As the Western Conference playoff picture continues to take shape, two of its teams will duke it out on Wednesday night.
Despite going on the road for a 10:00 p.m. ET tip on ESPN, the San Antonio Spurs are whopping 14.5-point favorites over the hosting Golden State Warriors. Can the shorthanded Dubs make things close or even escape with an upset?
Below, we’ll break down our Spurs vs. Warriors prediction and picks for Wednesday night’s game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
It’s been nothing short of a tremendous year for the Spurs, who enter Wednesday’s play as the clear No. 2 seed out West.
San Antonio’s 57-18 record is a 23-win improvement over the 2024-25 campaign already, and head coach Mitch Johnson’s crew is 2.5 games back of the Oklahoma City Thunder for the top spot in the conference.
The Warriors, meanwhile, haven’t had things nearly as easy. Head coach Steve Kerr’s crew went 48-34 a season ago, qualifying for the top play-in spot come postseason time. While a play-in berth has been secured once again, it’s under a totally different context.
Golden State is below .500 as of Wednesday, sitting at 36-39 due to a slew of injuries and questionable roster construction. This team is 4-6 in its last 10, and only the eventual return of PG Stephen Curry can potentially save things.
This is the 193rd all-time regular-season meeting between the Spurs and Warriors. Golden State ripped off consecutive wins on November 12 and 14 of last year, but San Antonio won the last head-to-head clash on February 11.
Spurs vs. Warriors Spread, Over/Under
The Spurs enter Wednesday’s game as 14.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.09x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors are home underdogs with a 6.66x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: San Antonio Spurs -14.5
- Over/Under: 227.5
- Game Winner Payout: Spurs 1.09x | Warriors 6.66x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Spurs vs. Warriors Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Spurs vs. Warriors injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
- C Luke Kornet (knee): OUT
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- PG Stephen Curry (knee): OUT
- C Al Horford (calf): OUT
- G De’Anthony Melton (thumb): OUT
- SG Gary Payton II (knee): Questionable
- C Kristaps Porzingis (illness): OUT
- C Quentin Post (foot): OUT
- PF Gui Santos (pelvic): Questionable
Spurs vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread – 4/1/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Spurs vs. Warriors prediction on spread for Wednesday, April 1 on PrizePicks.
- The Spurs are 13-10-1 against the spread as road favorites, the 10th-best cover percentage (56.5%) in the sport.
- San Antonio’s offense is no juggernaut, but it does put up more points than all but two teams (119.4 PPG) while ranking seventh in shooting percentage (48.1%).
- On the other end, San Antonio holds opponents to the third-fewest points per shot (1.105) and the lowest ratio of free throws to field goal attempts (0.229).
- Golden State’s offense is scuffling without Curry, ranking 26th in rating (111.4) in the month of March via NBA Advanced Stats.
- The Warriors struggle on defense, surrendering the No. 23 shooting efficiency (47.8%).
Spurs vs. Warriors Picks for PrizePicks Today: 4/1/26
Here are three top Spurs vs. Warriors picks to target for Wednesday, April 1 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by C Victor Wembanyama, G Stephon Castle, and SG Brandin Podziemski.
Spurs C Victor Wembanyama vs. Warriors Projection: 38 Pts + Rebs
- In year No. 3, Wembanyama puts up 35.9 combined points and rebounds each night. In March, however, that figure rises to 38.8.
- The French MVP candidate has found his 3-point shot as of late, canning 37.5% of his tries on 6.9 attempts per game in his last 14.
- Per NBA Advanced Stats, Wembanyama ranks seventh among players with 50+ games logged in average rebound chances (17.2).
- The Warriors allow 52.7 boards per game, ranking 13th in the Association.
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Spurs G Stephon Castle vs. Warriors Projection: 30.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- The reigning NBA Rookie of the Year averages 29.1 points, rebounds, and assists. Since the All-Star break, that number is 28.8.
- Castle has steadily improved his efficiency from deep, seeing spikes from November (17.2%) to December (29.2%), then January (38.2%) to February (34.6%), and now March (42.3%).
- According to databallr, Castle’s 12.1% defensive rebounding rate puts him in the 89th percentile.
- Castle spends 33% of his time on-ball and racks up 11.6 assists per 100 possessions.
Warriors SG Brandin Podziemski vs. Spurs Projection: 28.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- In his third season, Podziemski produces 22.4 nightly PRA. That number is 28.1 in March, still below this projection.
- Per Fantasy Pros, the Spurs yield the fourth-fewest fantasy points on average to the SG position with 39.79.
- Podziemski’s 1.2% self-rebounding rate falls in the 15th-percentile threshold.
- Warriors teammates post poor shot quality on Podziemski’s assist chances, ranking in the 13th percentile.
Make Spurs vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
Spurs vs. Warriors picks for Wednesday night hoops aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily NBA action.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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