The Knicks vs. Hawks NBA Playoff game is set to tip off at 6:00 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock on Saturday, April 25, with New York entering as 2.5-point favorites on the spread.
Atlanta finds itself faring better than most expected, holding a 2-1 series lead and maintaining an even split of home and away games moving forward if this Eastern Conference series goes the full distance.
Below, we'll break down our Knicks vs. Hawks prediction and picks for Saturday’s NBA Playoff game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Knicks vs. Hawks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, April 25
Margins are razor-thin in the NBA Playoffs, and this series might be the perfect example of that. The Knicks hold the advantage in scoring margin, for instance, yet the Hawks have the 2-1 series lead.
Game 1 was all New York in an 11-point triumph. PG Jalen Brunson (28 points) and C Karl-Anthony Towns (25 points) led the way, and New York held rising star PF Jalen Johnson to 8-of-19 shooting on the Hawks’ side. Since then, there’s been a familiar theme.
Game 2 was the G CJ McCollum show, as he exploded for 32 points and 6 assists. Brunson shot 10-of-26 from the field, and no other starter for the Knicks had more than 18 points.
More theatrics ensued in Game 3, the second straight game decided by just a point. Johnson (24 points), McCollum (23 points), and PF Jonathan Kuminga (21 points) chipped in as the Hawks lost the paint battle but made three more 3-pointers than their counterparts.
It’s been a thriller of a series, to say the least.
Knicks vs. Hawks Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, April 25
The Knicks enter Saturday’s game as 2.5-point favorites against the Hawks, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Knicks vs. Hawks game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: New York Knicks -2.5
- Over/Under: 214.5
- Game Winner Payout: Knicks 1.72x | Hawks 2x
Play the Knicks vs. Hawks spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
New York Knicks vs. Atlanta Hawks Timeline
Here is the full Knicks vs. Hawks timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Hawks, 211-205
Regular Season: Knicks, 2-1
Series: Hawks, 2-1
Knicks vs. Hawks Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs
- Game 1: Knicks 113-102
- Game 2: Hawks 107-106
- Game 3: Hawks 109-108
- Game 4: Saturday, April 25, 6:00 p.m. ET in Atlanta
- Game 5: Tuesday, April 28, 8:00 p.m. ET in New York
- Games 6-7 if necessary
Knicks vs. Hawks Prediction on Spread for NBA Playoffs First Round
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Knicks vs. Hawks prediction on spread for Saturday, April 25.
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- On the year, the Knicks are just 9-19 against the spread as road favorites, the sixth-worst record in the NBA. The Hawks are 8-7 ATS as home underdogs.
- New York’s offense is certainly respectable, owning the sport’s No. 9-ranked effective field goal percentage (55.6%) and ranking 10th in points per shot (1.166).
- On the defensive end, the Knicks yield the fourth-fewest made field goals each night at 39.3 and also clamp down to the tune of a 45.9% shooting clip (fifth).
- Could the Hawks’ offense be punching above its weight class? Head coach Quin Snyder’s crew is known for taking a lot of shots (91.7 per game, second) but is just 13th in shooting efficiency (1.157 points per try).
- On the other end, Atlanta is nothing to write home about, 20th in paint scoring prevention (51.9 PPG) and 24th in fastbreak scenarios (16.2 PPG).
Knicks vs. Hawks Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 4/25/26
Here are three top Knicks vs. Hawks picks to target in the NBA Playoffs on PrizePicks for Saturday, April 25. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include PG Jalen Brunson, C Karl-Anthony Towns, and G CJ McCollum.
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Knicks PG Jalen Brunson vs. Hawks Projection: 27 Points
- Brunson averaged a healthy 26.0 PPG during the regular season but has put up 29.8 PPG across his last four playoff runs.
- Although he hasn’t been very efficient (42.3 FG%), Brunson is jacking up 23.7 shots per game in this series and producing 27.7 points.
- The veteran floor general is a midrange assassin, making 48.9% of his attempts from 10-16 feet and 51.7% of tries from 16 feet to the arc.
- Brunson has ramped up his 3-point volume, shooting a career-high 7.1 every time out and making 2.6 of them (36.9%). That includes a 40.7% mark on catch-and-shoot opportunities, via NBA Advanced Stats.
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Knicks C Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Hawks Projection: 32 Pts + Rebs
- Towns put up 32.0 combined points and rebounds per game during the regular season.
- KAT has gone for 21+ points twice in this series and also had an outstanding rebounding performance in Game 3, notching 17 boards (13 defensive).
- The Kentucky product gets 25.6 true shots in the air per 100 possessions, per databallr, putting him in the 90th percentile.
- At 17.0, Towns ranks seventh among all players in the NBA Playoffs in rebound chances per game this postseason.
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Hawks G CJ McCollum vs. Knicks Projection: 19.5 Points
- Three games into this playoff series, 34-year-old McCollum has netted 27.0 PPG on a healthy 50.8% shooting from the field.
- McCollum has been an absolute flamethrower against New York, canning 39.1% of his 3-point attempts.
- According to NBA RAPM, McCollum’s shot usage (26.1) and points per 75 possessions (22.4) put him in the 93rd and 91st percentiles, respectively.
Add CJ McCollum to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Knicks vs. Hawks on PrizePicks for Game 4
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Knicks vs. Hawks live picks in tonight’s game.
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- McCollum fares quite better at home this season, averaging 19.7 PPG on 46.9% shooting as opposed to 17.6 PPG on 43.8% shooting on the road. His 3-point shot has also been 6.2% more accurate in front of his own crowd.
- These two squads are tied with the Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors for the fifth-highest pace (97.50) this postseason, per NBA Advanced Stats.
- During the regular season, New York was the considerably better team in the second half, posting a +7.5 net rating that was good for third leaguewide. Atlanta was 17th at +0.3.
- The Knicks clamp down on opponents in the fourth quarter, surrendering the fewest PPG (25.3) of any team. This is a strength-on-strength matchup against the Hawks, who are ninth in fourth-quarter scoring (28.1 PPG).
- McCollum and Brunson are fifth and sixth in clutch scoring this postseason, posting 5.0 and 4.5 PPG in those opportunities.
Make Knicks vs. Hawks Picks on PrizePicks
Not only are the Hawks in the driver’s seat in this first-round Eastern Conference postseason series, but they get to play in front of the home crowd once again. Can the Knicks silence the Atlanta faithful and pull even in the set?
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