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Celtics vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread, NBA Picks for Tuesday, March 10

San Antonio Spurs C Victor Wembanyama runs down the court in a game against the Phoenix Suns.
AP Photo/Mike Christy

A matchup between two of the best teams in the NBA takes center stage tonight when the Boston Celtics (43-21) march into the Frost Bank Center to take on the San Antonio Spurs (47-17).

This is the second and final matchup of the season between these two teams, with Boston looking to even the score after dropping the first game at home 100-95.

Celtics vs. Spurs tips off at 8:00 p.m. ET on Thursday from San Antonio, TX, live on NBC and Peacock.

Below, we’ll break down our Celtics vs. Spurs prediction and Tuesday NBA picks for PrizePicks. Use PrizePicks NBA to make picks on player projections and win real money if you’re right.

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Celtics vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

Don’t look now, but the Celtics are coming for the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference. Winners of eight of their last 10, they're just 2.5 games behind the Detroit Pistons, who have lost their last four games.

The C’s have looked every bit of a true title threat, but with F Jayson Tatum back in the fold, that has gone to a whole new level. A 20-point win at home over the Dallas Mavericks in his first game back was nice, but somewhat expected. An 11-point win in Cleveland against the Cavaliers was much more impressive.

It’s taken this team no time to jell following Tatum’s return, and he has somehow looked like the Tatum he was before he tore his Achilles.

We could be watching a dynasty being born with the Spurs. This team is young but has followed the competitive mindset of its best player, C Victor Wembanyama, and is steamrolling the NBA, winning four straight games and 15 of its last 16.

San Antonio has the second-best record in the NBA and sits just three games back of the Oklahoma City Thunder for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference.

“Yes” on both the Celtics and the Spurs to hoist this year’s Larry O’Brien Trophy is currently returning a 5.55x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks.

Celtics vs. Spurs Spread, Over/Under

The Spurs enter Tuesday’s game as 4.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.63x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Celtics are road underdogs with a 2.12x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.

  • Spread: San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (2x payout)
  • Over/Under: 222.5 (1.81x payout on over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Celtics 2.12x | Spurs 1.63x

Team Picks payouts are live as of publishing and are subject to change.


Celtics vs. Spurs Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Celtics vs. Spurs injury report for Tuesday, via NBA.com.

Boston Celtics Injury Report

  • G Payton Pritchard (neck): Questionable
  • SG Baylor Scheierman (thumb): Available
  • C Nikola Vucevic (finger): OUT

San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

  • SF Harrison Barnes (ankle): OUT
  • C Mason Plumlee (conditioning): Questionable
  • SG Lindy Waters III (illness): Questionable

Celtics vs. Spurs Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Celtics vs. Spurs prediction on the spread for Tuesday, March 10, on PrizePicks.

  • The Celtics are 22-11-0 (66.7%) against the spread (ATS) on the road, the best cover percentage in the NBA.
  • For the season, the Celtics have the second-best net rating (+8.2), one point better than the Spurs (+7.2).
  • Over their last 10 games, San Antonio has the best net rating in the NBA (+13.6), only 1.6 points better than the Celtics over that same span (+12).
  • This is a great stylistic matchup for the Celtics because teams struggle most against the Spurs when they rely on paint scoring, which is wiped out by Wembanyama.
  • Boston ranks 25th in percentage of points scored from 2-point range (47%). Head coach Joe Mazzulla and the C’s shoot the third-most 3-pointers in the NBA at 42.4 per game. 

Celtics vs. Spurs Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/10/26

Here are two of the top Celtics vs. Spurs to consider for Tuesday, March 10, on PrizePicks. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by F Jaylen Brown and C Victor Wembanyama.

Celtics F Jaylen Brown vs. Spurs Projection: 37.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • Brown is averaging 41 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) per game. On the road, that number increases to 43.5.
  • JB is averaging a career-high 7.2 rebounds and 5.1 assists. In February, those numbers increased to 8.7 and 5.2, respectively. So far in March, those figures have increased even further to 8.8 and 7.5.
  • Brown has gone over this projection in both games since Tatum has returned, posting 24-7-7 (41 PRA) and 23-9-8 (40 PRA).
  • This is a notable tempo-up game for the Celtics, who rank last in the NBA in pace, facing the Spurs, who rank 12th.

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Spurs C Victor Wembanyama vs. Pistons Projection: 37.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • Wemby is averaging 37.9 PRA, but at home, that number rises to 39.9.
  • This increase in production is because he averages 1.6 more rebounds, 0.3 more assists, and 2 more PPG in San Antonio.
  • Wembanyama has gone over this projection in his last three games, all against great defensive teams in the Houston Rockets, Los Angeles Clippers, and Pistons.
  • Boston allows opponents to shoot the sixth-most 3-point attempts per game (38.8). At home, Wemby tries 5.5 3-pointers per game at a career-high 36.2% clip.

Make Celtics vs. Spurs Picks on PrizePicks

We may be looking at a potential NBA Finals preview tonight in San Antonio, but Celtics vs. Spurs picks aren’t the only way hoops fans can get in on the daily NBA action.

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Adi Narang is a professional sports bettor and New York University graduate in Sports Management. A lifelong Denver sports fan, he’s spent over a decade applying data-driven analysis to trends, pricing, and game-level predictions. He’s always up for a sports conversation — from a Nikola Jokić GOAT debate to Korean Baseball batting orders.

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