The SEC Tournament is on to day two with four second-round games. No. 12-seeded Auburn, fresh off a win over Mississippi State, gets another chance to show the committee it belongs in the NCAA Tournament.
A matchup against fifth-seeded Tennessee is the second game of the day in Nashville, slated for 3:00 p.m. at Bridgestone Arena and aired on SEC Network.
Below, we’ll break down our Auburn vs. Tennessee prediction and picks for Thursday afternoon’s game. Make your CBB Picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Auburn vs. Tennessee Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Auburn and Tennessee meet for the second time this season, with Tennessee taking the first meeting by eight at home in Knoxville. The teams also met in the SEC Tournament last season, where fourth-seeded Tennessee upset the top-seeded Tigers, 70-65, in the semifinals.
Per Joe Lunardi of ESPN’s bracketology, Auburn, a Final Four team last year, enters Thursday as the last team in the 68-team field and could need another win to keep that spot.
Tennessee is comfortably in the field and listed as a five or six seed in most mock brackets. The Volunteers are a 6.5-point favorite on the spread; the winner of Thursday’s contest moves on to play fourth-seeded Vanderbilt in Friday’s quarterfinals.
Auburn vs. Tennessee Spread, Over/Under
The Volunteers enter Thursday’s second-round SEC Tournament game as 6.5-point favorites, returning a 1.36x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.
The Tigers are underdogs with a 3.12x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers -6.5
- Over/Under: 149.5
- Game Winner Payout: Auburn 3.12x | Tennessee 1.36x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Auburn vs. Tennessee Prediction on Spread – 3/12/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your SEC Tournament Auburn vs. Tennessee college basketball prediction on the spread for Thursday, March 12, on PrizePicks.
- Auburn is 14-18 against the spread. After not covering in nine straight games, the Tigers have covered in two of the last three, including Wednesday’s first-round game vs. Mississippi State.
- The Tigers are 4-6 ATS as an underdog, the second-worst cover percentage (40.0%) in the SEC, only ahead of Mississippi State.
- Per KenPom, Auburn is rated 37th in the country, with an offensive rating of 125.5 (14th) and a defensive rating of 106.3 (110th).
- Auburn’s defense has allowed 79.6 points per game, 13th-worst in the SEC and bottom 50 in the nation.
- Tennessee is 13-17-1 ATS but did cover in the first meeting with Auburn earlier this year.
- As a favorite, Tennessee is 10-15-1 ATS. As a favorite of 6+ points, they're 7-10 ATS.
- Tennessee is rated 16th in the country in KenPom, with an offensive rating of 121.6 (36th) and a defensive rating of 95.5 (15th). The Vols' defense is first in the SEC and 62nd in the country, allowing opponents just 69.4 PPG.
- Tennessee G Ja'Kobi Gillespie is seventh in the SEC in scoring at 18.0 PPG and second in assists at 5.6 each night.
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Make Auburn vs. #25 Tennessee Picks on PrizePicks
Thursday’s SEC Tournament brings another opportunity for Auburn to play its way into a better spot. They take on a Tennessee team that is trying to get back to the SEC Championship Game, where they lost to Florida last season.
Can the Volunteers sweep Auburn and advance to play in-state rival Vanderbilt, or will Auburn get the big win over a ranked team?
You can make your Auburn vs. Tennessee picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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