Bucks vs. Wizards Prediction, Spread: Giannis Out, Who Steps Up?

Bucks G Ryan Rollins defends in an NBA game.
AP Photo/David Zalubowski

The Milwaukee Bucks and Washington Wizards meet on Thursday night in a matchup of teams outside of the playoff race. The game tips at 7:00 p.m. ET on Prime.

The Bucks, who have lost three straight and six of the last seven games, sit in 12th place in the Eastern Conference, four games out of the play-in series. Two-time MVP PF Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to miss four to six weeks with a strained right calf suffered in last Friday night’s contest vs. Denver.

The Wizards beat Portland on Tuesday to end a nine-game losing streak and are in last (15th) place in the Conference.

Below, we’ll break down our Bucks vs. Wizards prediction and sporead for Thursday’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.

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Bucks vs. Wizards Prediction, Spread

The Bucks and Wizards meet for the fourth time this season, with Washington taking two of three so far this year. It’s a turnaround from last season, where the Bucks swept the three-game season series. 

Bucks vs. Wizards Over/Under, Spread

The Bucks enter the Eastern Conference game as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.69x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.

The Wizards are the underdogs with a 2.04x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Milwaukee Bucks  -2.5
  • Over/Under: 221.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Bucks 1.69x | Wizards 2.04x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Bucks vs. Wizards Prediction on Spread

The Bucks are 2.5-point favorites at Washington, the first time since January 11th in Denver that they have been the road favorite. 

  • The Bucks are 19-26 (43.2%) against the spread this season, tied for the fourth-worst cover percentage in the NBA. They have failed to cover the spread in nine of the last 11 games. 
  • Milwaukee is 7-13 ATS this season as a favorite, including 3-6 as a road favorite as they are tonight in Washington.
  • Twenty-seven of the Bucks’ 45 games (60.0%) this season have gone under the total, the third-highest percentage of unders of any NBA team. That includes six in the last eight. 
  • With as many unders as they have played, it’s no surprise that the Bucks’ are 27th in the league in scoring, at 112.1 PPG. However, they are one of the better shooting teams in the NBA at 48.2% overall (fourth best) and 39.3% for 3’s (second best). 
  • The Wizards are also 19-26 (43.2%) against the spread this season, tied with the Bucks for fourth-worst cover percentage. 
  • Washington has played 42 of its 45 games as an underdog this season, including 19 as a home underdog, going 9-10 ATS. 
  • The Wizards also struggle to score, averaging 112.3 PPG, 26th in the NBA. But unlike the Bucks, Washington is not a good shooting team, 25th in the league at 45.8%, with an offensive rating of 109.4 (28th).

Bucks vs. Wizards Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Bucks vs. Wizards injury report for Saturday, via NBA.com 

Bucks Injury Report 

  • PF Giannis Anteokounmpo (right calf) - OUT
  • G Kevin Porter (Oblique) - OUT
  • F Taurean Prince (Neck) - OUT

Wizards Injury Report

  • F Marvin Bagley III (thoracic) - OUT
  • C Alex Sarr (illness) - QUESTIONABLE
  • F Tristan Vukcevic (hamstring) - OUT
  • F Cam Whitmore (shoulder) - OUT
  • G Trae Young (right knee) - OUT

Bucks vs. Wizards Picks for PrizePicks Today: 1/29/25

Here are two Bucks vs. 76ers picks to target for Thursday, January 29 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Bucks G Ryan Rollins and Wizards F Kyshawn George.

Bucks G Ryan Rollins Projection vs. Wizards: 28.5 Points+Assists

  • Bucks G Ryan Rollins has failed to reach 28.5 points+assists in 20 of the last 21 games, only hitting it on January 2 vs. Charlotte. He had a total of 28 vs. the 76ers on Tuesday.
  • Rollins has scored 20+ in 15 of 45 games this season and only three in his last 13 games. The 24 he scored on Tuesday was his most since January 2. 
  • On the assist side, Rollins has recorded 5+ dimes in 28 of 45 games.
  • In three games vs. the Wizards, the Toledo product averages 13 PPG and 5 assists per game. 

Wizards F Kyshawn George Projection vs. Bucks: 17.5 Points

  • Wizards F Kyshawn George hit his player prop projection in five of his last seven. 
  • George has scored in 15+ points in eight of the past 10 and 20+ in 10 of 36.  
  • The Miami product averages 15.6 PPG, second-most on the active roster. 
  • In three games vs. the Bucks, George posted 15.0 PPG, 6.0 rebounds,, and 4.5 assists.

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Make Bucks vs. Wizards Picks on PrizePicks

Can the Bucks survive without Giannis and turn around their season with a win in Washington? Or can the Wizards build on their win vs. Portland and win back-to-back games for the first time since January 2nd? The Bucks-Wizards Thursday, January 29th game is at 7:00 p.m. ET on Prime.

You can make your Bucks vs. 76ers picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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