The No. 5 Florida Gators (24-6) are arguably the hottest team in college basketball, riding a 10-game winning streak with a +23.2 average margin of victory. UF wraps up the regular season in Rupp Arena against the Kentucky Wildcats (19-11) at 4:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.
A win would add to Florida’s case for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, while Kentucky could be on the hunt for a six-seed in the Big Dance.
Let’s make a Florida vs. Kentucky prediction for Saturday’s regular-season finale. Make your CBB picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Florida vs. Kentucky Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Kentucky is 7-3 and 7-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last 10 head-to-head matchups, but Florida won February 14’s clash, 92-83.
Both teams are hot ATS, with the Gators 8-2 and the Wildcats 7-3 over the previous 10 games.
Florida vs. Kentucky Spread, Over/Under
In a tough road atmosphere, the 5.5-point spread from PrizePicks Team Picks is on track to be UF’s lowest mark since February 7.
Backed by a 14-3 home record, will the Wildcats pull off the upset with a 3.22x payout to win? On PrizePicks Team Picks, you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.
- Spread: Florida Gators -5.5
- Over/Under: 162.5
- Game Winner Payout: Florida 1.35x | Kentucky 3.22x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Florida vs. Kentucky Prediction on Over/Under
According to the SEC student-athlete availability report, Florida F Thomas Haugh is probable to play. The Wildcats could enjoy major reinforcements in the coming weeks, but for now, G Kam Williams and PF/C Jayden Quaintance remain out.
Williams and Quaintance are two of UK’s best stoppers, meaning the team may lack the defense to slow this rolling Gator offense — similar to their 92 points in February 14’s battle. Florida posted an absurd 93.2 points per game (PPG) in the last 10 games and totals 87.8 PPG for the season..
Bart Torvik ranks the Gators in the 92nd percentile for the quickest adjusted tempos, resulting in 65.0 shots per game (99th percentile). The Cats sit in the 63rd percentile of the category while launching 60.4 field goal attempts per contest.
In the previous clash, Kentucky logged 65 shots compared to UF’s 67. Another quick pace could be ahead, which usually aids the scoreboard.
Florida vs. Kentucky Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/7/26
Florida F Thomas Haugh, C Rueben Chinyelu, and Kentucky G Denzel Aberdeen carry impressive numbers, drawing attention to projections on PrizePicks.
Florida F Thomas Haugh vs. Kentucky Projection: 15.5 Points
- After missing March 3’s game due to injury, Haugh is probable for tonight, and he recorded 17 points against Kentucky on February 14.
- The junior is second on the team with 5.5 free throws attempted per game, and the Wildcats are in the 44th percentile of personal fouls per play and give up 21.2 average free throw attempts (38th percentile).
- Haugh posts 17.1 PPG and reached 17.4 PPG in his last 10 games.
- The 6’9” forward should have a height advantage against Kentucky G Otega Oweh (6’4”) and/or G Collin Chandler (6’5”).
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Florida C Rueben Chinyelu vs. Kentucky Projection: 12.5 Rebounds
- Chinyelu leads the SEC with an 18.5% offensive rebounding percentage, spearheading Florida’s elite 43.2% team offensive rebounding rate (99th percentile).
- The Gators totaled 18 offensive rebounds in the last matchup, as Kentucky is in the 63rd percentile of defensive rebounding percentage.
- The Nigerian center totaled 12 boards against the Wildcats and has recorded 13.8 rebounds per game (RPG) in his previous nine appearances.
Kentucky G Denzel Aberdeen vs. Florida Projection: 14 Points
- Due to injuries, Aberdeen’s been thrust into an increased role with 15.3 PPG in his last seven games, surpassing his average of 12.8 PPG for the season.
- The former Florida Gator upped his 10.0 field goal attempts per game to 12.7 in the seven-game split.
- More volume could mean more points, as Aberdeen posts 4.5 3-point attempts per game, but that’s increased to 6.4 in the last eight matchups.
- He succeeded in February 14’s duel with Florida, logging 19 points and 21 shots.
Make #5 Florida vs. Kentucky Picks on PrizePicks
Florida vs. Kentucky may be in store for another quick pace, impacting potential totals for college basketball picks. Make your calls for Saturday’s regular-season finale between the SEC rivals and more on PrizePicks.
Make your Florida vs. Kentucky picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states.
Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news.
