For Thursday’s full nine-game NBA slate, Prime Video features a tripleheader. The New York Knicks (25-15) and Golden State Warriors (22-19) will cap the night on the West Coast with a 10:00 p.m. ET tip.
This is the last of a four-game road trip for New York, a trip in which they've managed a 1-2 record. Following Wednesday’s loss against the Kings, the Knicks’ leading scorer, G Jalen Brunson, is now questionable for tonight.
For their part, Warriors have won three of their last four games.
Let’s make break down our Knicks vs. Warriors prediction, spread, and total for January 15, 2026, as well as a pair of player projections on PrizePicks.
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Knicks vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Total
The Warriors swept last season’s two-game series and have won three of the previous four. However, the two are split against the spread (ATS) at 2-2.
The Knicks have struggled recently with a 2-8 ATS record. In the last 10 matchups, Golden State is just 4-6 ATS, but it’s 3-1 over the previous four.
Knicks vs. Warriors Over/Under, Spread
While NBA Advanced Stats rank New York eighth in NET rating and Golden State, 11th, the Knicks are 6.5-point underdogs due to Brunson's injury. New York returns a notable 2.85x payout with an upset win.
- Spread: Golden State Warriors -6.5
- Over/Under: 228.5
- Gamer Winner Payout: Knicks 2.85x | Warriors 1.36x
Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.
Knicks vs. Warriors Injury Report
Let’s have a look at the full Knicks vs. Warriors injury report for Thursday, via NBA.com and ESPN.
Knicks Injury Report
- G Jalen Brunson (ankle) - Questionable
- G Landry Shamet (shoulder) - OUT
Warriors Injury Report
- G Seth Curry (lower back) - OUT
Knicks vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread
Much of this matchup will likely hinge on Knicks G Jalen Brunson’s availability. He leads the team with 28.2 points per game (PPG) and a 32.0% usage rate, per FantasyLabs.
Brunson left Wednesday’s matchup with an ankle injury, playing for only five minutes. New York is 1-2 when its star guard is absent, and it lost 112-101 as 11.5-point favorites against the Kings on Wednesday.
Golden State still loves the 3-ball, touting a 49.9% shot distribution (first), 15.9 made treys (first), and 44.2 shots from beyond the arc per game (first), per Dunks & Threes.
Perimeter defense is one of the Knicks’ weaknesses, as they surrender a 44.8% shot distribution (27th) and 14.5 made 3-pointers per contest (27th).
New York also leans on triples with a 43.8% shot distribution (eighth), but Brunson leads the team with 7.7 3-point attempts per game. Plus, the Warriors cede a 39.7% shot distribution (eighth).
If the Knicks’ leading scorer is out, Golden State could have enough advantages to dominate.
Knicks vs. Warriors NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Knicks C Karl-Anthony Towns could step up in Brunson’s potential absence, and Warriors G De’Anthony Melton’s recent hot streak could expose the Knicks’ weak perimeter defense. Which projections on PrizePicks stand out?
Knicks C Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Warriors Projection: 23.5 Points
- According to FantasyLabs, Towns’ usage rate increases by +4.1% when Brunson is off the court.
- In Brunson’s three absences, New York’s starting center averaged 33.7 points per game (PPG).
- He also logs 23.0 field goal attempts per game when the Knicks’ leading scorer is out, increasing from Towns’ season-long total of 14.5.
- The Warriors’ defense is most vulnerable in the interior, allowing 51.0 points in the paint per game (16th). Towns takes 60.0% of his field goal attempts within 10 feet of the basket.
Warriors G De’Anthony Melton vs. Knicks Projection: 2.5 Made 3-Pointers
- In his six January appearances, Melton averages 15.3 PPG, surpassing his season mark of 10.6.
- He’s enjoyed increased usage this month by attempting 11.0 shots and 5.8 3-point attempts per game compared to 8.9 and 4.4 for the 2025-26 campaign.
- Backed by a blistering 45.7% from 3-point land in January, Melton records 2.7 made treys per contest while reaching 3 made triples in four of six games this month.
- With the Knicks allowing 39.0 3-point attempts per contest (25th), Golden State’s shooters should get plenty of looks tonight.
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Make Knicks vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
Keep a close eye on the injury report, as Brunson’s status will have a major impact. If he’s out following a quick turnaround, Golden State could have themselves a night, thanks in part to their advantage from beyond the arc.
Make your Knicks vs. Warriors picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. Just choose players — including Karl-Anthony Towns and De’Anthony Melton — predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.
