The final series of the 2026 playoffs tips off tonight, as the New York Knicks visit the San Antonio Spurs for Game 1 of the NBA Finals. For Wednesday’s 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off on ABC, the Spurs are favored by 4.5 points on the spread and return a 1.49x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
San Antonio battled to a seven-game series win over the Thunder in the Western Conference Finals, while New York is rolling with 11 consecutive playoff wins and back-to-back series sweeps. What can we expect for the series opener of the 2026 NBA Finals?
Below, we'll break down our Knicks vs. Spurs prediction and picks for Game 1 of the NBA Finals matchup, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Knicks vs. Spurs picks on PrizePicks for Game 1 of the NBA Finals.
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NBA Finals: Knicks vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Game 1
The Knicks lead the playoffs in several categories, including their 19.8 net rating, 123.3 offensive rating, and 103.5 defensive rating, per NBA Advanced Stats.
However, New York defeated the Hawks, 76ers, and Cavaliers on its road to the NBA Finals, while San Antonio took down the Trail Blazers, Timberwolves, and Thunder. The Spurs sport more impressive wins, especially in the Western Conference Finals and semifinals against the Thunder and T-Wolves.
With that said, perhaps some negative regression is ahead for the Knicks’ eye-popping advanced metrics. Plus, Spurs C Victor Wembanyama could be the best player on the court, and the 2026 NBA Finals MVP projections reflect that with Wemby holding the shortest payout (1.51x) on PrizePicks Team Picks.
In our 2026 NBA Finals predictions, the consensus was on San Antonio to win this series. The Spurs hold a 1.47x payout to win the NBA Finals compared to the Knicks’ 2.5x payout, per PrizePicks Team Picks.
Will we see a repeat of the 1999 NBA Finals, when San Antonio defeated New York in five games?
Knicks C Mitchell Robinson is the only player on the NBA injury report for Wednesday night, and he’s questionable with a fractured hand.
A Jalen Brunson Game 1 Max Discount is also available on the PrizePicks board, giving Brunson a 0.5 points projection — down from his original 25.5 projection.
Knicks vs. Spurs Spread, Over/Under for Game 1 – Wednesday, June 3
The Spurs enter Wednesday’s game as 4.5-point favorites at home against the Knicks, returning a 1.49x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Knicks vs. Spurs game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (1.81x payout)
- Over/Under: 217.5 (1.78x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Knicks 2.5x | Spurs 1.49x
Make your Knicks vs. Spurs prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
New York Knicks vs. San Antonio Spurs Timeline, Matchup History
Here is the full Knicks vs. Spurs timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
The only past head-to-head playoff matchup came in the 1999 NBA Finals, when San Antonio defeated New York 4-1.
All-Time: Spurs, 64-48
Regular Season: Knicks, 2-1
Series: 0-0
Knicks vs. Spurs NBA Finals Timeline, Schedule
- Game 1: Wednesday, June 3, 8:30 p.m. ET in San Antonio
- Game 2: Friday, June 5, 8:30 p.m. ET in San Antonio
- Game 3: Monday, June 8, 8:30 p.m. ET in New York
- Game 4: Wednesday, June 10, 8:30 p.m. ET in New York
- Games 5-7 if necessary
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Knicks vs. Spurs Prediction on Spread for NBA Finals, Game 1 – 6/3/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Knicks vs. Spurs prediction for the spread for Game 1 of the NBA Finals on Wednesday, June 3.
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- Over three head-to-head regular season matchups, the Knicks went 2-1 outright and 3-0 against the spread (ATS) vs. the Spurs.
- In those regular-season bouts, New York won the rebounding battle by +7.3 boards per game. Further, it racked up 17.0 offensive rebounds per game in duels with San Antonio.
- This led to the Knicks averaging +11.0 more field goal attempts per game over the Spurs.
- During the playoffs, New York carries a 54.8% rebounding percentage (first) compared to San Antonio’s 51.2% (third).
- While Mitchell Robinson’s injury may seem minor, he’s producing 5.5 rebounds in only 14.2 minutes per game in the postseason. Among players with at least 10.0 minutes per game in the playoffs, he leads the postseason with an 18.3% offensive rebounding rate.
- If Mitchell is active tonight, it’s difficult to ignore the Knicks covering 10 of their last 11 games in the playoffs.
- New York leads the playoffs with a 40.0% 3-point percentage, and the Spurs have allowed 11.7 made triples per game in the postseason (10th).
Knicks vs. Spurs Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks for Game 1 Tonight
Here are the top Knicks vs. Spurs picks to target on PrizePicks for Wednesday, June 3. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include OG Anunoby and De’Aaron Fox.
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Knicks F OG Anunoby vs. Spurs: 15.5 Points
- OG Anunoby is arguably the Knicks’ most important player in this series. With a 7’2” wingspan and 9’ standing reach, he may draw defensive assignments on Wembanyama, and he’s shot a blistering 57.7% in the playoffs.
- OG has recorded 19.7 points per game (PPG) across 12 playoff games, including 16.3 PPG in the Eastern Conference Finals.
- He’s reached 16 points in nine of 12 postseason outings.
- This includes success from 3-point land, shooting 48.3% from deep while cashing in 2.3 triples per contest in the playoffs.
- As mentioned, the Spurs’ defense has allowed 11.7 made 3-pointers (10th) and 35.6 attempted treys per game (11th) in the playoffs.
Add OG Anunoby to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Spurs G De’Aaron Fox vs. Knicks: 15.5 Points
- While Knicks G Jalen Brunson leads the team with 26.9 PPG in the playoffs, he also carries the starting lineup’s highest defensive rating (105.1).
- This is a matchup De’Aaron Fox can target, and he’s tallied 16.4 PPG while shooting 43.5% from the field in the postseason.
- Fox struggled with a 36.5% field goal percentage in the Western Conference Finals, but he comes off his best performance of the series with 15 points and a 50.0% field goal percentage, while cashing in 3-of-7 3-point shots (42.9%).
- Before the WCF, Fox reached 16 points in 10 of 11 postseason games, averaging 18.8 PPG and a 46.2% field goal percentage in the split.
- His 14.5 shots per game in the playoffs are narrowly behind Wembanyama’s 15.2 field goal attempts per game.
Add De'Aaron Fox to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Knicks vs. Spurs on PrizePicks for Game 1
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Knicks vs. Spurs live picks in tonight’s game.
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- Both teams have enjoyed quick starts in the playoffs, as the Knicks lead the postseason with 31.5 points per first quarter compared to the Spurs’ 29.2 average (second).
- Sticking with the first quarter, New York has a 23.8 net rating in the first 12 minutes (first), while San Antonio is fourth with a 10.0 net rating in the playoffs.
- The Knicks have a postseason-best 100.6 defensive rating in the fourth quarter, aiding their 11.5 net rating in the final 12 minutes during the playoffs (first).
- However, the Spurs’ 28.1 points per fourth quarter in the playoffs (third) is a touch above New York’s 26.4 mark (sixth).
- According to inpredictable, Victor Wembanyama’s 55.0% effective field goal percentage rises to 60.7% in the clutch during the playoffs.
Make Knicks vs. Spurs Game 1 Picks on PrizePicks
Who will take a 1-0 series lead in the 2026 NBA Finals? The Spurs are the overwhelming favorite to win the title, but the Knicks are on a historic hot streak with 11 consecutive playoff wins. Something has to give in Game 1.
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