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Celtics vs. Bucks Prediction, Spread, NBA Picks for Monday, March 2

Boston Celtics G Derrick White against the Golden State Warriors.
AP Photo/Jeff Chiu

Two teams, both on the tail end of back-to-backs, meet up at the Fiserv Forum when the Milwaukee Bucks (26-33) play host to the Boston Celtics (40-20). The season series between these squads is tied at 1-1 — each team has won at home.

The Celtics come into this matchup on fire, victors of eight of their last 10 games, while the Bucks have suffered defeats in their last two. Celtics vs. Bucks tips off at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday from Milwaukee, WI.

Below, we’ll break down our Celtics vs. Bucks prediction and Monday NBA picks for PrizePicks. Use PrizePicks NBA to make picks on player projections and win real money if you’re right.

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Celtics vs. Bucks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

This is quietly turning into one of the more underrated seasons in Celtics history. They've met and destroyed all expectations from before the season and have established themselves as a legitimate contender, with or without the return of All-Star F Jayson Tatum.

In their last two wins, the Celtics have recorded a combined 262 points, propelling them to the best offensive rating in the NBA (120.3), surpassing the Denver Nuggets. They've been led by MVP candidate F Jaylen Brown, who, in year 10, is averaging career highs in points (29), rebounds (7.1), and assists (5) per game.

The Celtics are currently returning a 9.09x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they hoist this year’s Larry O’Brien Trophy.

Milwaukee has struggled with the face of the franchise, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, playing in only 30 of their 59 games. They're on the outside looking in on the play-in tournament, sitting three games behind the rising Charlotte Hornets.

One positive of Antetokounmpo’s absence has been the emergence of other players as potential building blocks. One of those players has been G Ryan Rollins, who has taken a career-shifting step forward, averaging 17 points, 4.6 rebounds, and 5.4 assists.

Antetokounmpo is expected to return on Monday night after his prolonged stint on the sideline.

Celtics vs. Bucks Spread, Over/Under

The Celtics enter Monday’s game as 2.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.85x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Bucks are home underdogs with a 1.92x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: Boston Celtics -2.5 (1.81x payout)
  • Over/Under: 215.5 (1.81x payout on over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Celtics 1.85x | Bucks 1.92x

Team Picks payouts are live as of writing and are subject to change.


Celtics vs. Bucks Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Celtics vs. Bucks injury report for Monday, via NBA.com.

Boston Celtics Injury Report

  • F Jaylen Brown (illness): OUT
  • C Neemias Queta (rest): OUT
  • F Jayson Tatum (Achilles): OUT

Milwaukee Bucks Injury Report

  • PF Giannis Antetokounmpo (calf): Questionable

Celtics vs. Bucks Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Celtics vs. Bucks prediction on the spread for Monday, March 2, on PrizePicks.

  • The Celtics are 35-25-0 (58.3%) against the spread (ATS), the third-best record in the NBA. On the road, this number improves to 20-11-0 (64.5%). Milwaukee is 27-32 (45.8%) ATS.
  • Milwaukee is just 27-32 ATS on the year.
  • For the season, Boston has the second-best net rating in the league at +8.3. This is a full 12 points better than Milwaukee’s net rating of -3.7.
  • Of all the advantages the Celtics have, perhaps the biggest comes on the boards. The C’s are fourth in rebounding percentage (52%), while the Bucks come in ranked 27th at 48.4%.

Celtics vs. Bucks Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/02/26

Here are two of the top Celtics vs. Bucks to consider for Monday, March 2, on PrizePicks. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by G Derrick White and G Ryan Rollins.

Celtics G Derrick White vs. Bucks Projection: 32.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • White sees massive increases in both usage rate and assist percentage without Brown in the lineup. His usage rate jumps from 22.9% to 29%, and his assist percentage rises from 22.4% to 28%.
  • White is averaging 0.2 more rebounds and 1 more assist on the road.
  • Milwaukee allows opponents to try the fourth-most 3-point attempts each night (39.4) at the eighth-highest clip (36.6%). White fires up 8.8 trey-balls a game.
  • The Bucks also cede 44.6 rebounds (18th) and 27.4 assists (20th) per game.

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Bucks G Ryan Rollins vs. Celtics Projection: 26.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • As good as Rollins has been, he has one of the league's more difficult individual matchups vs. White, who leads the Celtics in both steals (1.2) and blocks (1.5) each outing.
  • Possessions may be at a premium for Milwaukee tonight, as this is a low-paced matchup against the league’s slowest team. 
  • The Celtics' defense has given up the league’s sixth-fewest rebounds (41.8) and assists (24.9) per game.
  • Boston possesses the sixth-best defensive rating (112) in the NBA and allows opponents to shoot just 44.1% from the field, third-lowest.

Make Celtics vs. Bucks Picks on PrizePicks

It’s a matchup between two teams trending at warp speed in opposite directions, but there may still be spots to attack. Additionally, Celtics vs. Bucks picks aren’t the only way hoops fans can get in on the daily NBA action.

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Adi Narang is a professional sports bettor and New York University graduate in Sports Management. A lifelong Denver sports fan, he’s spent over a decade applying data-driven analysis to trends, pricing, and game-level predictions. He’s always up for a sports conversation — from a Nikola Jokić GOAT debate to Korean Baseball batting orders.

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