Plans for Super Bowl parties are fully underway, with NBC and Peacock televising the Seattle Seahawks (16-3) vs. the New England Patriots (17-3) on Sunday, February 8 at 6:30 p.m. ET in Super Bowl LX.
Many will be focused on the festivities surrounding the event, including the Bad Bunny halftime show, but others will be hoping to find value on PrizePicks NFL board for Super Bowl LX.
With player projections bound to shift as fans make their picks, several Super Bowl player picks on PrizePicks could provide the best value right now, before the public is on them in the final days before Super Bowl LX.
Below, we’ll circle five Super Bowl picks to take before their projections move, including a special PrizePicks promo for the Super Bowl to lock in.
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Super Bowl LX Picks to Take Early on PrizePicks
Locking in your Super Bowl picks early is key to getting ahead of the movement on projections and getting the best number. For example, if the public is heavy on Kenneth Walker III's rushing yards, the projection will likely move up, especially in a game like the Super Bowl.
Getting your Super Bowl Lineup in now gives you access to projections that may not be available closer to kickoff. It's also a way to stay a step ahead of the final injury report by tracking practice reports leading up to the game.
According to this week’s injury report, Seahawks LT Charles Cross (foot), Patriots EDGE Harold Landry (knee), and LB Robert Spillane (ankle) were notable absences at practice.
Cross played through his foot injury in the NFC Championship. Landry posted only a 14.7% snap share in the Divisional Round and missed the AFC Championship, and Spillane suffered his injury in last week's conference championship game with a 22.4% snap rate.
Keep an eye on injuries, as they are bound to impact various picks and projections on PrizePicks. With that said, let’s dive into Super Bowl picks worth backing a week away from The Big Game.
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III vs. Patriots Projection: 74.5 Rushing Yards
- According to Pro Football Focus, Spillane carries a strong 85.8 rush defense grade and led the Patriots with 97 tackles in the regular season.
- If Spillane is out, the Seahawks could look to run the rock more often, and they already sport a 50.0% rush-play rate (second in NFL).
- New England allows 4.1 yards per rush attempt (10th) compared to 6.3 yards per passing attempt (fifth).
- Since Seahawks RB Zach Charbonnet suffered a season-ending knee injury, Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III has a 62.5% snap share in the playoffs, surpassing 46.8% from the regular season.
- Walker has averaged 89.0 rushing yards per game in the playoffs and 85.2 rushing yards per contest over his past five appearances.
Patriots QB Drake Maye – 0.5 Passing Yards – Max Discount
This pick is as simple as it gets. If Drake Maye throws for just one yard in Super Bowl LX vs. the Seahawks, his pass yards projection hits on PrizePicks. Click here to add the Drake Maye promo to your Lineup now!
PrizePicks is running a special promo for Super Bowl LX, dropping Maye’s projection all the way down to 0.5 passing yards with a Max Discount. That means one yard is all it takes to see green on this pick.
Lock in the ore on Maye 0.5 pass yards, pair it with at least one more pick, and you’re live for Super Bowl LX. The Max Discount will be available until the Super Bowl kicks off on Sunday, Feb. 8.
Don't have a PrizePicks account yet? No problem — you can get $50 just for signing up. Make your account now and use promo code PLAYBOOK at sign up to get $50 in Bonus Lineups instantly after your first $5 Lineup.
Seahawks QB Sam Darnold vs. Patriots Projection: 19.5 Pass Completions
- PrizePicks Team Picks lists the Seahawks as 5.5-point favorites. In Seattle’s last five one-score collisions, Seahawks QB Sam Darnold posted 22.8 pass completions per game.
- Seattle’s high rush-play rate has been inflated by its elite +12.1 average score margin (first), leading to positive game scripts with plenty of rushing attempts. However, the Patriots are a formidable opponent with a +9.9 average score margin (second).
- If Cross is active, Darnold should have more time in the pocket. ESPN ranks New England 19th in pass rush win rate, while the Seahawks are 12th in pass block win rate.
Seahawks Team Total: 25.5 Points
Seahawks team total is via PrizePicks Team Picks, available in 30 states. Picking Seahawks to score over 25.5 points currently pays out 1.81x on Team Picks, while under pays out 1.88x.
- Seattle has recorded 36.0 points per game (PPG) in the playoffs and 28.0 PPG over its last 10 games.
- According to Sumer Sports, the are Pats ceding -0.04 expected points added (EPA) per rushing attempt (tied for 13th).
- Walker, meanwhile, is on a roll with 4.7 yards per rushing attempt in the playoffs.
- According to Sharp Football Analysis, New England features man coverage at the ninth-highest rate.
- Darnold ranks third in completion percentage against man (65.7%) and sits 13th in catchable rate when facing the coverage, compared to 30th versus zone.
- Furthermore, the Patriots rank 23rd in opponent red-zone scoring rate allowed.
- With advantages in the run and passing games, the Seahawks could stay hot, further backed by an impressive 5.9 yards per play (sixth).
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Patriots QB Drake Maye vs. Seahawks Projection: 220.5 Passing Yards
- Patriots QB Drake Maye posted only 132.5 passing yards per game over his last two outings, but ugly winter conditions and ferocious defenses kept passing games in check.
- Santa Clara's weather forecast for Super Bowl LX is predicting low winds and temperatures in the 60s.
- The Seahawks feature zone coverage at the third-highest mark, and Maye sports a 74.5% completion percentage against zone (second).
- New England’s Wild Card Round opponent, the Chargers, finished with the second-highest zone coverage rate, and the Pats’ QB threw for 268 passing yards in the win.
- Backed by favorable weather, Maye’s projected 220.5 passing yards feel low, proven by his regular-season average of 258.5 passing yards per game.
Patriots TE Hunter Henry vs. Seahawks Projection: 38.5 Receiving Yards
- The Seahawks surrendered 1,080 receiving yards against tight ends in the regular season (sixth-most), per Pro Football Reference.
- According to PlayerProfiler, Henry totaled 87 targets (ninth), 443 routes run (ninth), and 710 air yards (sixth) in the regular season —all top 10 marks among tight ends this year.
- Similar to Maye’s low passing totals, the veteran tight end totaled a measly 8.5 receiving yards per game over the last two.
- He totaled 45.2 receiving yards per game in the regular season.
Make Seahawks vs. Patriots Super Bowl LX Picks on PrizePicks
Among our early Super Bowl picks for PrizePicks, Walker and Maye are two of the top projections to get ahead of the public on.
If Spillane is out, Walker’s rushing total could increase, especially as his role has expanded since Charbonnet's injury.
Additionally, Maye’s passing total comes in low due to a recent lack of production in tough conditions. However, the Pats’ MVP contender will play in favorable weather next weekend in the Super Bowl.
You can make Seahawks vs. Patriots picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money on Super Bowl LX. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, team totals, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued NFL picks, predictions, and news through Super Bowl LX.
