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Kansas State vs. Kansas Prediction, Spread, College Basketball Picks – 3/7/26

Kansas Jayhawks G Darryn Peterson dribbles during a game against the Texas Tech Red Raiders.
AP Photo/Annie Rice

The Kansas Jayhawks (21-9) are looking to finish the regular season strong ahead of the Big 12 tournament. Meanwhile, the Kansas State Wildcats (12-18) aim to beat their conference rivals in Lawrence for the first time since 2006.

Saturday’s showdown between the Big 12 schools will tip off at 2:00 p.m. ET on CBS.

Below, we’ll break down our Kansas State vs. Kansas prediction and picks for Saturday's game. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Kansas State vs. Kansas Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

Kansas is having its fair share of struggles late in the regular season. This group has lost three of its last four games, including a 70-60 loss to Arizona State on Tuesday.

Kansas State has had a rough start since Big 12 play began, owning a 3-14 record. The Wildcats have lost nine of their last 11 contests but did defeat West Virginia, 65-63, in their most recent game.

Kansas has a 206-97 lead in the all-time series and has won seven of the last 10 matchups dating back to 2021.

Kansas State vs. Kansas Spread, Over/Under

Kansas enters Saturday’s game as a home favorite, returning a 1.05x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright. The Jayhawks are generally a 17.5-point favorite entering the matchup.

Kansas State is a road underdog with a 10x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: Kansas Jayhawks -17.5
  • Over/Under: 155.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Wildcats 10x | Jayhawks 1.05x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Kansas State vs. Kansas Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Kansas State vs. Kansas prediction on the spread for Saturday, March 7 on PrizePicks.

  • Kansas has a 6-4 against-the-spread record as a home favorite in Big 12 games. Kansas State is 5-5 ATS as a road underdog in conference matchups.
  • Kansas State ranks fourth in the Big 12 in 3-point shooting (35.8%), behind only Texas Tech (39.4%), Iowa State (38.4%), and UCF (38.2%).
  • The Jayhawks are second in the Big 12 in rebounding, securing 38.6 RPG.
  • The Wildcats turn the ball over more than any team in the conference, committing 13.0 per contest.
  • Kansas State allows 80.3 PPG, ranking second-to-last in the Big 12.

Kansas State vs. Kansas Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/7/26

Here are the three top Kansas State vs. Kansas picks to target for Saturday, March 7 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Kansas F Flory Bidunga, Kansas G Darryn Peterson, and Kansas State G Nate Johnson.

Kansas F Flory Bidunga vs. Kansas State Projection: 9.5 Rebounds

  • The sophomore big man has averaged 9.4 RPG over his last five games.
  • Bidunga has pulled down at least 10 rebounds in six of his last eight contests.
  • The Kansas forward has averaged 9.2 RPG, fourth in the Big 12.
  • Kansas State allows 37.0 RPG, second-last in the conference.

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Kansas G Darryn Peterson vs. Kansas State Projection: 21.5 Points

  • The freshman phenom has averaged 19.4 PPG during Big 12 play.
  • Peterson has scored at least 22 points in just two of his last 10 games.
  • Per Bart Torvik, the Jayhawks standout has a usage rate of 31.0, good for 32nd in the country.
  • Peterson is shooting 38.5% from deep this season but has knocked down just 27.0% of his long-range shots over his last three contests.

Kansas State G Nate Johnson vs. Kansas Projection: 13.5 Points

  • The senior guard has averaged 14.2 PPG in his last 10 games.
  • Johnson has scored at least 14 points in four of his previous five contests, including a 33-point performance in a 90-74 win vs. Baylor on February 17.
  • The Wildcats guard is shooting 39.6% from beyond the arc.

Make Kansas State vs. #14 Kansas Picks on PrizePicks

Kansas will attempt to close out the regular season on a strong note on Senior Day. Meanwhile, Kansas State aims to pull off an upset win in an interstate rivalry game.

You can make your Kansas State vs. Kansas picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.

Stick around with the Playbook for continued CBB predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.

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