The Steelers had to battle all the way to the very last game, and with their Week 18 win over the Ravens, they claim the AFC North. Their reward? A date with the league’s second-best scoring defense (17.4) as Pittsburgh hosts the Houston Texans. The game kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET, and can be seen on ABC, ESPN, and ESPN2.
The Steelers have not won a playoff game since 2017, when former Pittsburgh QB Ben Roethlisberger was behind center. This time around, we have 42-year-old Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers potentially giving it one last go on a Super Bowl run.
Here, we’ll break down our top Aaron Rodgers pick for the MNF NFL Wild Card game against the Texans. PrizePicks is the best place to make your Wild Card Round picks tonight, including Rodgers’ passing yards.
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Texans vs. Steelers Over/Under, Spread for Wild Card Round
Houston comes into this Wild Card matchup as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.75x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they cover and a 1.58x payout to win outright.
Pittsburgh is a home underdog, returning a 1.96x payout if they cover and a 2.22x payout to win outright.
- Spread: Houston Texans -2.5
- Over/Under: 39.5 (2.04x on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Texans 1.58x | Steelers 2.27x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Aaron Rodgers Stats, Pick vs. Texans on MNF
Below is our analysis of Aaron Rodgers vs. Texans in the Wild Card Round. Pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash out with PrizePicks if you're right.
Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers Projection vs. Texans: 207.5 Passing Yards
- Houston ranks sixth in passing yards allowed per game (185.4).
- Aaron Rodgers has faced a top-five passing defense five times this season (Bills, Vikings, Chargers, Browns twice) and has thrown for under 207 yards in four.
- The Texans are second in the NFL in opponents’ passing success rate (40.5%).
- The future Hall of Famer ranks 30th in the league in passing success rate (43.8%).
- The Texans have given up fewer than 207 passing yards in three of their last four road games.
- Houston’s 38.6% no-blitz pressure rate places them fourth in the league.
- According to Pro Football Focus, the quarterback from Cal’s 42.5 passing grade when facing pressure ranks 27th in the NFL.
- Rodgers’ 39.8% pressured catchable pass rate ranks 34th.
- The Texans rank second in EPA per pass on play action (-0.22) per NFL Next Gen Stats.
- According to NFL Next Gen Stats, the ninth-place finisher in the 2004 Heisman Trophy voting ranks 23rd in EPA per dropback on play action (-0.04).
More Aaron Rodgers Projections vs. Texans Tonight
Here are some other top Aaron Rodgers projections against the Texans in the Wild Card Round, via PrizePicks.
- 211.5 Pass+Rush Yards
- 63.1 Completion Percentage
- 31.5 Longest Completions
- 0.5 Passing TDs (Goblin)
- 1.5 INTs (Demon)
- 12.5 Fantasy Score
Make Texans vs. Steelers Wild Card Round Picks on PrizePicks
On the final game of the Wild Card round, Rodgers and his Steelers have a tough matchup against an elite Texas defense. You can make Texans vs. Steelers picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
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