Perhaps underrated despite being the #1 seed, the Denver Broncos have the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl, offering a 7.14x payout via PrizePicks Team Picks. Standing in their way is all-world QB Josh Allen and his Buffalo Bills in a Divisional Round tilt that kicks off at 4:30 p.m. ET on CBS.
If the Broncos want to defend home field, it could come down to players like QB Bo Nix, who finished the regular season eighth in passing yards with 3,931.
Here, we’ll review our top Bo Nix stats and pick vs. the Bills for Denver's Divisional Round matchup. PrizePicks is the best place to make your Divisional Round picks, including on Nix’s passing yards and more.
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Bo Nix Stats, Pick vs. Bills in Divisional Round
Below is our analysis of Bo Nix vs. the Bills in the Divisional Round. Pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash out with PrizePicks if you're right.
Broncos QB Bo Nix Projection vs. Bills: 211.5 Pass Yards
- The Bills are a textbook run funnel defense. Schematically, they appear to focus on stopping the pass, which is reflected in their defensive numbers.
- Buffalo’s defense ranks seventh in the NFL in EPA per play vs. the pass (-0.11, per SumerSports) and 31st in the same metric against the run (0.09).
- Last year, the Bills hosted the Broncos in the Wild Card Round. Nix finished the game 13-of-22 for 144 passing yards.
- Nix has had Less than this projection in nine of 17 games this year, including his final two outings of the regular season.
- The Broncos love to throw, boasting a +1.6% pass rate over expected, the seventh-highest in the NFL (per nfelo). Given the matchup, however, we could see them rely more on RB RJ Harvey and the run game.
More Bo Nix Projections vs. Bills Today
Here are some other top Bo Nix projections against the Bills in the Divisional Round, via PrizePicks.
- 33 Pass Attempts
- 20.5 Pass Completions
- 241.5 Pass + Rush Yards
- 33.5 Yards on Longest Completion
- 0.5 Pass TDs (Goblin)
- 17 Fantasy Score
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Make Bills vs. Broncos Divisional Round Picks on PrizePicks
In his second trip to the playoffs, can Nix snag a key win? If so, the sophomore signal-caller would propel his Broncos to the AFC Championship Game. Defeating the Bills is much easier said than done, however.
You can make Bills vs. Broncos picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
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