The first game of ESPN's doubleheader tonight features the Golden State Warriors (33-35) traveling to TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics (45-23).
The Celtics are notable 10.5-point favorites on the spread on PrizePicks Team Picks for the second and final meeting of the season.
Warriors-Celtics tips off at 7:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday from Boston, MA., live on ESPN.
Below, we’ll break down our Warriors vs. Celtics prediction and Wednesday NBA picks for PrizePicks. Use PrizePicks NBA to make picks on player projections and win real money if you’re right.
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Warriors vs. Celtics Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Warriors carry the No. 9 seed in the Western Conference standings with little chance at dropping out of the Play-In Tournament race, with five teams in the West potentially in full-on tank mode. The bad news? They’ve been marred with injuries all season, and unless they get Warriors G Steph Curry back from injury, the Dubs could be in store for disappointment.
Golden State is 3-7 over its last 10 games. Warriors third-year G Brandon Podziemski has shown some positive signs, averaging a career-high 13.0 points per game. In March, he's increased his averages to 18.5 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 4.0 assists per game.
The Boston Celtics are on the opposite side of the spectrum, winning seven of their last 10 games. Unlike the Warriors, they've approached full health with improved play. Celtics superstar F Jayson Tatum returned over the last week, who is already playing 30+ minutes per game and dropped 20+ in four straight games.
“Yes” on the Cs to hoist their NBA-leading 19th Larry O’Brien Trophy is currently returning a 5.55x return on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Warriors vs. Celtics Spread, Over/Under
The Celtics enter Wednesday’s game as 10.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.13x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors are road underdogs with a 5.26x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Boston Celtics -10.5 (1.72x payout)
- Over/Under: 217.5 (1.96x payout)
- Game Winner Payout: Warriors 5.55x | Celtics 1.13x
Team Picks payouts are live as of writing and are subject to change.
Warriors vs. Celtics Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Warriors vs. Celtics injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.
Warriors Injury Report
- PG Seth Curry (adductor): OUT
- PG Steph Curry (knee): OUT
- C Al Horford (calf): OUT
- SG Moses Moody (wrist): OUT
- SG Gary Payton II (tibia): Probable
- C Quinten Post (foot): Questionable
- SG LJ Cryer (hamstring): Questionable
Celtics Injury Report
- C Nikola Vucevic (finger): OUT
Warriors vs. Celtics Prediction on Spread – 3/18/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Nuggets vs. Lakers prediction on the spread for Wednesday, March 18, on PrizePicks.
- The Celtics are 39-29-0 (57.8%) against the spread (ATS) this season, the fifth-best mark in the NBA.
- Golden State is 31-37-0 (45.6%) ATS on the season, the ninth-worst covering percentage in the league.
- There's a seven-point difference in net rating between these two teams (+7.9 and +0.9), per NBA Advanced Stats.
- Over the last 10 games, that gap has increased, with the Celtics ranking sixth in the NBA in net rating (+9.8) and the Warriors 22nd (-3.4).
- There are advantages across the board for the Cs, but perhaps none greater than on the glass.
- Boston ranks fourth in total rebounding percentage (52.2%). They could create many second-chance opportunities and limit the Warriors to very few, given that Golden State ranks 24th in rebounding percentage (48.8%).
Warriors vs. Celtics Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/18/26
Here are two of the top Warriors vs. Celtics to consider for Wednesday, March 18, on PrizePicks. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by G Brandon Podziemski and G-F Jaylen Brown.
Warriors G Brandon Podziemski vs. Celtics Projection: 23.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Podziemski is averaging just 22 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) per game this season.
- Podz is also shooting 1.9% lower on the road, leading to him averaging 0.8 fewer points per game away from San Francisco.
- The Celtics present perhaps the toughest matchup for guards, as they are saddled with elite defenders in G Derrick White and G Jaylen Brown.
- The C’s have the fifth-best defensive rating in the NBA (111.8) and are holding opponents to the second-lowest field goal percentage (44.1%).
- Additionally, Boston has allowed both the sixth-fewest opponent rebounds (41.7) and assists (24.8) per game.
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Celtics G Jaylen Brown vs. Warriors Projection: 36.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Brown is averaging 40.6 PRA per game.
- This projection has seemingly overreacted to Jayson Tatum being back in the fold. Excluding when Brown was ejected vs. the Spurs on March 10, JB has gone over this projection in four of the five games since Tatum debuted.
- In his lone appearance vs. Golden State this season, he went off for a monster 23-15-13 (51 PRA) triple-double.
- Over their last ten games, the Warriors' defense is allowing opponents to shoot 48.5% from the field (21st) and 37.2% from 3-point range (24th).
- For the season, they are also giving up 45.2 rebounds per game (20th). Brown is averaging a career-high 7.1 rebounds per game.
Make Warriors vs. Celtics Picks on PrizePicks
With a thin rotation, do the Warriors stand any chance of keeping it close in the primetime spotlight?
You can make your Warriors vs. Celtics picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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