Two Eastern Conference teams with a lot to play for meet up tonight, as the Miami Heat (41-37) head to Scotiabank Arena to take on the Toronto Raptors (43-35) at 7:30 p.m. ET.
The Raptors are 3.5-point favorites on the spread on PrizePicks Team Picks for the third of four meetings this season between these two teams. Miami aims to get on the season series scoreboard after losing games one and two, 106-96 and 112-91, respectively.
Below, we’ll break down our Heat vs. Raptors prediction and Tuesday NBA picks for PrizePicks. Use PrizePicks NBA to make picks on player projections and win real money if you’re right.
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Heat vs. Raptors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Heat have hit a late-season skid, dropping them to the No. 10 seed in the Eastern Conference. They sit 1.5 games back of the Orlando Magic for the No. 9 seed, so a lot would have to go right for them to maneuver their way out of their current situation.
Losers in seven of their last 10 games, it seems Miami may have to win two play-in games to make the playoffs. However, as they start to get healthier, this is still a team and culture that could pull off a late surge.
The Raptors sit at No. 6 in the East and are clinging to the last playoff spot in the conference. They sit just half-game ahead of the Philadelphia 76ers, Charlotte Hornets, and Magic for the coveted seed and must treat every remaining game like a playoff outing to avoid the play-in.
The Raptors' remaining schedule is home vs. Miami twice, then on the road vs. the New York Knicks before returning home to take on the Brooklyn Nets.
Heat vs. Raptors Spread, Over/Under
The Raptors enter Tuesday’s game as 3.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.78x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Heat are road underdogs with a 1.96x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your predictions in 35 states!
- Spread: Toronto Raptors -3.5 (2.22x payout)
- Over/Under: 241.5 (2x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Heat 1.96x | Raptors 1.78x
Team Picks payouts are live as of writing and are subject to change.
Heat vs. Raptors Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Heat vs. Raptors injury report for Tuesday, via NBA.com.
Miami Heat Injury Report
- SG Tyler Herro (foot): Probable
- PF Nikola Jovic (ankle): OUT
- SG-SF Norman Powell (reconditioning): Probable
- F Andrew Wiggins (toe): Available
Toronto Raptors Injury Report
- C Sandro Mamukelashvlli (knee): Questionable
- PF Collin Murray-Boyles (quad): Questionable
- PG Immanuel Quickley (foot): Questionable
Heat vs. Raptors Prediction on Spread – 4/7/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Heat vs. Raptors prediction on the spread for Tuesday, April 7, on PrizePicks.
- These two teams have been neck-and-neck in net rating on the year, with the Raptors just 0.1 points ahead of the Heat (+2.2 vs. +2.1).
- The last 10 games tell a different story, though, with Toronto having a net rating of +2.5, a full 9.9 points ahead of Miami (-7.4).
- The Raptors have won straight up and covered in both outings against the Heat, both on the road in Miami.
- Typically, home teams can dictate their own style of play, so it’s especially noteworthy that Toronto was able to control both road games.
- The Heat’s defense has been an absolute trainwreck over their last 10 games, ranking 28th with a rating of 128.5, worse than that of the lowly Washington Wizards and Utah Jazz.
Heat vs. Raptors Picks for PrizePicks Today: 4/7/26
Here are two of the top Heat vs. Raptors to consider for Tuesday, April 7. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by C Bam Adebayo and PF Scottie Barnes.
Heat C Bam Adebayo vs. Raptors Projection: 34.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Adebayo has been significantly worse offensively on the road, scoring 3.0 fewer points per game while shooting 3.1% worse from the field and 8.4% worse from 3-point range.
- With Herro and Powell both probable, Bam could see his usage rate decrease significantly.
- Adebayo has had less than this projection in 12 of 15 games with Herro, Powell, and Wiggins active, averaging 31.8 PRA. Toronto allows the seventh-fewest PRA to centers.
- Bam has faced the Raptors twice this season and hasn’t had more than this projection in either game, averaging 28 PRA.
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Raptors PF Scottie Barnes vs. Heat Projection: 32.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- This is a huge tempo-up game for Barnes and the Raptors, facing a Heat team that plays at the fastest pace in the NBA.
- Barnes has had more than this projection in both outings against Miami this season, going for 17-10-6 (33 PRA) and 27-8-4 (39 PRA).
- Miami gives up 46.6 rebounds (28th) and 27.4 assists (19th) per game.
- Barnes has been much better at home, averaging 1.4 more points, 0.5 more rebounds, and 0.4 more assists north of the border.
Make Heat vs. Raptors Picks on PrizePicks
Will Miami be able to pick up its first win against Toronto this season, or will the Raptors continue their dominance over the Heat and secure a huge late-season win?
You can make your Heat vs. Raptors picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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