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Baker Mayfield Projections, Pick for Monday Night Football

Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield throws a football in an NFL game.
AP Photo/Mike Stewart

The Buccaneers, who own the best record in the NFC at 5-1, travel to Ford Field on Monday night for a key showdown with the 4-2 Lions. The game kicks off at 7:00 p.m. ET, and can be seen on ABC and ESPN.

Buccaneers’ QB Baker Mayfield entered Week 7 as the fourth-leading passer in the NFL with 1,539 yards. The former No. 1 pick has put together the best quarterback rating of his career at 108.5 and has been intercepted once this season.

Below, we’ll give you the top Baker Mayfield projections and ick for Monday Night Football, as the MVP candidate looks to hand Detroit its second straight loss.

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Best Baker Mayfield Pick vs. Lions in NFL DFS

Here is the best Baker Mayfield pick for Monday’s NFL game vs. the Lions.

Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield — 242.5 Passing Yards

  • Mayfield increased his passing yards in each of the first five games before throwing for 256 yards in last Sunday’s 30-19 victory over the 49ers.
  • In the first three games, Mayfield was held to 233 or fewer passing yards. In the past three contests, he's posted 289, 379, and 256 yards.
  • In last season’s Week 2 victory at Detroit, Mayfield was limited to 185 passing yards. However, he completed 12 passes and compiled 9.7 yards per attempt.
  • The Lions have not allowed more than 207 passing yards in each of their two home victories over the Bears and Browns.
  • In Detroit’s last two games, they yielded 251 passing yards to Cincinnati QB Jake Browning and 257 passing yards to Kansas City QB Patrick Mahomes.
  • The Bucs are hopeful to get WR Mike Evans back in the lineup after missing the last three games with a hamstring injury. Mayfield never passed this projection with Evans in the lineup. 
  • Mayfield ranks seventh in the NFL in EPA/play, facing a Detroit defensive that sits eighth in that category. However, the Lions drop to 13th in the league in defensive EPA/pass.
  • In five of six games, Mayfield has thrown at least 2 TD passes.
  • Detroit has given up 10 TDs to opposing wide receivers, tied for the second-most in the NFL.

More Baker Mayfield projections vs. Lions Tonight

Here are other top Baker Mayfield projections vs. the Lions tonight, via PrizePicks.

  • 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs (Demon)
  • 21.5 Rushing Yards
  • 1.5 Passing TDs (Goblin)
  • 18.5 Fantasy Score
  • 33.5 Pass Attempts
  • 22.5 Pass Completions
  • 0.5 INT
  • 270.5 Pass+Rush Yards
  • 3.5 Rushing Attempts
  • 36.5 Yards Longest Completion

Make Your NFL Picks on PrizePicks

The Buccaneers are fighting for their seat at the table of the NFC elite. Tampa Bay can make a huge statement on Monday night with a victory at Detroit, and is counting on Baker Mayfield to lead them to their sixth win.

This Monday night NFL game provides us with a key matchup that you can use to build your lineup. The game plans are always changing and with injuries and other roster decisions impacting teams, we could see some interesting performances from a variety of players.

Build your NFL Lineup on PrizePicks with your favorite NFL projections and win real money if your picks are correct. All you have to do is pick More or Less on at least two player projections — like passing touchdowns or rush yards— to win.

Stay locked in on the Playbook all season long for NFL DFS picks every day.

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about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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