Jarrett Stidham Stats, Pick vs. Patriots in AFC Championship: Sunday Surprise?

Denver Broncos QB Jarrett Stidham on the sideline during a game against the Los Angeles Chargers.
AP Photo/Eric Lutzens

Broncos QB Jarrett Stidham takes the stage Sunday in Mile High as the Denver Broncos face the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game at 3:00 p.m. ET on CBS. 

Stidham, making his first start since 2023, aims to defy odds against a Patriots team led by MVP finalist QB Drake Maye. A Broncos victory would send a top-seeded Denver squad to Super Bowl LX and, given starting QB Bo Nix's season-ending injury, provide them an avenue to complete one of the most unlikely championship runs in modern NFL history.

Below, we'll take a look at Jarrett Stidham's stats and make a pick on his PrizePicks projections vs. the Patriots in this AFC Championship Game bout.

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Jarrett Stidham Stats, Pick vs. Patriots in AFC Championship Game

Discover the latest Jarrett Stidham selections for the AFC title game on the PrizePicks NFL board. Pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and earn real money if you're right this playoffs.

Broncos QB Jarrett Stidham vs. Patriots Projection: 204.5 Passing Yards

  • Stidham averaged 248 passing yards in his two 2023 Broncos starts (272 and 224 yards) while operating in head coach Sean Payton's system.
  • The Patriots' defense allowed Texans QB C.J. Stroud to pass for 212 yards on 47 attempts, completing just 42.6% of his passes in the Divisional Round.
  • Denver average 37.4 pass plays per game — fifth-most in the NFL — and Nix aired it out 46 times in the Broncos' overtime Divisional Round win over the Buffalo Bills.
  • If Stidham held true to his career average of 7.2 yards per attempt, he’d need roughly 29 tries to reach 205 passing yards in the AFC Championship Game.
  • The Patriots’ defense owns a modest 5.92% sack rate (13th-lowest) and has allowed QBs to complete 66.41% of their passes (ninth-highest), per SumerSports. Denver counters with a 68% pass block win rate and has surrendered only 22 sacks.

More Jarrett Stidham Projections vs. Patriots Today

Check out Stidham’s other top projections for Sunday's AFC Championship matchup vs. the Patriots, via PrizePicks.

  • 32.5 Pass Attempts
  • 20 Pass Completions
  • 32.5 Yards on Longest Completion
  • 14.5 Rush Yards
  • 12 Fantasy Score
  • And More

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Make Patriots vs. Broncos Picks on PrizePicks

Stidham has an opportunity to do the unthinkable and bring Denver back to the Super Bowl in only his fifth professional start.

Make your Patriots vs. Broncos AFC Conference Championship picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.

Keep it locked in here with the Playbook for continued NFL news, analysis, and picks.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Garrett Kerman is a seasoned sports writer who has written for numerous outlets over the years from ClutchPoints, to Ballislife, to OutKick Sports. He also goes by the name The Fight Analyst where he has been a prominent voice in combat sports. However, he still maintains his voice in all sports like NFL, NBA, and MLB bringing viewers the best in coverage and analysis.

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