World Cup Predictions Today for Portugal vs. Spain and USA vs. Belgium

July 6, 2026

World Cup
AP Photo/George Walker IV, File
USA star Weston McKennie dribbles during an international friendly match against Ghana.

The 2026 World Cup, having mesmerized North America with fabulous feats and upset bids, has a secret that will be told to viewers today.

It might be getting even better.

Monday, July 6 is a date for Round of 16 matchups that felt like fate. Portugal takes its best shot at La Roja of Spain, the side that was terrorized by Ronaldo’s boot in the Sochi 2018 group stage. Will CR7 rekindle his old magic at Jerry World this afternoon?

Tonight is the occasion United States supporters have been waiting for. Christian Pulisic and the Yanks make their attempt to reach the quarterfinals for the first time since 2002, taking Seattle’s pitch against a Belgium squad with Kevin de Bruyne in midfield and Romelu Lukaku at forward.

What could be in store on Monday? Let's dive into some World Cup predictions today for Portugal vs. Spain and USA vs. Belgium, including data from PrizePicks Team Picks.

Make your World Cup predictions for the Round of 16 on PrizePicks today!

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World Cup Predictions, Schedule, Payouts to Advance, Over/Unders – Monday, July 6

Before jumping into today’s World Cup match predictions, let’s glance at the full schedule for the Round of 16 on Monday, July 6, including winner payouts and totals for each match via PrizePicks.

Team Picks markets are settled after full-time (90 minutes + stoppage). Extra time and penalties are not included.

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Portugal vs. Spain: Round of 16

How to Watch Portugal vs. Spain: FOX (English) / Telemundo (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Venue: AT&T Stadium (Dallas Stadium), Arlington, Texas

  • Winner Payout: Spain 1.42x | Portugal 2.7x
  • Spread: Spain -1.5 (3.33x)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 (1.75x) | Under 2.5 (2x)

USA vs. Belgium: Round of 16 

How to Watch USA vs. Belgium: FOX (English) / Telemundo (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 8:00 p.m. ET

Venue: Lumen Field (Seattle Stadium), Seattle, Washington 

  • Winner Payout: USA 1.78x | Belgium 1.96x
  • Spread: USA -1.5 (4.54x)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 (1.63x) | Under 2.5 (2.17x)

Now, it’s time to highlight our World Cup Round of 16 predictions for Monday, July 6. Who will reach the 2026 World Cup quarterfinals, and how will today’s pair of encounters play out?


Portugal vs. Spain Winner Prediction for World Cup Round of 16

Does a 41-year-old Ronaldo have a “silent majority” of believers? Spain is a cautious favorite over Portugal at PrizePicks, a trend that flies in the face of La Roja’s superb overall record against the Lusos, in addition to Spain’s World Cup resume.

Portugal arrives in Arlington with momentum, having gutted out a 2-1 victory over Croatia in the Round of 32. Spain will answer with superb defending, having posted an amazing 4 consecutive clean sheets. Spain leads all nations with 0.54 xGA, versus Portugal’s 1.38 xGA, per FootyStats

Spain’s pick to win can only be as popular as Portugal’s pick is unpopular. Memories of CR7’s exploits may be driving speculation in a way that could favor Spain’s takers with a nicer payout, regardless of how fresh the 2024-25 Nations League Final may be in everyone’s mind.

Ronaldo can’t dominate like he did in 2018, firing accurate shots from every open patch of the pitch. Portugal could be overhyped due to fans presuming that the Lusos’ supporting cast can carry Ronaldo over the finish line again.

Spain’s lineup is boosted from 2025’s iteration, though. Rodri, whose absence was blamed for La Roja losing to Portugal, is back in midfield. Rodri, who’s often chased for Man of the Match by Spain’s younger MF Pedri, leads La Roja’s effort with 92 defensive linebreaks attempted, per FIFA

Rodri lines up across from Portugal’s Vitinha, who has been a solid rock in the Lusus midfield as usual. But Vitinho was among Portugal's players who were fatigued late in the Croatia game. Croatia’s controversial disallowed goal was a postgame distraction.

Spain breezed through its Round of 32 bout with a 3-0 win over Austrla. Real Sociedad forward Mikel Oyarzabal has risen to 2026 World Cup superstardom via his 4 goals in 4 apps.

Portugal had a stressful Round of 32 tilt by contrast, desperate to defend against Croatia’s counters that minted 7 on-target shots. Gonçalo Ramos, the substitute striker who bagged the extra-time winner, could potentially start ahead of Ronaldo today to give Portugal fresher legs.

