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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction, Spread, NCAAB Picks for February 28

Gonzaga Bulldogs F Graham Ike dribbles the ball in a game against the Washington State Cougars.
AP Photo/Young Kwak

The Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-2) aim to cap off an impressive campaign by clinching an outright WCC regular-season title. The Bulldogs are currently ranked ninth in the country and own a one-game lead over the Saint Mary’s Gaels (26-4).

Saint Mary’s is currently riding a seven-game winning streak entering Saturday’s pivotal contest and defeated Santa Clara, 86-67, on Wednesday in their most recent contest.

Let’s look at a Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s prediction and picks for Saturday’s showdown at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA, tipping off at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make predictions on player picks, game winners, over/unders, spreads, and more.

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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

The Bulldogs came out on the winning end of the first showdown, 73-65, on January 31. Saint Mary’s took a four-point advantage into the locker room, but Gonzaga outscored its WCC rivals 39-27 in the second half to come out on top.

Saint Mary’s has won three of the last five matchups against Gonzaga, but the Bulldogs have won the past two bouts.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Spread, Over/Under

The Bulldogs enter this matchup as 1.5-point favorites, returning a 1.69x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Gaels are narrow home underdogs with a 2.08x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs -1.5
  • Over/Under: 143.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Gonzaga 1.69x | Saint Mary’s 2.08x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary's prediction on spread for Saturday, February 28 on PrizePicks.

  • The Gaels own an 18-11 against-the-spread record, producing a WCC-best 62.1% cover rate.
  • The Bulldogs have a 17-13 ATS record with a 5-0 ATS mark across their last five games.
  • Gonzaga has been one of the most efficient scoring teams in the nation, ranking sixth in field goal percentage (51.4). They're also 15th in the country with an 86.9 PPG average.
  • Saint Mary’s connects on 38.6% of their attempts from beyond the arc, ranking 13th in the nation. The Gaels possess three players who shoot 44.0% or better from deep.
  • According to Bart Torvik, Gonzaga owns the 11th-best adjusted defensive efficiency rating (94.8) in the nation.
  • The Gaels allow the fewest PPG (64.4) in the WCC, while the Bulldogs give up the second-fewest PPG (66.1).
  • The Gaels are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games vs. the Bulldogs, winning five of those contests outright.

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Picks for PrizePicks Today: 2/28/26

Here are three top Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s picks to target on Saturday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by Gonzaga F Graham Ike, Saint Mary’s F Paulius Murauskas, and Gonzaga G Mario Saint-Supery.

Gonzaga F Graham Ike vs. Saint Mary’s Projection: 29.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • The senior forward has averaged 30.6 points, rebounds, and assists in his last five games.
  • Ike racked up 30 points, four rebounds, and one assist vs. Saint Mary’s in the first meeting on January 31.
  • The Bulldogs star has averaged 19.8 PPG, 8.4 RPG, and 2.5 APG this season.
  • Ike has topped the 20-point mark in nine of his last 10 games, including tallying three 30-point performances in that span.

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Saint Mary’s F Paulius Murauskas vs. Gonzaga Projection: 17.5 Points

  • The junior forward averages 18.9 points per contest.
  • Murauskas tallied at least 18 points in three of his last six games, including a 32-point effort vs. Pacific on February 14.
  • The Gaels' leading scorer recorded 15 points on 5-of-14 shooting in the first meeting vs. the Bulldogs.
  • Murauskas is shooting just 33.7% from beyond the arc on the year but has knocked down 42.3% of his 3-point shots across his past six games.

Gonzaga G Mario Saint-Supery vs. Saint Mary’s Projection: 12.5 Pts + Asts

  • The freshman guard has averaged 12.4 combined points and assists over his last five games.
  • Saint-Supery has converted 44.9% of his 3-point shots. Most recently, he made 4 of his 7 attempts vs. Portland on Wednesday.
  • The Spanish native has dished out multiple assists in three of his last four contests.
  • Saint-Supery scored 9 points and tallied 5 assists vs. Saint Mary’s in the first meeting of this season.

Make #9 Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Picks on PrizePicks

Will Gonzaga wrap up an outright WCC regular season title, or can Saint Mary’s clinch a share in the regular-season finale? You can get in on Saturday’s college basketball action and make picks with PrizePicks.

Just pick at least two players and predict More or Less on their projected stats on PrizePicks, or make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states!

Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more CBB picks, predictions, and news every day.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Chris Bengel is a veteran sports writer with two decades of experience covering the NBA, NHL, and NFL for CBS Sports and 247Sports. He attended Rowan University where he earned a degree in journalism and is a tortured Philadelphia sports fan residing in Harrisburg, PA.

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