Saturday’s AFC Divisional Round gets underway as the Denver Broncos host the Buffalo Bills at Empower Field at Mile High, streaming live on CBS and Paramount+ at 4:30 p.m. ET.
During Wild Card Weekend, QB Josh Allen led the Bills to their first road playoff win since 1992 with a 27-24 victory vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars. Fresh off a 3-TD performance, Allen looks to secure a spot in the AFC Championship Game for the second time in three seasons on Saturday.
Below, we'll analyze Josh Allen's stats and make a pick on his PrizePicks projections for Saturday’s Bills vs. Broncos Divisional Round game.
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Josh Allen Stats, Pick for Divisional Round vs. Broncos
Check out the latest Josh Allen selections for Saturday’s matchup on the PrizePicks NFL board. Pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and earn real money if you're right.
Bills QB Josh Allen vs. Broncos Projection: 212.5 Pass Yards
- During the 2025 season and playoffs, Allen has passed for at least 213 yards in 10 of 18 games.
- In a 2025 Wild Card Round matchup vs. the Broncos, Allen completed 20-of-26 passes for 272 yards and 2TDs in a 31-7 Bills win.
- The Broncos' defense ranks sixth in EPA per pass at -0.11, according to SumerSports.
- Denver surrendered 187.2 passing yards per game during the regular season, seventh in the NFL.
- The Broncos run a significant amount of man coverage (32.1%, according to Sharp Football Analysis), ranking second. According to Player Profiler, Allen has a 62.8% completion percentage against man coverage, good for eighth among NFL signal-callers.
- Allen averaged 8.0 yards per completion during the regular season, a career-high. That ranked fifth in the NFL among qualifying QBs, behind only Patriots star Drake Maye (8.9), Seahawks QB Sam Darnold (8.5), Ravens MVP-winner Lamar Jackson (8.4), and Colts QB Daniel Jones (8.1).
- In 14 career playoff games, Allen has averaged 259.4 passing yards.
More Josh Allen Projections vs. Broncos Today
Check out Allen’s other top projections for today’s Divisional Round showdown vs. the Broncos, via PrizePicks.
- 256.5 Pass + Rush Yards
- 36.5 Rush Yards
- 66.2 Completion Percentage
- 29.5 Pass Attempts
- 19.5 Pass Completions
- 0.5 Rush + Rec TDs
- 0.5 Pass TDs (Goblin)
- And More
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Make Bills vs. Broncos Divisional Round Picks on PrizePicks
Josh Allen is set to face what could be his toughest test of the year against a very stingy Broncos defense. It’s time to find out if the former MVP can rise to the occasion and take the Bills on a Super Bowl run.
Make your Bills vs. Broncos Divisional Round picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
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