Chwalinska vs. Andreeva Prediction for French Open Final – Saturday, June 6

The 2026 French Open women’s final is set with the unlikeliest of matchups: Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva. A new major champion will be crowned on Saturday, June 6.

Below, we’ll break down our Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva prediction for the French Open women’s singles final, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks pick. 

Entering Roland Garros, Andreeva was perhaps flying under the radar behind the top contenders — but a run to a major final was expected sooner rather than later. The 19-year-old was already winning Grand Slam matches in 2023 when she was just 16, so great things were expected of her out of the gate. 

This Andreeva’s chance to win what could be the first of multiple Grand Slam titles. 

Chwalinska is a low-ranked qualifier who needed to win three additional matches just to make the main draw and is unsponsored. The Pole is on the greatest Cinderella run the sport has seen since Emma Raducanu won the US Open as a qualifier in 2021.

The French Open women’s final is scheduled to begin at 9 a.m. ET on TNT and streamed on HBO Max. Let’s dive into Saturday’s Grand Slam final in Paris.

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Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva Prediction, Favorite for French Open Final

Below are the payouts for who will win Saturday’s Chwalinska vs. Andreeva French Open final match, via PrizePicks Team Picks. 

Maja Chwalinska: 3.7x
Mirra Andreeva: 1.23x

On PrizePicks Team Picks, a 3.7x payout means the result will return $370 on a $100 entry. A lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.

Payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tennis winner markets are available in 35 states.

Maja Chwalinska vs. Mirra Andreeva Prediction for French Open Final – Saturday, June 6

Final Winner Payouts: Chwalinska 3.70x | Andreeva 1.23x
Tournament Round: Women’s Final
2026 Record Entering the French Open: Chwalinska 20-9 | Andreeva 29-9
Head-to-Head Record: First Meeting
Scheduled Time: 9 a.m. ET
How to Watch: TNT/HBO Max

On paper, this looks like a classic mismatch between the world No. 8 Andreeva and world No. 114 Chwalinska, and that’s reflected in the match winner payouts. Along the same lines, Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings show a 86.2% win probability for Mirra Andreeva against Maja Chwalinska.

Andreeva has been knocking on the door to win a championship at Roland Garros after reaching the semis in 2024 and the quarters last year. 

While the most prestigious of Andreeva’s five tour-level singles titles have come on hard courts (Indian Wells and Dubai), clay has easily been her most consistent surface, boasting a 78.3% career win percentage. 

She enters this final with a sparkling 21-3 clay record in 2026, including a title in Linz. Andreeva’s won five of her six French Open matches in straight sets, as well.

On the other hand, Chwalinska has barely competed in tour-level events over her career despite being five years older than Andreeva. The vast majority of her 2026 wins have come in second-tier WTA 125 tournaments, and before her run here, she had only ever won one main-draw match at a major. 

And yet, despite all of this, Chwalinska’s inspired play at this tournament — climbing the ladder as a qualifier — suggests she has a puncher’s chance at pulling off the upset. 

Including qualifying, Chwalinska has not only won nine straight matches, but she’s dropped only one set. And while she hasn’t faced any top-10 opponents, she has straight-set wins over Elise Mertens, Anna Kalinskaya, and Diana Shnaider — all ranked inside the top 25.  She also defeated the 2024 Olympic champion, Qinwen Zheng.

The pressure will be firmly on Andreeva as the heavy favorite, too, whereas Chwalinska’s already playing with house money, almost tripling her career earnings.

Chwalinska’s projected to jump all the way to No. 21 in the rankings, and she would even crack the top 15 with a win.

All signs still point to Andreeva winning her first Grand Slam, something that’s been anticipated since she first burst onto the scene. But Chwalinska has defied the odds over and over at this tournament, showing few weaknesses, and she might not go away quietly.‍

Make your Chwalinska vs. Andreeva French Open prediction on PrizePicks now!

Chwalinska vs. Andreeva Pick in French Open Final

Maja Chwalinska — 8.5 Total Games Won

Chwalinska doesn’t have a big serve, winning a solid, if unspectacular, 64% of her first-serve points in Paris, but she’s been one of the tournament’s best on her second serve, winning 58% of those points.

While Andreeva has performed well on her first-serve points (71% win rate), she’s unlikely to get free points off Chwalinska through aces. The Russian is roughly average in ace rate on clay this season (4.0%), and she’s averaging just 1.5 aces per match in Paris. 

Both players are returning well here. Andreeva has won 53% of her receiving points while Chwalinska has won 50%. That could lead to tight sets, potentially resulting in a tiebreaker or even a deciding set. Chwalinska’s last two opening sets have both gone to a tiebreak. 

Add Maja Chwalinska to your PrizePicks French Open picks now!

Make Your French Open Final Predictions on PrizePicks

Whether it’s 19-year-old Andreeva or the Cinderella story Chwalinska, a fresh face will be a first-time major champion on Saturday. Will it be the teenage phenom Mirra Andreeva lifting the trophy, or could we see Maja Chwalinska’s historic run cross the finish line? 

Don’t wait until the match starts on Saturday at 9 a.m. ET — make your French Open final predictions on PrizePicks now.

Pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats like games won or aces, or make match winner predictions with Team Picks, available in 35 states!

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