The Sunday slate of action kicks off with another international contest, as the Falcons and Colts square off in an NFL Berlin Game from Olympic Stadium.
Week 10’s early bout in Germany (9:30 a.m. ET on NFL Network and NFL+) sees dominant Indianapolis “host” sliding Atlanta. There’s no shortage of star power in this one, as both sides boast some of the best RB talent the sport has to offer.
Below, we’ll break down our Falcons vs. Colts prediction and some picks for the NFL Berlin Game. Use PrizePicks NFL to monitor player projections and make picks for real rewards if you’re right.
Falcons vs. Colts Prediction, Preview for Berlin Game, Week 10
Sunday marks the 19th all-time meeting between the Falcons and Colts. Believe it or not, Indianapolis owns a commanding 15-3 series lead. With that said, Atlanta has split the last four clashes.
On the injury front, neither side is at 100%. Atlanta will be without two offensive linemen (Storm Norton and Matthew Bergeron), meanwhile Indianapolis ruled defensive linemen DeForest Buckner, Samson Ebukam and Tyquan Lewis out.
Atlanta Falcons Preview vs. Colts
In year one with head coach Raheem Morris at the helm, the Falcons posted an 8-9 record, finishing two games short of tying for the NFC South lead.
Since getting out to a 3-2 start this season, Atlanta has dropped three games in a row. They have a -35 point differential in that span.
The Dirty Birds’ main culprit is their lackluster offense. Entering Week 10, it ranks 28th in points per drive and 29th in passing TDs.
Atlanta’s year-over-year defensive improvement is noticeable. After being 28th in points per drive in 2024, they’re up to 18th so far in 2025.
Indianapolis Colts Preview vs. Falcons
On the heels of a 9-8 2023 campaign and an 8-9 effort last year, the Colts decided they were done with mediocrity. They signed QB Daniel Jones and benched Anthony Richardson, sending a statement to the latter signal-caller.
The decision is paying off. Indianapolis’ 7-2 start is its best since a 14-win 2009 campaign with Peyton Manning still in town.
Head coach Shane Steichen has the Colts’ offense firing on all cylinders. It leads the sport in scoring and is second in yardage.
The jury is still out on Indy’s defense. Although it’s seventh in scoring, it ranks 25th in yardage and 30th in plays per drive. Can that bend-but-don’t-break approach last?
Falcons vs. Colts Picks for Sunday
Here are three Falcons vs. Colts picks for Sunday’s Week 10 bout. Some top same-game PrizePicks projections to consider include Atlanta RB Bijan Robinson and Indianapolis’ QB-RB duo of Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor.
Falcons RB Bijan Robinson vs. Colts Projection: 116.5 Rush + Rec Yards
- Since his 238-yard explosion against the Bills on Oct. 13, Robinson hasn’t reached the 100-yard mark from scrimmage.
- In his last three games, Robinson averaged just 4.54 yards per touch (including 3.2 yards per carry).
- Indianapolis surrenders the fourth-lowest rushing total to RBs (70.9 yards per game).
- Per NFL Pro, Robinson leads all RBs with 75+ carries in percentage of rushes outside the tackles at 76.3. Against such runs, the Colts yield only 3.2 yards a crack.
Colts QB Daniel Jones vs. Falcons Projection: 241.5 Pass Yards
- Although Jones did set a season-high with 342 passing yards in Week 9, it was largely due to the Colts falling behind 24-7.
- Jones threw 50 times in that 27-20 loss, mustering a 2025-low 4.54 adjusted net yards per attempt.
- Per NFL Pro, Jones completes just 55.3% of his passes against the blitz, the eighth-lowest mark in the sport. No one blitzes more than Atlanta (49.2%).
- This year’s Falcons defense has allowed a 250-yard passer just once. Their 1,398 passing yards to QBs is the lowest total of all 32 NFL teams.
- Atlanta has the seventh-lowest EPA/pass as a defense (-0.06), per SumerSports.
Colts RB Jonathan Taylor vs. Falcons Projection: 90.5 Rush Yards
- Via NFL Pro, Taylor averages more yards after contact per carry than all but one RB with 75+ attempts: Robinson on the Falcons.
- If the Colts can get out to a lead, Taylor could be unleashed. According to Sharp Football Analysis, he averages 7.1 yards per carry in the second half of games.
- Per SumerSports, 43 RBs have 50+ rush attempts this year. Taylor leads the field in total EPA (27.70), yards per carry (5.70) and yards after contact (689).
- Atlanta’s defense yields the 11th-most rushing yards per game to RBs at 100.5. It also ranks 28th in rush EPA/play.
Make Falcons vs. Colts Picks on PrizePicks
Whether you’re getting up early to make Falcons vs. Colts picks, have another Week 10 game in mind or are simply looking ahead to the home stretch, PrizePicks gives you options. Joining the NFL picks action is simple, especially with so many player projections available.
Just pick players, predict More or Less for their projected stats, and win real money if you’re right.
Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for picks and analysis all year.
