Justin Jefferson Stats, Pick vs. Cowboys: Can Vikings WR1 Regain Top Form?

December 14, 2025

NFL
AP Photo/Kamil Krzaczynski

The Vikings (5-8) visit the Cowboys (6-6-1) for a Sunday Night Football showdown after blanking Washington 31-0 in Week 14. Minnesota looks to win consecutive games for the first time this season, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson was limited to just 2 catches for 11 yards last week, his second straight game under 20 yards. The All-Pro hasn't scored since Week 9 and hasn’t surpassed 100 yards since Week 5, but he draws a nice matchup against a porous Dallas defense.

The prime-time stage might just give Jefferson an intriguing chance to reignite his season.

Below, we'll break down Justin Jefferson’s stats and picks for Sunday Night Football vs. the Cowboys. Use PrizePicks to make picks on player projections for Week 15 and beyond.

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Justin Jefferson Stats, Pick vs. Cowboys for SNF

Below are the top Justin Jefferson picks for Sunday Night Football vs. the Cowboys, courtesy of the PrizePicks real-money NFL game.

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson Projection vs. Cowboys: 62.5 Receiving Yards

  • Jefferson is averaging 62.3 receiving yards per game this season, totaling 810 yards through 13 games.
  • Dallas ranks 32nd in passing defense, surrendering a league-worst 255.2 yards per game and 171.08 yards per game specifically to WRs.
  • The Cowboys have been torched for 272.7 passing yards per game over their last three contests, including 299 yards to the Lions in Week 14.
  • Minnesota’s superstar WR commands 38.8% of the team's air yards, per RotoWire, perhaps opening the door for plenty of chances against the league’s most vulnerable secondary.

Vikings WR Justin Jefferson Projection vs. Cowboys: 13 Fantasy Score

  • Jefferson’s elite 29% target share (eighth-most among WRs) has amounted to 109 through 14 games (8.4 per game).
  • Dallas’ secondary has posted a 27.8% Pass Defense DVOA (30th), per FTN, making them a possible get-right matchup for Minnesota’s WR1.​
  • The Cowboys have surrendered an average of 27.1 fantasy points to opposing WR corps.
  • Jefferson averages 12.1 fantasy PPG and has topped 13 in five 2025 outings.
  • The star receiver scores 1.51 fantasy points per target against zone coverage. The Cowboys' defense owns a zone rate of 76.8% this year.
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More Justin Jefferson Projections vs. Cowboys on Sunday Night Football

Here are some additional Justin Jefferson projections vs. the Cowboys tonight on Sunday Night Football, courtesy of PrizePicks

  • 21.5 Yards on Longest Reception
  • 8.5 Receiving Targets
  • 5 Receptions
  • 0.5 Rush + Rec TDs (Demon)

Make Vikings vs. Cowboys Picks on PrizePicks

This Vikings-Cowboys matchup presents plenty of SNF picks to consider — Jefferson included — so check out the best projections and picks for Minnesota’s star WR in Week 15.

Get in on the real-money SNF action on PrizePicks. Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and win if you're right.

Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued NFL picks, predictions, and news.

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Garrett Kerman is a seasoned sports writer who has written for numerous outlets over the years from ClutchPoints, to Ballislife, to OutKick Sports. He also goes by the name The Fight Analyst where he has been a prominent voice in combat sports. However, he still maintains his voice in all sports like NFL, NBA, and MLB bringing viewers the best in coverage and analysis.