The Atlanta Hawks (20-25) are looking to snap their four-game losing streak on the road against the Memphis Grizzlies (18-23) on Wednesday, January 21. Memphis is 3-7 over its last 10 games, but it has found recent success by winning two of its past three.
These are two teams in flux, as Hawks traded franchise center-piece PG Trae Young two weeks ago, and Grizzlies PG Ja Morant is now at the center of trade rumors. Yet, this contest still features the highest over/under of the night on PrizePicks Team Picks — where you can make picks on NBA games in over 30 states.
Let’s make a Hawks vs. Grizzlies prediction on the over/under. Is this Wednesday NBA game gearing up for an over or under based on the trends?
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Hawks vs. Grizzlies Prediction on Over/Under
Atlanta and Memphis split last season’s two-game series, with the over hitting in both games. The series is knotted at 5-5 in the last 10 matchups, but the Grizzlies have won four of the past six.
Hawks vs. Grizzlies Over/Under, Spread
The Grizzlies were favored in only one of their past eight contests. As 2.5-point favorites for Wednesday, will Memphis thrive against a struggling Hawks team? Tonight’s 239.5 total suggests a high-scoring affair.
- Spread: Memphis Grizzlies -2.5
- Over/Under: 239.5
- Gamer Winner Payout: Hawks 2x | Grizzlies 1.72x
Team Picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.
Hawks vs. Grizzlies Injury Report
Let’s have a look at the full Hawks vs. Grizzlies injury report for Wednesday’s matchup, via NBA.com.
Hawks Injury Report
- F Zaccharie Risacher (knee): OUT
- C Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles): OUT
Grizzlies Injury Report
- F Brandon Clarke (calf): OUT
- C Zach Edey (ankle): OUT
- G Ty Jerome (calf): OUT
- F Santi Aldama (knee): Questionable
Hawks vs. Grizzlies Prediction on Over/Under
Despite their 20-25 record, the Hawks have a top-10 offense, posting 117.5 points per game (10th) and a 55.3% effective field goal percentage (10th). According to Dunks & Threes, Atlanta sports solid shot distributions, ranking 12th for marks around the rim and from 3-point land.
The Hawks record 51.8 points in the paint per contest (10th), per NBA Advanced Stats; that interior attack is supported 14.4 made triples per game (eighth).
The departure of Young has had little impact on 3-pointers, as he appeared in only 10 games before the trade. Atlanta’s 3-point shots increased since the trade, totaling 43.2 attempts per game (39.4 on the season).
Anchored by Grizzlies C Jaren Jackson Jr., Memphis gives up only 48.6 points in the paint per game (tied for 11th). However, the Grizz cede a 44.0% 3-point shot distribution (26th), 14.3 made treys per game (25th), and 40.1 3-point shots per contest (28th).
On the other side of the court, Memphis ranks 27th in shot distribution around the rim compared to 16th from beyond the arc. Furthermore, the Grizzlies' offense totals 38.2 attempted triples per game (11th).
Atlanta surrenders a 41.8% 3-point shot distribution (18th) and 37.6 trey attempts per game (21st). Considering each defense’s struggles on the perimeter, Wednesday’s matchup could morph into a bombs-away 3-point contest, with both sides launching from deep.
Pointing to more points, the Hawks tout the Association’s second-quickest pace, while the Grizzlies rank 11th for tempo.
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Make NBA Over/Under Predictions on PrizePicks
While tonight’s 239.5 total is the highest on the NBA Wednesday’s schedule, the over still feels within reach. Both teams play at a quick pace, encouraging more field goal attempts.
Furthermore, the 3-ball looks to be an advantage for each squad, emphasizing a high-scoring affair.
Make your Hawks vs. Grizzlies picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real money with your predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
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