First pitch for the Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies game set for 6:40 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 14, with the Phillies entering as favorites and returning a 1.66x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.
Both teams have played fairly average ball heading into tonight’s game, with the Cubs sitting at 7-9 and the Phillies at 8-8. This is the second of a three-game series between these teams, with the Phillies winning game one last night, 13-7.
Below, we'll break down our Cubs vs. Phillies prediction and picks for Tuesday’s MLB game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Tuesday, April 14
The Cubs aim to rebound following a disappointing loss in the first game of this series in which they fell behind 13-2 before rallying for 5 runs of their own in the top of the eighth. SP Javier Assad bore the brunt of the damage for them, going 4.1 innings while giving up 11 hits and 9 runs.
The game encapsulated the slow start the Cubs have had to begin the 2026 season. They currently sit last in the NL Central, but with 146 games still to go, it is far from time to panic in Chicago.
The Phillies' bats have been pretty cold, especially given the talent in their batting order and some lofty expectations. They had back-to-back shutout losses at the hands of the San Francisco Giants just one week ago but have since rebounded with at least 3 runs in every game since.
Philly now sets out to see if yesterday’s 13-run explosion, which saw star DH Kyle Schwarber swat 2 home runs, will be enough to jumpstart this offense into brighter days.
Cubs vs. Phillies Spread, Over/Under – Tuesday, April 14
The Phillies enter Tuesday’s game as moderate home favorites against the Cubs, returning a 1.66x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Cubs vs. Phillies game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (2.32x payout)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Cubs 2.12x | Phillies 1.66x
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Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Cubs vs. Phillies Prediction on Spread – 4/14/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Cubs vs. Phillies prediction on the spread for Tuesday, April 14.
Lock in your Cubs vs. Phillies prediction on PrizePicks before the line moves.
- The Phillies have been the worst team at covering the run line, going 4-12-0 (25%) against the spread (ATS).
- With that said, in 2025, Philadelphia posted a top-10 ATS record of 88-78 (53%).
- The Cubs plan to open with RP Riley Martin, but it could be SP Colin Rea who picks up a chunk of the innings.
- This gives the SP advantage to the Phillies on paper, as Aaron Nola (3.1 xFIP this season, 3.36 career xFIP) will toe the slab as opposed to Rea working a bulk role for the Cubs (3.56 xFIP this season, 4.38 career xFIP).
- Lastly, Philly has the second-best bullpen xFIP in the league at a minuscule 3.09. The Cubs rank 17th in that department with a bullpen xFIP of 4.30.
Cubs vs. Phillies Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 4/14/26
Here are the top Cubs vs. Phillies picks to target on PrizePicks for Tuesday, April 14. Today’s MLB picks for PrizePicks include OF Ian Happ and SP Aaron Nola.
Cubs OF Ian Happ vs. Phillies Projection: 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
- It’s been a slow start to the season for Happ, who is slashing just .211/.308/.474.
- The main issue has been his strikeout rate of 33.8%, which is 11% higher than his K% last year and 7.3% above his career K-rate.
- Happ had some notable home/road splits last season. At home, he had a 14.6% BB-rate, 19.3% K-rate, and a 128 wRC+. On the road, he had an 11.7 BB%, 26.1 K%, and a 104 wRC+.
- In his career, Happ also has some atrocious splits against Nola, going hitless in 18 at-bats with 8 strikeouts and just 1 walk.
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Phillies P Aaron Nola vs. Cubs Projection: 5.5 Strikeouts
- Nola has been awesome early on, owning a 3.1 xFIP and a 9.87 K/9, going over this projection in two of his three starts so far.
- The Cubs' offense has been mediocre at best, ranking 20th in wRC+. On the road, it strikes out 24.3% of the time (14th).
- Nola has had a higher K/9 vs. right-handed hitters in every season dating back to 2022; the Cubs' projected lineup contains five RHH.
- The Phillies' ace has also had notable home/road splits throughout his 11 prior seasons with the ball club. He has had a lower xFIP at home in 10 of those campaigns.
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Cubs vs. Phillies is just one of 15 games on this massive Tuesday MLB slate. Which side could come out on top in a pitching battle of an opener and a more proven commodity?
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