Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction on Spread for Game 4 – Sunday, May 24

The Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs game is set to tip off at 8:00 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 24, with the Spurs entering Game 4 as 1.5-point favorites on the PrizePicks Team Picks spread.

After splitting the first two games of the Western Conference Finals, the Thunder took back home court with a 15-point win in San Antonio on Thursday — their first victory in three games there this season. 

How important is Game 4 for San Antonio? Of the 15 teams to rally from a 3-1 deficit in the postseason, only five have done it with two road wins. They'd be facing that uphill battle if they lose today.

Below, we’ll break down our Thunder vs. Spurs prediction on the spread for Sunday’s Game 4, including the over/under and winner payouts for PrizePicks.

Make your Thunder vs. Spurs picks on PrizePicks now ahead of tonight’s NBA Playoff Game 4.

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Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread, Over/Under for Game 4 – Sunday, May 24

After struggling in a Game 1 loss at home, shooting 40.6% from the field and 38% from deep, the Thunder are shooting 48% from the field and 40.5% from 3-point land while scoring 122.5 PPG against one of the best defenses in the NBA. 

In Games 2 and 3, Oklahoma City's offensive rating is 124.4. Two-time MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has 56 points on 44% shooting over the two wins and leads all playoff scorers at 28.5 points each night.

However, the biggest plus for the Thunder in Game 3 was their bench, which outscored San Antonio 76-23 on Friday, led by another 15 points from SG Alex Caruso. He's averaging 21 PPG in the series.

The Thunder also may have figured something out on the defensive end with guarding C Victor Wembanyama. After the Spurs' star big man scored 41 points on a playoff career-high 25 shots in Game 1, the Thunder held him to 16 attempts in Game 2 and 15 attempts in Game 3.

Wemby also had a playoff-low 4 rebounds after pulling down a combined 41 over the first two games.

Thunder vs. Spurs Spread, Over/Under for Game 4 – Sunday, May 24

The Spurs enter Sunday’s game as 1.5-point favorites against the Thunder, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for Thunder vs. Spurs on PrizePicks.

• Spread: San Antonio Spurs -1.5 (1.78x payout)
• Over/Under: 218.5 (1.85x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Spurs 1.72x | Thunder 2x

Make your Thunder vs. Spurs prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. San Antonio Spurs vs. Timeline

Here is the full Thunder vs. Spurs timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.

All-Time: Spurs, 106-91

Regular Season: Spurs, 4-1

Series: Thunder, 2-1

Thunder vs. Spurs Conference Finals Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs

• Game 1: Spurs, 122-115
• Game 2: Thunder, 122-113
• Game 3: Thunder, 123-108
• Game 4: Sunday, May 24, 8:00 p.m. at San Antonio
• Game 5: Tuesday, May 26, 8:30 p.m. at Oklahoma City
• Games 6-7: if necessary

Thunder vs. Spurs Prediction on Spread for Game 4 – 5/24/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Thunder vs. Spurs prediction on the spread for Sunday, May 24.

Lock in your Thunder vs. Spurs prediction on PrizePicks now.

• The Thunder are 46-47 this season against the spread. That includes a 7-4 ATS record in the postseason, which is third-best behind the Spurs and New York Knicks.
• The defending champs are slated to be underdogs for the second straight game. They're 3-2 ATS in that role this season, including Game 3. SGA didn't play in any of the previous four games. 
• The Thunder had the best defensive rating during the regular season (106.5), but they're only sixth among postseason teams through 11 games. On the offensive side, OKC has the best offensive rating at 123.9 while scoring the most PPG (120.7) and being second with a 49.4% field goal clip.
• The Spurs are 55-40-2 ATS. Those 55 covers are the most of any team in the league. 
• After going 4-1 straight up and ATS vs. them in the regular season, San Antonio has failed to cover in two of the three games against the Thunder in this series.
• As a favorite, the Spurs are 41-33-2 ATS. The 41 covers are third-most behind only the Thunder and Knicks. 
• The Spurs' bench has been outscored by 132 points in Games 1-3 of the Western Conference Finals.

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