The 2025 college football bowl season kicks off on the West Coast with Boise State vs. Washington in the LA Bowl hosted by Rob Gronkowski on Saturday, December 12, at 8 p.m. ET on ABC.
The Boise State Broncos (9-4) come off their third consecutive Mountain West Championship after a win over UNLV, while the Washington Huskies (8-4) finished the regular season on a 2-2 stretch.
Let’s jump into our Boise State vs. Washington prediction and picks for the LA Bowl, including PrizePicks picks and Team Picks data — where you can earn real money if you’re right with your college football picks.
Boise State vs. Washington Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for LA Bowl
The Boise State Broncos have lost back-to-back bowl games, with their last win coming in the 2022 Frisco Bowl. Boise State has just one bowl win since 2018.
After falling in the Sun Bowl a season ago, Huskies coach Jedd Fisch is looking to grab his first bowl win at UW.
Boise State is ranked 37th in adjusted expected points added (EPA) per play (+0.07), while Washington ranks 18th (+0.13), per Game on Paper. The Huskies' only three losses have come vs. the No. 1 (Ohio State), No. 3 (Oregon), and No. 21 (Michigan) ranked teams in adjusted EPA/play.
Boise State vs. Washington Over/Under, Spread
Washington is viewed as the favorite for the LA Bowl, returning a 2x on PrizePicks for Yes to cover a 10.5-point spread.
Boise State brings a lofty 3.57x payout for an outright win in the LA Bowl as the underdog.
- Spread: Washington -10.5 (Yes 2x)
- Over/Under: 54.5
- Game Winner Payout: Boise State 3.57x | Washington 1.25x
(Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change)
Boise State vs. Washington Prediction on Over/Under
Let’s break down Saturday’s LA Bowl, including a prediction for the over/under, currently at 54.5 on Team Picks.
As of this writing, it looks like neither team will have opt-outs. With that said, that gives Washington a major talent advantage — hence the 10.5-point spread.
Huskies RB Jonah Coleman and WR Denzel Boston are among the top 100 2026 NFL Draft prospects, per NFL Mock Draft Database’s 2026 Consensus Big Board. Slowing these two could be the Broncos’ key.
Boise State has struggled against the run by allowing 5.0 yards per carry (114th) compared to ceding 6.1 yards per passing attempt (14th). The Huskies are in the top half for the most seconds per play, and leaning on the run could lead to an even slower pace.
The Broncos are also in the top half for the most seconds per play, adding to a potential snail-like pace. Another prominent rushing attack could lead to fewer possessions, as Boise St. features a 53.5% rush-play rate (57th).
Washington showcases an exceptional rush defense, giving up only 3.4 yards per carry (19th) while ranking 18th in expected points added (EPA) per rushing attempt allowed, via Game On Paper.
When facing defenses in the top 50 of EPA per carry allowed, Boise State has posted only 7.0 points per game over a three-game split. This passing attack likely lacks the tools to carry the load behind QB Maddux Madsen.
Boise State vs. Washington Picks for LA Bowl Today
Now, let’s look at Boise State vs. Washington picks at PrizePicks college football, where you can pick players to have More or Less than their projected stats and win real money if you’re right.
Boise State QB Maddux Madsen vs. Washington Projection: 200.5 Passing Yards
Boise State QB Maddux Madsen returned from injury in the Mountain West Championship and provided solid play with a 77.5 passing grade, per PFF. He’s posted passing grades of at least 77.5 in three of his last four appearances.
The junior QB could play a big role, as Washington ranks 83rd in EPA per dropback allowed. Madsen has faced only two defenses that ranked 80th or worse in this category. In those games, he averaged 298.5 passing yards per contest.
Recording 254.1 passing yards per game during the regular season, the Utah native’s 200.5-passing-yard projection feels well within reach. As a 10.5-point underdog, Madsen could need to throw more while playing catch up in a negative game script.
The Huskies rank 112th in sack rate (4.57%), potentially providing the Broncos’ signal-caller with more than enough time in the pocket.
Washington QB Demond Williams vs. Boise State Projection: 47.5 Rushing Yards
As of this writing, Washington’s stud RB Jonah Coleman is expected to play. However, PrizePicks projections have yet to feature any stats for Coleman. That turns my attention to Huskies QB Demond Williams.
He’s not far behind Coleman in the run game, carrying 595 rushing yards on the season compared to Coleman's 673. With 10.9 rushing attempts per game, Williams has trustworthy volume on the ground, too.
The Huskies’ rushing attack has perhaps the biggest advantage in this matchup. BSU ranks 123rd in EPA per rushing attempt allowed, and Washington sits 19th in EPA per carry.
This Bronco defense is extremely prone to giving up big plays on the ground, and Williams features blazing speed with a 4.4-second 40-yard dash. The sophomore QB has recorded a run of at least 18 yards in four of the previous five games.
Don’t sleep on Williams’ legs, as the former four-star recruit has reached 56 rushing yards in three of the last four contests.
Make Boise State vs. Washington Predictions on PrizePicks
Which team will redeem last season’s bowl game loss in the 2025 LA Bowl? Boise State has a tough challenge ahead against a talented Washington team to kick off the college football bowl season.
Before Saturday’s 8 p.m. ET kickoff, check out PrizePicks to make your picks on the LA Bowl. Just pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in on your predictions if you're right.
Find everything you need to know for the college football postseason at the Playbook, including more picks, predictions, and analysis through bowl season.
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