While 64 teams began the long journey to Indianapolis, by the end of tonight, we'll have just eight left in the NCAA Tournament. One will be the victor of Friday night's battle between the Alabama Crimson Tide (25-9) and Michigan Wolverines (33-3) at 7:35 p.m. ET on TBS and truTV.
As 10.5-point favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks, Michigan enters this game as the heavy favorite to advance. Can the Crimson Tide pull off the upset, send home a No. 1 seed, and spoil Michigan’s dream season?
Who may have an advantage in Friday’s Alabama vs. Michigan pick against the spread? Use PrizePicks Team Picks to make predictions on game winners, spreads, over/unders, and more.
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Alabama vs. Michigan Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Things seemed bleak for Alabama heading into the tourney after their second-leading scorer, G Aden Holloway, was arrested just days before their first game. Despite that, the Crimson Tide have been able to put that behind them and rip off two dominant wins against Hofstra, 90-70, and Texas Tech, 90-65.
They’ve been led all season by projected first-round NBA draft pick, sophomore G Labaron Philon Jr. Philon is one of the most dynamic scorers in college basketball. He leads Alabama in points (21.6) and assists (5.0) per game and has done so on incredible efficiency, shooting 50.2% from the field and 39.7% from 3-point range.
Michigan’s dominant regular season has rolled over into the NCAA Tournament. The Wolverines are coming off back-to-back huge wins against an overmatched Howard team (101-80) and a talented St. Louis Billikens squad (95-72). The theme of both games has matched most of Michigan’s 33 wins: too big, too strong.
The Wolverines feature a massive frontcourt of F Yaxel Lendeborg (6’9), F Morez Johnson Jr. (6’10), and C Aday Mara (7’3). This trio combined for 49 points against Howard and 56 points against St. Louis.
They dominate the paint and boards and are a key reason that “Yes” on Michigan to win the whole thing is currently returning a 4.34x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Alabama vs. Michigan Spread, Over/Under
The Wolverines enter Friday’s game as 10.5-point favorites, returning a 1.17x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Crimson Tide are underdogs with a 4.34x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines -10.5 (2.12x payout)
- Over/Under: 172.5 (1.85x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Crimson Tide 4.34x | Wolverines 1.17x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Alabama vs. Michigan Prediction on Spread – 3/27/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Alabama vs. Michigan prediction on the spread for Friday, March 27, on PrizePicks.
- Despite Michigan’s dominant season, they're just 16-20-0 (44.4%) against the spread (ATS), the sixth-worst cover record in the Big Ten.
- Michigan overwhelms teams with its breakneck pace that ranks 22nd in the country, but Alabama thrives in quick outings, ranking fourth in the country in tempo per KenPom.
- The Crimson Tide may be able to get the most out of each possession, as they rank 10th in the country in turnover percentage at just 13.2%. The Wolverines are 262nd nationally in turnover clip forced (15.3%).
- Alabama leads the nation in 3-point rate at 53.9. Michigan, on the defensive end, has a defensive 3-point rate of 42.2, which sits 273rd nationally according to Bart Torvik.
- While 3-point variance is real, if Alabama can get on the right side of it, they could find a route to keeping things competitive in a high-pressure game.
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Make Alabama vs. Michigan Picks on PrizePicks
Will Michigan continue its dominant season by dancing into the Regional Finals, or will Alabama pull off yet another classic March upset and send the Wolverines home from this NCAA Tournament?
You can make your Alabama vs. Michigan picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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