NFL Week 11 concludes with the Cowboys (3-5-1) heading to Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas for a clash with the Raiders (2-7) on Monday Night Football. With the matchup set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN and ABC, let's break down our Cowboys vs. Raiders prediction and MNF picks.
The Cowboys have struggled to maintain consistency this season and have failed to achieve consecutive wins. Dallas comes in with consecutive losses and faces a challenge they’ve struggled with all season: They're just 1-4 on the road and 0-2-1 in primetime games, among them their Week 9 Monday night loss to the Cardinals.
The Raiders won in Week 1, marking the start of the Pete Carroll era on a positive note, but things have since gone downhill, with losses in seven of the last eight games.
In the offseason, Las Vegas traded for QB Geno Smith from Carroll’s former team, the Seattle Seahawks. Smith has struggled, as he ranks 29th in passer rating (81.4).
Cowboys vs. Raiders Prediction & Monday Night Football Picks
Here's how things stack up heading into Monday Night's interconference matchup.
Raiders Preview vs. Cowboys
- After a disappointing 2024, the Raiders fired head coach Antonio Pierce. Including interim head coaches, Pete Carroll marks the franchise’s fourth sideline general since 2021 and 14th since 2002.
- The team of Carroll and Smith was offensively successful in Seattle, finishing tenth in points scored per game in 2022 (23.9). However, they have not repeated that success and are now 31st with 15.4 points scored per game.
- Las Vegas could continue its history of recent mediocrity, having now lost at least seven games in 22 of the last 23 seasons.
Cowboys Preview vs. Raiders
- The Cowboys also have a brand-new head coach, with former offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer receiving the promotion after owner Jerry Jones canned former head coach Mike McCarthy following five seasons.
- Dallas has one of the better offenses in the league, ranking third in EPA per play (0.13), fifth in yards per play (5.9), and fourth in points per drive (2.6).
- The offense needs to support one of the worst defenses in the league, which is 31st in points allowed per game (30.8), and opponents’ success rate (51%)
Here are the top Cowboys vs. Raiders picks for MNF tonight on the PrizePicks real-money NFL game, including QBs Geno Smith and Dak Prescott.
Raiders QB Geno Smith Projection: 235.5 Passing Yards
- Smith has more than 235 passing yards in three of nine games this season.
- In two of those games where Smith threw for more than 235 yards, the Raiders faced an opponent that is in the bottom five in passing yards allowed per game.
- The Cowboys are 29th in passing yards allowed per game (254.4).
- Quarterbacks have thrown for more than 240 yards in six of nine games against Dallas.
Cowboys QB Dak Prescott Projection: 257.5 Passing Yards
- Dak Prescott is sixth in the league with 2,319 passing yards.
- Las Vegas is allowing 214.2 passing yards per game, which ranks 17th in the league.
- Prescott has faced four defenses that are in the top-15 in passing yards allowed per game, but has thrown for more than 250 yards only once.
- The Raiders have stared down three quarterbacks ahead of Prescott in terms of passing yards thrown this season (Kansas City's Patrick Mahomes, Indianapolis' Daniel Jones, and the Chargers' Justin Herbert). Mahomes is the only one who threw for more than 250 yards against Las Vegas.
- The Raiders' defense has the fifth-highest zone coverage rate (76.8%).
- The Mississippi State product ranks 17th in passer rating against zone coverage (92.6).
Raiders RB Ashton Jeanty Projection: 62.5 Rushing Yards
- Ashton Jeanty has rushed for more than 63 yards in four of his last seven games.
- The Cowboys have allowed a running back to rack up for more than 62 yards on the ground in four of their last six games.
- Dallas is 29th in rushing yards allowed per game (143.0) and 27th in rushing yards allowed per attempt (4.3).
- The Cowboys rank 25th in missed tackles (64).
- The 2025 first-round pick is 11th among running backs in juke rate (28.9%) and sixth in evaded tackles (48).
Make Cowboys vs. Raiders Picks Tonight on PrizePicks
It’s the Raiders' second-worst scoring offense against the Cowboys’ second-worst scoring defense; we’ll see if either can deliver a notable performance.
This Monday Night Football matchup is a great opportunity to make NFL picks on PrizePicks and win real money. Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their weekly stat projections, and cash in if your picks are correct.
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