The New York Knicks’ (26-14) four-game West Coast road trip continues on Wednesday with a 10:00 p.m. ET tip against the Sacramento Kings (10-30). The Kings have struggled to the tune of 3-7 over the last 10 games, but the Knicks look vulnerable with a 2-5 record in the previous seven.
Will Sacramento overcome injuries in the starting lineup against New York? Below, we’ll break down the Knicks vs. Kings prediction, spread, and total.
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Knicks vs. Kings Prediction, Spread, Total: January 14, 2026
New York has dominated the head-to-head series, boasting an 8-2 outright record and against the spread (ATS) mark over the last ten clashes. It’s won and covered the previous four matchups by an average margin of +17.5 points per game.
The Knicks will be without rotational G Landry Shamet (shoulder). The injury report isn’t as kind to the Kings, as Sacramento F Domantas Sabonis (knee) and F Keegan Murray (ankle) are out. Plus, Kings G Dennis Schroder is serving a three-game suspension.
Knicks vs. Kings Over/Under, Spread
According to NBA Advanced Stats, the Knicks rank eighth in NET rating, while the Kings sit 29th in the category. Paired with Sacramento missing starters, New York is a clear 10.5-point favorite on PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: New York Knicks -10.5
- Over/Under: 231.5
- Gamer Winner Payout: Knicks 1.19x | Kings 4.16x
Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.
Knicks vs. Kings Prediction on Total
DRatings’ game projections are predicting a 232.2 total for tonight’s game, suggesting the over. The Knicks’ offense is capable of heavy lifting thanks to 119.6 (PPG) points per game (fifth) and 117.7 PPG over the last ten. Sacramento totals a measly 110.2 PPG (29th), putting the total in limbo.
According to Dunks & Threes, New York loves to shoot the 3-ball, carrying a 43.9% shot distribution (eighth), 15.3 made triples per game (third), and 39.9 shots from beyond the arc per contest (eighth). The Kings surrender a 40.1% shot distribution from deep (11th), 12.7 made treys per game (12th), 36.0 attempts from beyond the arc per contest, and a 35.2% 3-point percentage (eighth).
On the other side of the court, Sacramento’s unit screams inefficiency by ranking 29th in offensive rating, per NBA Advanced Stats. The Kings’ shot chart is more of the same, sitting 27th in shot distribution around the rim and 30th from 3-point land.
Attacking the painted area is one of their strengths, totaling 48.5 points in the paint per game (19th). However, New York cedes only 46.0 points in the paint per contest (fifth).
While the Knicks sport a strong offense, Sacramento’s poor marks could contribute to a low total. Each defense carrying a favorable matchup rounds out the under pick.
Knicks vs. Kings NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today
Knicks C Karl-Anthony Towns and Kings G Zach LaVine carry favorable matchups, creating value for PrizePicks projections.
Knicks C Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Kings Projection: 20.5 Points
- The Kings give up 55.6 points in the paint per game (29th), and Towns attempts 60.0% of his field goals within 10 feet of the basket.
- The former No. 1 pick averages 21.2 PPG on the season and shot an impressive 58.3% from the field over the previous two games.
- KAT leads the Knicks with 6.8 free throw attempts per game. Sacramento allows 25.4 free throw shots per contest (24th).
- Kings C Maxime Raynaud will be Towns’ primary defender, and his 122.0 defensive rating creates a favorable matchup, per FantasyLabs.
Kings G Zach LaVine vs. Knicks Projection: 2.5 Made 3-Pointers
- New York has struggled to defend the 3-ball by allowing a 44.9% shot distribution (27th) and 14.6 made triples per contest (28th).
- LaVine leads Sacramento with 2.6 converted 3-pointers and 6.7 shots from deep per game.
- The two-time All-Star guard has made 6-of-10 3-point shots (60.0%) over the last two games, making 3 triples in both appearances.
- Volume shouldn’t be a worry either, as LaVine has launched at least 6 3-point shots in three of the last four games.
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Make Knicks vs. Kings Picks on PrizePicks
While one of the Association’s best offenses will take the court, the Kings’ sputtering offense could prevent an over. Furthermore, both defenses can slow the opponent’s strength. We still have angles for value among player projections, including Towns attacking the painted area.
Make your Knicks vs. Kings picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. Just choose players — including Karl-Anthony Towns and Zach LaVine — predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
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