The top-ranked Duke Blue Devils (27-2) clinched the ACC regular-season championship but have ambitions for more rolling into March. Head coach Jon Scheyer’s squad improved to 15-1 in conference play after routing Virginia on Saturday, 77-51.
Now, the Blue Devils make the short trip to Raleigh to face North Carolina State (19-10), who aim to snap a two-game slide.
Let’s look at a Duke vs. NC State prediction and picks for Monday’s battle at Lenovo Center, tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. Make your CBB picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Duke vs. NC State Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Two seasons ago, the Wolfpack not only surprised the Blue Devils in the ACC tournament but also knocked off Duke in the Elite Eight.
Last season, Duke took care of NC State, 74-64, in Durham as 22-point favorites. The Wolfpack have covered five of the last six matchups dating back to 2023.
Duke vs. NC State Spread, Over/Under
The Blue Devils enter this matchup as 9.5-point favorites, returning a 1.13x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Wolfpack are home underdogs with a 5.26x payout if they win, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.
- Spread: Duke Blue Devils -9.5
- Over/Under: 148.5
- Game Winner Payout: Duke 1.13x | NC State 5.26x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Duke vs. NC State Prediction on Spread
Here are some key stats to know before locking in your Duke vs. NC State prediction on spread for Monday, March 2 on PrizePicks.
- Duke has covered four straight games since an 0-4 against the spread (ATS) slump to begin February.
- The Wolfpack started ACC play at 9-2 but have lost four of the last five games.
- NC State allowed at least 90 points in the past two losses to Virginia (90-61) and Notre Dame (96-90).
- Head coach Will Wade’s club ranks 16th in conference play defending the 3-point shot (36.5%).
- Duke sits first in ACC action in 2-point shooting (59.9%) despite shooting a season-low 48.3% in Saturday’s rout of Virginia.
- NC State posts the lowest turnover percentage in ACC action (12.4%), while Duke forces the most turnovers (19.1%) in conference play.
- The Wolfpack are 1-6 ATS in the last seven games and have covered just once in four underdog opportunities.
- In the last two seasons, the Blue Devils are 34-2 in ACC play, with both losses coming on the road to Clemson and North Carolina.
Duke vs. NC State Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/2/26
Here are three top Duke vs. NC State picks to target on Monday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by three players: Duke F Cameron Boozer, NC State F Darrion Williams, and Blue Devils G Isaiah Evans.
Duke F Cameron Boozer vs. NC State Projection: 31.5 Pts + Rebs
- The dynamic freshman leads the Blue Devils, averaging 22.5 points and 10.0 rebounds a contest.
- In the last two games, the Miami native hit 23 free throws. In the seven prior outings, he knocked a total of 22 attempts from the foul line.
- In six of the past seven road contests, Boozer topped 32 points and rebounds. He averages 23.8 PPG and 11.0 RPG in these outings.
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NC State F Darrion Williams vs. Duke Projection: 13.5 Points
- The senior is posting 14.3 PPG after averaging 15.1 PPG at Texas Tech last season.
- Williams didn’t reach 14 points in four straight games before scoring 14 against Virginia and 17 in Saturday’s loss at Notre Dame.
- In six of the previous seven home games, Williams hasn’t scored more than 13 points. Four times in this stretch, he hasn’t reached double figures.
- Since scoring 25 points against SMU on February 3, Williams is shooting 27-of-73 from the floor (36.9%).
Duke G Isaiah Evans vs. NC State Projection: 15.5 Points
- The sophomore wing has more than doubled his scoring average from last season, compiling 14.7 PPG.
- Evans knocked down 5 of 9 attempts from 3-point range and scored 19 points against Virginia.
- The highest output in Evans' last five road contests was 21 points in a 70-54 win at Pittsburgh on February 10.
- Evans drilled at least a pair of 3-pointers in seven of the last eight games. NC State has given up 12 treys in each of its past two losses.
Make #1 Duke vs. NC State Picks on PrizePicks
The Blue Devils are on their way to a top seed in the NCAA tournament, aiming to avoid a letdown against NC State tonight.
You can make your Duke vs. NC State picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more CBB picks, predictions, and news every day.
