 15-6 and looking to get over the hump after falling short in the playoffs as of late. 

A dominant offense has Minnesota firing on all cylinders, as its 112.8 rating is the club’s highest ever. A lot of that is thanks to No. 2 overall WNBA Draft pick Olivia Miles, but the guard is nursing an injury heading into Wednesday’s game.

Elsewhere, Minny is fueled by contributions from F Natasha Howard and guards Courtney Williams and Kayla McBride, all of whom are averaging at least 15 points. This is one of basketball’s most efficient attacks, and opposing defenses haven’t had an answer to this point.

The prospect of the Sun being the ones to slow down the Lynx isn’t pretty. Head coach Rachid Meziane has led the club to just a 5-16 record in 2026, but that does include a 3-1 mark in the last four contests. An anemic offense is the main culprit for Connecticut’s lack of success. 

It is worth noting that one of those victories was on Monday against this very Lynx team in Minnesota, serving as one of the staple outings of the Sun’s season. They’ll face off again later this season on September 20 as well. 

Prior to Wednesday’s play, Minnesota is tied with the Las Vegas Aces for the best record in the WNBA. Connecticut is on the complete opposite end of that spectrum, holding one fewer win and loss than the Seattle Storm. 

Lynx vs. Sun Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, July 8

The Lynx enter Wednesday’s game as 6.5-point road favorites against the Sun, returning a 1.33x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

Here are the full payouts for the Lynx vs. Sun game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Minnesota Lynx -6.5 (1.85x payout)
• Over/Under: 166.5 (1.81x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Lynx 1.33x | Sun 3.03x

Make your Lynx vs. Sun prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Lynx vs. Sun Injury Report for Wednesday, July 8

Let’s dive into the full Lynx vs. Sun injury report for Wednesday, July 8, via WNBA.com.

Minnesota Lynx Injury Report

• F Emma Cechova (knee): OUT
• F Napheesa Collier (ankle): OUT
• G Olivia Miles (calf): Doubtful

Connecticut Sun Injury Report

• F Aneesah Morrow (personal): OUT

Lynx vs. Sun Prediction on Spread – 7/8/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Lynx vs. Sun prediction on the spread for Wednesday, July 8’s game. 

• There aren’t many better teams at covering as a road favorite than Minnesota, who is 7-1 against the spread in such scenarios. Connecticut is just 3-5 ATS as home underdogs.
• The 3-point battle heavily leans in the Lynx’s favor. Not only do they lead the league in shooting at 36.6%, but they also hold opponents to the third-lowest percentage at 31.4%. The Sun are dead last (28.0%) and third-worst (35.2%), respectively.
• Connecticut routinely allows the other team to get going early, sporting the second-highest scoring allowance in the first quarter at 22.4 PPG. It comes as no surprise that Minnesota is ready to roll right out of the gate at 23.0 PPG (third). 
• There’s a huge gap between these two squads in net rating, with the Lynx leading the league at +12.4 and the Sun being 14th at -8.5. The difference between first and second place is larger than second through seventh. 
• Simply put, Minnesota gets far better looks than Connecticut. Per databallr, the former’s +7.2 net shooting efficiency (second) blows the latter’s -11.7 (15th) out of the water. 

Lock in your Lynx vs. Sun prediction on PrizePicks before tonight’s WNBA game.

Lynx vs. Sun Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/8/26

Here are the top Lynx vs. Sun picks to target on Wednesday, July 8. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include F Natasha Howard, G Courtney Williams, and C Brittney Griner. 

Lynx F Natasha Howard vs. Sun: 24.5 Pts + Rebs

• Twenty-one games into her season, Howard is putting up a combined 25.2 points and rebounds each time out. 
• The veteran forward is shooting an ugly 12.5% from downtown, but her career-best 59.8% field goal clip is attributed to tremendous effectiveness near the rim (73.0% from 0-3 feet).
• Howard’s 24.4% usage rate is right in line with a 24.3% benchmark for her career, emphasizing that the 34-year-old has no plans on slowing down anytime soon.
• A 13.7% offensive rebound rate is Howard’s highest share since she posted a 13.8% mark in 2020 — her best ever. 

Add Natasha Howard to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Lynx G Courtney Williams vs. Sun: 30.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Williams’ per-game average of 25.8 points, rebounds, and assists is below Wednesday’s projection. With that said, she managed to produce 38 PRA in Monday’s upset win with Miles sitting on the sideline.
• According to databallr, in lineups with Williams on but Miles off, the Lynx are 7.0% above league-average efficiency from midrange and 4.8% better on 3-pointers.
• A premier shooter from deep, Williams is hoisting 3.4 treys each night and making 41.7% of them. 
• The former member of Connecticut has held a double-digit total rebounding clip in every season since 2018. 

Add Courtney Williams to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Sun C Brittney Griner vs. Lynx: 20.5 Pts + Rebs

• In 13 games this year, Griner’s averaged 19.3 points and rebounds. She’s coming off a massive 29-point, 10-rebound effort on Monday.
• Griner is impactful on short-distance shots. She takes a combined 72.4% of her attempts within 10 feet, making 63.0% from 0-3 feet and 56.9% from 3-10. 
• The Lynx allow the opposition to try them on the interior, surrendering the eight-highest split of attempts at the rim (30.3%). 
• Griner’s offensive (6.9%) and defensive (15.4%) rebounding rates slot into the 73rd and 76th percentiles, respectively. 

Add Brittney Griner to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Lynx vs. Sun Picks on PrizePicks

As the WNBA season rolls on, Minnesota is fueled by a rookie sensation and has its eyes set on pursuing a championship. Connecticut can’t say the same, but there’s always time to reverse course a bit in what’s been an absolutely grueling campaign. 

Which side will come out on top Wednesday night? Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Lynx vs. Sun picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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