America’s Game of the Week on FOX features an NFC battle between the Detroit Lions (8-5) and Los Angeles Rams (10-3).
L.A. enters Sunday holding the projected No. 1 playoff seed in the conference, whereas Detroit sits one game behind the Bears for the final wild card spot.
Below, we’ll break down our Lions vs. Rams prediction and NFL Week 15 picks for Sunday’s 4:25 p.m. ET kickoff and circle key player projections to consider on PrizePicks.
Lions vs. Rams Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Detroit has a 1.92x payout for "Yes" to make the NFL playoffs. The Rams continue to battle for an NFC West crown, carrying a 1.69x "Yes" payout to win the division.
Let’s jump into our Lions vs. Rams prediction. Choose from a wide variety of player projections and more for a chance to earn real money if you’re right at PrizePicks.
Lions vs. Rams Over/Under, Spread
PrizePicks Team Picks has Los Angeles favored by 6.5 points at home, carrying a 1.35x payout if they win outright.
The Lions, meanwhile, are road underdogs with a 2.94x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Los Angeles Rams -6.5
- Over/Under: 56.5
- Game Winner Payout: Lions 2.94x | Rams 1.35x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Lions vs. Rams Prediction on Spread
In a battle between two teams contending for playoff spots, L.A. being favored by 6.5 points may seem lofty. With that said, Detroit has covered only one of its past four games. Plus, the Lions have ceded 29.3 points per game since Week 12.
Injuries continue to hamper Detroit’s defense, and that will continue in Week 15 with S Kerby Joseph (knee) and Brian Branch (Achilles) out. This defense already yields 7.3 yards per pass attempt (26th) — lacking its top players in the secondary could add to the problem.
According to SumerSports, the Rams net 0.20 EPA per dropback (third). WRs Puka Nacua (94.6) and Davante Adams (82.8) boast impressive receiving grades at Pro Football Focus, helping vault the Rams to 7.7 yards per pass (seventh). Adams (hamstring) is questionable for Sunday, but Puka appears capable of carrying a workload given his 3.65 yards per route run, which ranks second in the sport.
On the other side of the ball, Detroit OT Taylor Decker (shoulder) and OG Christian Mahogany (fibula) were listed as questionable for Week 15. The Lions have already battled pass protection woes, ranking 30th in pass block win rate by ESPN. Los Angeles sits eighth in pass rush win rate.
Detroit averages 5.0 yards per rush (third), but the Rams have a possible answer once again by allowing 3.9 yards per carry (eighth) and -0.07 EPA per run (sixth).
The Lions look like a borderline playoff team, while Los Angeles has bigger fish to fry as the favorite to win the Super Bowl with a 4.34x payout at PrizePicks Team Picks.
Lions vs. Rams Picks for Week 15
Which player projections at PrizePicks stand out as potential top picks for Lions vs. Rams? Let’s dive in and find out.
Rams WR Puka Nacua vs. Lions Projection: 7.5 Receptions
- Nacua sports a 30.3% target share (fifth) and 118 targets (fourth). Averaging 9.8 targets per game over the last month, Los Angeles’ top weapon could see more high usage — with or without Adams.
- This goes hand in hand with Puka shining against Detroit’s porous secondary. Sharp Football Analysis ranks the Lions second in man coverage rate.
- The former BYU Cougar has PFF’s top receiving grade against man coverage (91.9), paired with an impressive 3.83 yards per route run in that split (third).
- With 7.8 receptions per game on the year, Nacua’s 7.5-catch projection sits right around his usual marks. When fully active, he averages 10.3 receptions facing defenses in the top half of the highest man coverage rate.
Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs vs. Rams Projection: 40.5 Receiving Yards
- Detroit RB Jahmyr Gibbs has been heavily involved in the receiving game over the last four games, averaging 7.8 targets, 6.5 receptions, and 61.8 receiving yards per game.
- Against an elite pass rush, Lions QB Jared Goff could look to check down to his RB often.
- According to Pro Football Reference, the Rams have ceded 446 receiving yards against RBs (21st). Gibbs’ 474 receiving yards (third), 58 receptions (second), and 16.7% target share (fourth) all show he’s one of the league’s top pass-catching tailbacks.
- The Rams being a near-TD favorite on PrizePicks Team Picks hints at a potential negative game script for Detroit. The Lions may be strong-armed into a heavy dose of passing. Gibbs totals 7.2 yards per target, offering Goff a quick outlet.
Make Lions vs. Rams Picks on PrizePicks
Detroit is in a must-win situation to keep its playoff odds alive, but Week 15 brings a tough challenge against the Rams. Injuries in the secondary further adds to the Lions’ hurdles on the road.
Make your Lions vs. Rams predictions on PrizePicks for a chance to earn real-money rewards if you’re right. Just pick players and predict More or Less on their projected stats.
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