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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Pick Against the Spread for Saturday, February 28

Gonzaga Bulldogs men's basketball HC Mark Few reacts during a game against the Pacific Tigers.
AP Photo/Young Kwak

Another fantastic Saturday of college basketball wraps up with a classic West Coast Conference (WCC) clash between the No. 9 Gonzaga Bulldogs (28-2) and Saint Mary’s Gaels (26-4). 

With this being the final game of the regular season, at least a share of the WCC crown will go to Gonzaga, even if they lose Saturday night. It's a 10:30 p.m. ET tip-off between rivals.

Who could have an advantage for Saturday’s Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s pick against the spread? Use PrizePicks Team Picks to make predictions on game winners, spreads, over/unders, and more.

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Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

This is the second meeting of the season between these two, with Gonzaga winning game one at home by a score of 73-65. That game saw F Graham Ike lead all scorers with 30 points, while G Joshua Dent and F Paulius Murauskas chipped in 16 and 15 points, respectively, for Saint Mary’s.

It’s no surprise that these are two dominant covering teams, ranking first and second in cover percentage against the spread (ATS). Saint Mary’s is 18-11-0 ATS, covering at an impressive 62.1% rate, while Gonzaga is 17-13-0 ATS (56.7%). 

Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Spread, Over/Under

As the West Coast Conference leader with a 16-1 conference record, Gonzaga is a 1.5-point favorite and features a 1.69x payout to win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Saint Mary’s is a home underdog with a 2.08x payout if they win, per PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs -1.5 (1.78x payout)
  • Over/Under: 143.5 (1.81x payout on over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Gonzaga 1.69x | Saint Mary’s 2.08x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.


Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s prediction on the spread for Saturday, February 28th, on PrizePicks.

  • Gonzaga is an impressive 7-3-0 ATS (70%) away from home, the best road covering clip in the WCC.
  • KenPom has Gonzaga net-rated 6.11 points above Saint Mary’s (28.93 to 22.82).
  • Gonzaga has both a better offensive rating (123.2) and defensive rating (94.2) than Saint Mary’s (120.6 and 97.8). 
  • The places where Gonzaga’s defense is weak are spots that Saint Mary’s isn't prone to taking advantage. For example, Gonzaga ranks 295th nationally in 3-point rate defended at 43.2, but Saint Mary’s is 261st in 3-point rate at 35.5.
  • The Zags have a turnover rate of 13.5%, 12th-lowest nationally. They also have a defensive turnover percentage of 21% (15th). Saint Mary's ranks 171st and 263rd, respectively, in the two statistics.

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Make #9 Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s Picks on PrizePicks

Home-court advantage might help Saint Mary’s in what is sure to be a raucous University Credit Union Pavilion tonight. However, this has been Gonzaga’s conference all season, and they've been dominant on the road. Regardless of how this one goes, it’ll be a perfect way to wrap up an awesome Saturday of basketball.

You can make your Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states

Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Adi Narang is a professional sports bettor and New York University graduate in Sports Management. A lifelong Denver sports fan, he’s spent over a decade applying data-driven analysis to trends, pricing, and game-level predictions. He’s always up for a sports conversation — from a Nikola Jokić GOAT debate to Korean Baseball batting orders.

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