With conference races winding down but seeding for tournaments heating up, Saturday's college basketball slate remains as important as any. A nighttime bout between the Auburn Tigers and Alabama Crimson Tide certainly fits that bill.
The 8:30 p.m. ET contest on ESPN sees the ho-hum Tigers look to create any sort of momentum against a Crimson Tide program that has serious NCAA Tournament aspirations.
Below, we’ll break down our Auburn vs. Alabama prediction and picks for Saturday’s game. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Auburn vs. Alabama Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Following the retirement of longtime head coach Bruce Pearl, his son Steven has led Auburn to a 16-14 record in his team debut. The Tigers peaked as high as 20th with their preseason AP poll ranking, but they’re just 2-7 in their last nine games.
Alabama, meanwhile, is 8-1 since suffering a blowout loss to Florida on February 1. Head coach Nate Oats’ crew may not match its 2024-25 win output of 28, but it’s starting to resemble a squad that could do damage moving forward.
Saturday marks the 169th clash between Auburn and Alabama dating back to 1949. The Crimson Tide own a commanding 99-69 series lead, yet that comes with an average scoring differential of just 0.7 points.
Auburn vs. Alabama Spread, Over/Under
Auburn enters Saturday’s game as 7.5-point road underdogs, returning a 3.44x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Alabama is a home favorite with a 1.29x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide -7.5
- Over/Under: 176.5
- Game Winner Payout: Tigers 3.44x | Crimson Tide 1.29x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Auburn vs. Alabama Prediction on Spread
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Auburn vs. Alabama prediction on the spread for Saturday, March 7 on PrizePicks.
- Entering the weekend’s play, Auburn is just 2-3 against the spread as road underdogs. Alabama is 5-9 ATS as home favorites.
- Auburn scores the 26th-most points per game in Division I with 83.5, albeit on the 127th-ranked effective field goal percentage (52.6).
- Defensively, the Tigers rank 311th in scoring (79.7 PPG), largely due to not defending the 3-point shot well at all (37.4%, 345th).
- Boasting a pace akin to the speed of light, Alabama owns the nation’s highest-scoring offense at 92.0 PPG.
- The Crimson Tide are far from perfect on defense, but they do hold foes to the 62nd-ranked eFG% (48.9).
Auburn vs. Alabama Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/7/26
Here are three top Auburn vs. Alabama picks to target for Saturday, March 7 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by F Keyshawn Hall, G Tahaad Pettiford, and G Labaron Philon.
Auburn F Keyshawn Hall vs. Alabama Projection: 28.5 Pts + Rebs
- Hall averages 27.5 combined points and rebounds this season. That number holds mostly steady during conference play at 27.2.
- Now on the fourth team of his collegiate career, Hall owns a usage rate of at least 27% for the fourth time.
- In his last 10 contests, the Ohio native is shooting a scorching 38.9% from beyond the arc on 5.4 3-point tries each night.
- Alabama surrenders 40.3 rebounds per game, ranking 360th in the country.
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Auburn G Tahaad Pettiford vs. Alabama Projection: 20.5 Pts + Asts
- On the year, Pettiford pours in 18.7 points and assists per game. Since the start of conference play, that figure is 19.8, albeit still below Saturday’s projection.
- Per Bart Torvik, 21 SEC players have at least the same usage rate as Pettiford this season (24.5%). Among that group, he’s second-to-last with a 51.5 true shooting percentage.
- In that same collection of conference standouts, Pettiford’s 16.2% turnover clip is fifth-highest.
- The Crimson Tide yield an assist-to-made shot ratio of 0.466, ranking an impressive 45th in the country.
Alabama G Labaron Philon vs. Auburn Projection: 29.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Philon’s season average of combined points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) is 29.6.
- The sophomore guard is posting 51/39/79 shooting splits, making him one of the SEC’s more prolific scorers at all levels.
- In February 7’s 96-92 triumph over Auburn, Philon went off for 36 PRA on 7-of-15 shooting.
- Auburn’s defense is 204th in assist-to-turnover ratio (1.223) allowed and 166th in assists per made shot (0.519).
Make Auburn vs. #16 Alabama Picks on PrizePicks
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