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Florida vs. Kentucky Prediction, Picks: QB Rumble with DJ Lagway & Cutter Boley

Florida QB DJ Lagway throws a football in a CFB game.
AP Photo/Peter Joneleit

Florida and Kentucky, two long-time SEC rivals, meet for the 59th consecutive year and 75th time overall on Saturday evening in Lexington. Both teams enter the contest with identical 3-5 records, and likely need a 3-1 finish to make a bowl game. The game from Lexington, Kentucky is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on SEC Network.

Florida interim coach Billy Gonzalez, who took over for Billy Napier before last week’s loss to Georgia, looks for his first head coaching win. The man on the other side of the field, Kentucky coach Mark Stoops, is the all-time winningest coach at Kentucky and the longest tenured coach in the SEC.

The game features Florida’s DJ Lagway and Kentucky’s Cutter Boley behind center.

We'll give you our Florida vs. Kentucky prediction and CFB picks for PrizePicks, including Lagway and Boley player picks for PrizePicks real money college football game.

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Florida vs. Kentucky Prediction, Picks

The Florida-Kentucky rivalry was a one-sided affair for decades, with Florida winning 31 straight between 1987-2017. Since then, Kentucky has won four of the last seven matchups, including two straight at home in Lexington. Florida took last year’s matchup in Gainesville, 48-20, behind RB Jaden Baugh’s 5 rushing TDs. 

Florida Gators Preview

  • Kentucky, at 3-5, is the first team with a losing record Florida has faced all season. Last week, Florida lost to No. 5 Georgia, the fifth top-10 team the Gators faced this season. 
  • Interim head coach Billy Gonzales looks for his first career head coaching win after losing his debut last week vs. Georgia. He took over the Gators three weeks ago, replacing Billy Napier, who was fired after a 3-4 start. 
  • Florida’s offense enters the week ranked 107th of 136 FBS teams in scoring at 22.1 points per game. They rank 97th in total offensive yards, 104th in rushing offense, and 73rd in passing offense. 
  • The Gators' defense has kept them in games. Florida is 32nd in scoring D, allowing 20.5 points per game, 43rd in yards allowed, and 35th in rush defense. 

Kentucky Wildcats Preview

  • Kentucky dropped its first five SEC games this season, three by double digits and all vs. ranked teams, before upsetting Auburn last week on the road. 
  • The 'Cats have struggled on the offensive side of the ball all season, scoring 25+ points one time all season. The 22.4 PPG average ranks 103rd in the nation, while 346.1 total yards per game is 102nd.
  • The Wildcats have turnover issues, ranking 117th in the nation with a -6 differential. 
  • Kentucky's strongest unit has been their rush defense, which ranks 44th in the country, holding opponents to 130.1 rush yards per game. 

Florida vs. Kentucky Picks for PrizePicks

Here are the player picks to target in PrizePicks real money college football game and in CFB DFS, including Florida QB DJ Lagway and RB Jadan Baugh, and Kentucky QB Cutter Boley.

Florida QB DJ Lagway Projection: 224.5 passing yards

  • Florida QB DJ Lagway has thrown for 225+ passing yards in four of his eight games. However, three of those four have come in the last four games.
  • After throwing 5 TD passes in the first three games of the season, Lagway has thrown 5 TDs passes in five games since. 
  • For the season, the Florida starter is averaging 6.8 passing yards per attempt, ranking him 94th in the nation.
  • Lagway’s 128.5 passer rating falls 96th among FBS QBs and 15th among 16 qualified SEC QBs. 

Florida RB Jadan Baugh: 78.5 rushing yards


Kentucky QB Cutter Boley: 207.5 passing yards 

  • Kentucky QB Cutter Boley was named starter for the season’s second game. He has thrown for 200+ yards in four of his six starts. 
  • Boley tossed a career-high 5 passing TDs two weeks ago vs. Tennessee. The 5 passing TDs were half of his season total. 
  • Boley’s 137.7 passer rating is 11th in the SEC.
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Florida and Kentucky, two 3-5 SEC teams battling to make a bowl game, meet up in Kentucky on Saturday evening. 

Florida’s DJ Lagway looks to even the Gators SEC record at 3-3, while Cutter Boley tries to keep Kentucky out of the basement. 

No matter what your take on this Saturday evening’s matchup is, you can win real money with your Florida vs. Kentucky predictions on PrizePicks while you watch.

Simply pick your players — from Boley to Lagway — predict More or Less on their projected stats, and win cash when you're right. It's that easy.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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