The Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild clash in Game 4 of their NHL Playoff series on Monday, May 11, with puck drop set for 8:00 p.m. ET. The Avalanche are favored to win, returning a 1.51x payout if they win, via PrizePicks.
After dropping the first two games in Colorado, the Wild scored early and often in Game 3, dealing the Avalanche their first postseason loss. Minnesota now has a chance to even the series before returning to Colorado for Game 5.
Below, we’ll break down our Avalanche vs. Wild prediction and picks for Monday’s NHL Game 4, including the puck line, over/under, and top player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Avalanche vs. Wild picks on PrizePicks now for tonight's NHL Playoff game.
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Avalanche vs. Wild Prediction, Winner, Over/Under – Monday, May 11
The Wild allowed 14 goals in the first two games, using two different goalies, but just held Colorado to a single goal on 36 shots. Jesper Wallstedt made 35 saves in his return to the net after allowing 9 goals in Game 1.
Kirill Kaprizov had the first goal and assisted on the next two as Minnesota continued to attack the Colorado defense. Even though they’ve surrendered 15 goals, they’ve also scored 13 in a wide-open Western Conference semifinal battle.
The Avs faced their first multi-goal deficit of the postseason after goalie Scott Wedgewood allowed a trio in the game’s first 24 minutes, prompting a goalie change to Mackenzie Blackwood, who allowed the final 2 goals.
Despite putting the puck in the net once, Colorado still managed 36 shots and had 100 shots through three games of the series.
Avalanche vs. Wild Winner Payout, Over/Under – Monday, May 11
The Avalanche enter Monday’s Game 4 as road favorites against the Wild, returning a 1.51x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for Avalanche vs. Wild on PrizePicks.
- Puck Line: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (2.77x payout)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (1.92x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Avalanche 1.51x | Wild 2.32x
Play the Avalanche vs. Wild winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Colorado Avalanche vs. Minnesota Wild Timeline for NHL Playoffs
Here is the full Avalanche vs. Wild timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Avalanche, 79-67-3-7
Regular Season: Avalanche, 3-2
Series: Avalanche, 2-1
Avalanche vs. Wild Western Conference Semifinals Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NHL Playoffs
- Game 1: Avalanche 9, Wild 6
- Game 2: Avalanche 5, Wild 2
- Game 3: Wild 5, Avalanche 2
- Game 4: Monday, May 11, 8:00 p.m. in Minnesota
- Game 5: Wednesday, May 13, 8:00 p.m. in Colorado
- Game 6-7 if necessary
Avalanche vs. Wild Prediction on Winner for NHL Playoffs, Game 4 – 5/11/26
Here are the key stats and trends behind our Avalanche vs. Wild prediction on the winner for Monday, May 11.
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- The Wild have scored 3+ goals in all four home games this postseason, averaging 4.0 goals.
- Minnesota has 13 goals in three games vs. the Avs after Colorado held the L.A. Kings to 5 in the first round. The Wild have 36 goals in nine games, the most in the NHL this postseason.
- Minnesota’s penalty kill has struggled, owning a 60.0% rate (15th), a massive drop from a 79.8% clip in the regular season.
- On the other side, Minnesota’s 6 power play goals are tied for third-best.
- Per MoneyPuck, Colorado has an xGoals of 53.6%, second to only the Carolina Hurricanes in the NHL Playoffs.
- The Avs have scored a power play goal on 23.8% of their opportunities, fourth-best in the postseason.
- The last time the Avalanche lost two straight games, the 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament was just getting underway.
Avalanche vs. Wild Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/11/26
Here are the top Avalanche vs. Wild picks to target in Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs on PrizePicks for Monday, May 11. Today’s NHL picks include Scott Wedgewood and Jesper Wallstedt.
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Avalanche G Scott Wedgewood vs. Wild Projection: 24.5 Goalie Saves
- Avalanche goalie Scott Wedgewood had 24+ saves in all of his first seven postseason starts, earning a win in each of them.
- Per MoneyPuck, Wedgewood owns a 1.5 goals saved above expected, ninth among postseason goalies.
- During the regular season, the seventh-year goalie led the league with a 2.02 GAA and .921 save percentage. He was fifth with 23.1 goals saved above expectation.
Add Scott Wedgewood to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Wild G Jesper Wallstedt vs. Avalanche Projection: 28.5 Goalie Saves
- Wild goalie Jesper Wallstedt was back in the net for Game 3 after being benched for Game 2 following a 9-6 loss in the opening game. He had 34 and 35 saves, respectively, in his two starts.
- Wallstedt owns a 3.4 goals saved above expected mark, seventh among postseason goalies.
- The Avalanche have a league-high 100 shots on goal in the second round.
- The Swedish native was second during the regular season with a .917 save percentage.
Add Jesper Wallstedt to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Avalanche vs. Wild Game 4 Prediction on PrizePicks
Can the Minnesota Wild even things up at two games apiece while defending home ice, or will the top-seeded Avs head back to Colorado with a massive series lead?
Don’t wait until lock — make your Avalanche vs. Wild picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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