The Chicago Bears (8-3) are riding a four-game win streak after Sunday's 31-28 dub over the Pittsburgh Steelers. They now lead the NFC North through 12 weeks for the first time since 2018.
On Black Friday, the Bears host the NFC East-leading Philadelphia Eagles (8-3) with a chance to extend their streak to five.
This Black Friday game kicks off at 3:00 p.m. on Prime Video.
Chicago QB Caleb Williams is the big reason for their resurgence, throwing for 2,568 yards and 16 TDs with a 91.3 passer rating. He’s just 1,432 yards away from becoming Chicago’s first-ever 4,000-yard passer.
Below are the top Caleb Williams picks for this year’s Black Friday game vs. the Eagles. There are ample PrizePicks NFL player projections to choose from.
Caleb Williams Stats, Picks vs. Eagles for Black Friday Game
Bears QB Caleb Williams vs. Eagles Projection: 213.5 Pass Yards
- Williams is averaging 233.5 passing yards per game and has exceeded 213.5 yards in four of his last five outings.
- Chicago averages 7.1 yards per pass attempt (18th in NFL) and 8.5 air yards per attempt (eighth) under first-year head coach Ben Johnson.
- The Eagles' defense has been vulnerable against the pass in recent games, surrendering 304.5 YPG in their last two.
- Chicago’s offensive line is among the best in the NFL — Williams has the most time to throw (3.14 seconds) — which has allowed him to attempt the league's third-most deep balls (50) and deliver the fifth-most air yards (2,853).
- With the Eagles ranking 30th in passing yards per completion (11.5), and Williams' ability to push the ball downfield, there is a possibility he could surpass 213.5 passing yards for the seventh time this season.
Bears QB Caleb Williams vs. Eagles Projection: 33 Pass Attempts
- Williams enters Week 13 with 103 pass attempts over his last three games, averaging 34.3 per outing.
- He's recorded 33+ attempts in six of 11 games this season (54.5%).
- Chicago has leaned on its franchise QB more in recent weeks, with 30+ pass attempts in five straight games, exceeding their 34.7 pass plays per game average.
- With Chicago’s defense allowing 26.5 PPG (27th in NFL), Williams has had to keep up with the opposition, thus the Bears are averaging 32.8 PPG during their four-game winning streak.
- Philadelphia's defense faces 34.3 opponent pass attempts per game this season (36 in their last game against the Cowboys — over their last five games, opposing QBs are averaging 35 pass attempts per game.
More Caleb Williams Projections vs. Eagles for Black Friday Game
Here are some additional Caleb Williams projections vs. the Eagles for this year’s Black Friday game, courtesy of PrizePicks.
- 20.5 Rush Yards
- 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (Demon)
- 0.5 Pass TDs (Goblin)
- 19.5 Pass Comp
- 238.5 Pass+Rush Yds
- 0.5 INT
- 4.5 Rush Atts
- 34.5 Longest Completion
- 10.5 Longest Rush
This Bears-Eagles matchup presents plenty of Black Friday choices to consider — Williams included — so check out the best projections and picks for Chicago’s QB in Week 13.
Get in on the real money Black Friday action on PrizePicks. Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and win if you’re right.
