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Lamar Jackson Stats, Pick vs. Bengals for TNF: Return to Form for the Former MVP?

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson throws a football in an NFL game.
AP Photo/Nick Wass

It wasn’t long ago that everyone was writing off the Ravens.

Understandable, as Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson missed several weeks due to a hamstring sprain, and without their former MVP, the 1-5 Ravens were seemingly doomed in the competitive AFC North.

Then Jackson returned against the Miami Dolphins in Week 9, and everything seemed right again. Since the Louisville product made it back into the lineup, the Ravens have won all four of his starts — all by at least 7 points — and now lead the North.

Let’s take a look Lamar Jackson's stats and pick vs. Bengals for the Thursday Night Football's Thanksgiving Eve divisional matchup

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Lamar Jackson Stats, Pick vs. Bengals for TNF

  • In the three games since his return — outside of the 28-6 blowout win against the Dolphins — Jackson's stats have taken a hit, with 57% completion rate, and 1 TD pass to 2 interceptions
  • Between Thursday's game against the Bengals and their next two outings (vs. Pittsburgh, at Cincinnati), the Ravens have a chance to take a stranglehold on the division that, six weeks ago, seemed like a pipe dream.
  • With Jackson either out or physically compromised, the Ravens have relied on a combination of RB Derrick Henry’s legs and their banged-up defense's ability to get stops in key situations.
  • The two-time MVP has fought to gain a rhythm, but maybe a bigger problem is how banged up he still is. He has faced three ailments in three weeks: Knee soreness two weeks ago, an ankle issue last week, and now a toe injury.
  • In Jackson’s career, he's 10-1 against the Bengals, racking up 24 touchdowns to only 4 interceptions.

Lamar Jackson Projections vs. Bengals Tonight

These projections come straight from the PrizePicks NFL board — pick your players, predict whether they’ll go More or Less on their stats, and win cash if your selections hit.

  • 27.5 Pass Attempts
  • 17.5 Pass Completions (Goblin)
  • 232.5 Pass Yards
  • 36.5 Longest Completion
  • 25.5 Rush Yards

Lamar Jackson Projection vs. Bengals: 36.5 Longest Completion

  • Jackson has topped this projection in five of his eight games in 2025. Outside of his rookie season, he’s had more than 37 yards on his longest reception in 8 of 10 career games against the Bengals.
  • To their credit, the Bengals have not given up a ton of downfield passes this season, allowing the seventh-fewest 20+ yard pass attempts. However, they do allow the sixth-highest completion percentage on those passes.
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about the author

Sam Wagman is a content creator at PrizePicks, focusing on NFL and PGA. He's previously worked for Sports Illustrated, The Game Day, Fantasy Points, and Footballguys. Originally from Philadelphia and now living in South Florida, Sam enjoys whiskey, pickleball, and rooting for all of his Philadelphia sports teams except for hockey, where he's avoided the bandwagon by rooting for the Panthers for the past five seasons. He's continually trying to break 80 on the golf course, but the end is nowhere in sight.

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