NFC North rivals Detroit and Minnesota are going in different directions with two weeks remaining in the regular season.
The Lions (8-7) owned the top seed in the NFC last year, but are on the verge of getting left out of the playoffs after losing three of their past four games.
The Vikings (7-8) were left for dead after getting shut out at Seattle in Week 13. Minnesota turned things around following a four-game slide to win three straight games, but the Vikes are eliminated from playoff contention.
Minnesota knocked off Detroit at Ford Field, 27-24 as 9.5-point underdog in Week 9. The Vikings snapped a five-game skid to the Lions dating back to 2022.
Let’s look at the ions vs. Vikings over/under OR spread and prediction for the Christmas Day showdown at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, kicking off at 4:30 p.m. ET on Netflix.
Lions vs. Vikings Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Both squads compiled 7-8 against the spread records through 15 games. The Lions hit the Over 10 times, while Minnesota is 8-7 to the Over.
Lions vs. Vikings Over/Under, Spread
The Lions enter this matchup as 7.5-point favorites, returning a 1.25x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Vikings are home underdogs with a 3.57x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Detroit Lions -7.5
- Over/Under: 42.5
- Game Winner Payout: Lions 1.25x | Vikings 3.57x
(Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change)
Lions vs. Vikings Over/Under OR Spread Prediction
Here are some stats to know to get you set for Lions vs. Vikings today, including insights on our Lions vs. Vikings prediction.
- Prior to Sunday’s 29-24 home defeat to the Steelers, the Lions compiled an impressive 15-0 straight-up and 14-1 against the spread mark off a loss since 2022.
- Detroit has covered the number once in the past six games, coming in Week 14 against Dallas in a 44-30 victory.
- The Lions are 2-0 ATS as a road favorite, crushing Cincinnati (37-24) and whipping Washington (44-22).
- In Minnesota’s Week 9 upset of Detroit, the Vikings limited the Lions to 65 rushing yards. The Lions were held to 15 yards on the ground on Sunday against the Steelers.
- The Vikings are back at home following road victories over the Cowboys (34-26) and Giants (16-13). Minnesota is 0-2 as a home underdog, falling to Baltimore (27-19) and Philadelphia (28-22).
- Minnesota QB J.J. McCarthy is sidelined with a fracture on his right hand. Max Brosmer takes over, marking the second start for the former Golden Gopher.
- Brosmer’s first start was one to forget, getting picked off four times in a 26-0 defeat at Seattle in Week 13.
- Minnesota ranks third in passing yards allowed per game (169.2). That number dropped after Giants QB Jaxson Dart posted 33 passing yards last Sunday. Four of the last five QBs facing the Vikings were held to fewer than 150 yards.
- Detroit captured the past two matchups in Minneapolis, including a 31-29 victory last season.
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The Lions look to end their two-game slide on Thursday against the Vikings, while also trying to avenge a home defeat.
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