Four teams remain in the Big Ten Tournament, and the Wisconsin Badgers (24-9) and the Michigan Wolverines (30-2) begin the semifinals on Saturday, March 14, with a 1:00 p.m. ET tip-off on CBS.
Both squads earned hard-fought wins in the quarterfinals, as Wisconsin defeated Illinois by 3 points in overtime and Michigan fended off Ohio State with a 4-point victory.
Below, we’ll break down our Wisconsin vs. Michigan prediction and picks for Saturday’s game. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Wisconsin vs. Michigan Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Michigan will look to enact revenge on Saturday, as Wisconsin handed the Wolverines one of their two losses this season. As 18.5-point underdogs on the road, the Badgers defeated UM, 91-88, on January 10.
The Wolverines are 6-4 outright and 4-6 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 games vs. Wisconsin.
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Spread, Over/Under
According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Michigan is a 12.5-point favorite on Saturday — several points behind January 10’s 18.5-point spread. Will Wisconsin pull off another odd-defying upset, returning a 6.25x payout if it wins?
The over/under is also 160.5 points on PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines -12.5
- Over/Under: 160.5
- Gamer Winner Payout: Wisconsin 6.25x | Michigan 1.12x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Prediction on Total – 3/14/26
Wisconsin F Nolan Winter missed his third consecutive game on Friday, and his 8.6 rebounds per game (RPG) lead the Badgers while ranking third with 13.3 points per game (PPG). His status is up in the air for Saturday afternoon.
In the last three games without Winter in the rotation, Wisconsin has posted 91.0 PPG, surpassing 83.5 PPG on the season (93rd percentile). It’s attempted 38.0 3-point shots per contest in the three-game split, and Michigan allows 26.5 shots from deep per matchup (ninth percentile).
On the other side of the court, the Wolverines are in the 98th percentile for dunk shot distribution, and the Badgers sit in the 43rd percentile for the category on defense, per Bart Torvik.
Plus, Wisconsin surrenders 24.4 attempted triples per game (27th percentile). Michigan, meanwhile, shoots 36.4% from beyond the arc (88th percentile) and launches 25.2 treys per game (72nd percentile).
The two combined for 179 points in January 10’s matchup. Bart Torvik ranks the Wolverines in the 96th percentile for the quickest adjusted tempo, and the Badgers aren’t far behind in the 72nd percentile of the department.
Wisconsin vs. Michigan Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/14/26
Here are top Wisconsin vs. Michigan picks to target for Saturday, March 14, on PrizePicks. Today’s college basketball picks for PrizePicks are headlined by Wisconsin G John Blackwell and Michigan G Trey McKenney.
Wisconsin G John Blackwell vs. Michigan Projection: 18.5 Points
- Blackwell has performed at an absurd rate in the Big Ten Tournament, averaging 32.5 PPG over two games.
- The 6’4” guard has attempted 20.5 field goals per game in the Big Ten Tournament, compared to 13.6 on the season.
- As mentioned, Michigan has a suspect 3-point defense, and Blackwell drained 10-of-24 shots from deep (41.7%) in his last two games.
- After recording 26 points vs. the Wolverines on January 10, will one of Wisconsin’s star guards stay hot on Saturday?
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Michigan G Trey McKenney vs. Wisconsin Projection: 12 Points
- The Badgers are in the 43rd percentile of 3-point shot distribution allowed, and McKenney launches a team-high 4.4 triples per game.
- In the Big Ten Tournament, the freshman guard is averaging 12.0 PPG, paired with cashing in 4-of-10 3-point shots (40.0%).
- Backed by 2.2 made treys per game over his past five appearances. McKenney may have the tools to torch this Wisconsin perimeter defense.
Make Wisconsin vs. Michigan Picks on PrizePicks
Wisconsin vs. Michigan may be in store for another quick pace, impacting potential totals for college basketball picks. Make your calls for Saturday's Big Ten Tournament semifinal and more on PrizePicks.
You can make your Wisconsin vs. Michigan picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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