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Dream vs. Fever Prediction, Picks: Can Kelsey Mitchell Keep Indiana’s Season Alive?

Our Dream vs. Fever Prediction, Picks shine the spotlight on Indy star guard Kelsey Mitchell.
AP Photo/Darron Cummings

The WNBA playoffs roll on at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, when the Atlanta Dream try to close out the Indiana Fever in their first round best-of-three series.

The Dream pulled away from the Fever in Sunday’s Game 1 in Atlanta, 80-68, but the series shifts to Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis as the Fever look to force a decisive Game 3 back in Atlanta.

Let’s take a look at tonight’s Dream vs. Fever prediction and three free WNBA picks for Tuesday, September 16, including PrizePicks WNBA Picks to target for tonight. 

Dream vs. Fever Prediction, Picks

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Fever G Kelsey Mitchell: 23.5 Pts+Asts

  • Mitchell led the Fever in scoring this season at 20.2 points per game, to go along with 3.4 assists per contest.
  • The former Ohio State star torched the Dream for 27 points in the playoff opener on 9-of-18 shooting from the floor.
  • In the four regular season matchups with Atlanta, Mitchell averaged 19.2 points. Her top scoring output came on July 11, when she threw down 25 in a 99-82 home rout.
  • Mitchell converted 11 total free throws in the first four meetings against the Dream, but knocked down 8 foul shots in Game 1.
  • She never dished out more than 3 assists in any of the four games against Atlanta in the regular season, but compiled 4 dimes in Sunday’s loss.
  • At home this season, Mitchell drilled 42.1% of her 3-point attempts. The Dream ranked second in the league in defending 3-pointers on the road, limiting opponents to 31.9% shooting. 

Dream G Rhyne Howard: 17.5 Points

  • Howard is averaging 21.4 points per game over the last 13 contests since returning from a left ankle injury in August.
  • In Sunday’s victory over Indiana, the top pick of the 2022 draft scored 20 points on 6-of-17 shooting.
  • Howard hit 4-of-10 attempts from 3-point land, marking the sixth time in the last seven games she drained at least 3 shots from distance.
  • Howard’s first two matchups against the Fever were productive, as she put up 20 and 24 points. The next two games she saw a scoring dip, posting 3 and 14 points on a combined 6-of-19 shooting.
  • In seven of her last eight games, Howard has eclipsed tonight's 17.5-point scoring projection.
  • The guard is attempting a career-high 9.1 shots per game from 3-point range, but also converting a career-low 32.2%.
  • Indy ranks third in the league in home defensive 3-point percentage at 30.4%.

Fever C Aliyah Boston: 8.5 Rebounds

  • Boston pulled down 12 rebounds in the series opener, marking the second time in the last seven games she grabbed double-digit boards.
  • In six of the previous 10 games, Boston has been limited to 8 or less rebounds.
  • In three of four regular season meetings with Atlanta, Boston compiled 7 or fewer boards. 
  • Atlanta leads the league in fewest rebounds allowed at 31.4 per contest.
  • In five of the last seven home games, Boston has failed to rack up more than 9 rebounds.

Make Picks on WNBA on PrizePicks

Atlanta looks to advance to the WNBA semifinals with a victory over Indiana on the road tonight, so there’s never been a better time to add to the excitement of every WNBA moment than with PrizePicks.

There are a wide variety of player stat projections on the WNBA board, so you can put together your Lineup however you’d like — with no salary or positional restrictions. Just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks.

Check out the Playbook throughout the remainder of the WNBA season for more analysis for your PrizePicks and WNBA DFS Lineups.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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