Aymeric Laporte’s back line seems capable of shutting down a Portugal side in a phase of transition. Spain GK Unai Simón may extend his record-setting World Cup shutout streak to over 600 minutes.

Lock in your Portugal vs. Spain prediction on PrizePicks before kickoff.

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USA vs. Belgium Winner Prediction for World Cup Round of 16

It was always going to be an opponent like Belgium, wasn’t it? USMNT fans had visions of an easier path to the quarters when Senegal led Belgium 2-0 in the Round of 32, but the Red Devils’ furious 3-2 comeback win made this matchup.

While tonight’s matchup feels natural, its circumstances are unique. News that USMNT striker Folarin Balogun’s red card has been suspended by FIFA, making the team’s new linchpin eligible to play, has rocked expectations for the battle.

The USMNT had a hard time inspiring enough picks to be called a “favorite” when the USA vs. Belgium bout went on the schedule, but not anymore. USA is a slight PrizePicks favorite in tonight’s contest, a trend sparked by Balogun’s eligibility.

Belgium’s federation is furious, especially after hearing word that the White House put in a call to FIFA asking to overturn Balogun’s one-game ban. FIFA claims to have reviewed the evidence and determined that Balogun was not worthy of the suspension after all, following his stepping on the ankle of Bosnia’s Tarik Muharemović in the Round of 32.

Did the CIA present proof of Balogun’s innocence in a White House meeting? If so, it wouldn’t be the first time our government’s resident sports nuts have changed a team’s fortunes.

USA manager Mauricio Pochettino must adjust his plan with the same rapidity as Rudi Garcia. Balogun’s reinclusion solves the main riddle that had pained the American media for days — whether the Yanks can field a dangerous enough forward line.

Belgium still has icons of the sport playing for 2026’s squad. The Red Devils have a dominant record against the USA, going 6-0-0 since 1995, with a knockout win in the 2014 World Cup.

Balogun’s presence won’t change Belgium’s edge in the superstar veteran category. Lukaku has 2 World Cup 2026 goals on 5 strikes at the net, while de Bruyne leads the squad with 18 shot attempts. GK Thibaut Courtois is still Real Madrid and Belgium’s man between the posts.

Brazil’s loss to Norway shows that a front line has to play defense, too. Belgium’s center-back Brandon Mechele, whose passing is bedazzling, may expose Balogun’s weak points as a defender if the USMNT is forced to drop numbers.

However, the United States will have Seattle’s atmosphere to buoy Pulisic’s squad in its biggest kickoff ever. Seattle’s crowd saw the USMNT defeat Australia on June 19. Tonight, they’ll be deafening at Lumen Field, where the Americans are now 8-2-1.

The Yanks’ other edge lies not in any one striker, but in the macro-timing of this evening’s clash. Belgium’s veterans are getting too old, and there aren’t enough youngsters of Lukaku’s caliber. Mechele is 33. Defender Thomas Meunier is 34. Lukaku and de Bruyne are in their mid-30s. 

In contrast, the USMNT’s top four leading scorers are 25 years old or younger. Pulisic is still only 27. The USA’s speedy young legs might render de Bruyne’s mastery into a double-edged sword, inviting the Yanks to counter at the end of Belgium’s longest turns.

USA’s youth can be an advantage however the pitch is tilted, making the Yanks a potential pick to advance onward. If Belgium’s careworn cogs don’t get exhausted defending for 90:00, they may fall to a fast U.S. counterattack.

Who will advance from today’s USA vs. Belgium match? Make your World Cup prediction on PrizePicks!

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Make World Cup Predictions Today on PrizePicks

USMNT fans will enjoy the Portugal vs. Spain meeting, trying to keep their nerves steady prior to an evening kickoff. Supporters who hail from Europe could be biting their nails all day.

Don’t wait until lock — make your World Cup Round of 16 predictions on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

With Team Picks, you can make predictions on World Cup match winners, spreads, over/unders, and futures, now available in 35 states. Plus, you can pick World Cup players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right on Player Picks!

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily World Cup 2026 predictions, picks, news, and analysis.

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Kurt Boyer is one of the most versatile and accomplished sports bloggers on the web, having worked beats for teams in over 100 pro, college, and international leagues. Kurt has successfully forecasted every men's World Cup Final since 2014, while producing a recent 23-2 run in Olympic hockey forecasts. He moonlights as a Friday Night Lights reporter and humorist, known to Missourians as The Gridiron Geek.