Tonight at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, the San Antonio Spurs (34-16) face the Dallas Mavericks (19-31). The game tips at 8:30 p.m. ET.
The Spurs come into this tilt having won six of their last nine. The Mavericks are on their worst stretch, having lost a season-worst five straight.
Let’s look at the Spurs vs. Mavericks prediction and spread. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.
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Spurs vs. Mavericks Prediction, Spread
The Spurs won the only matchup this season, 125-92 on October 22, 2025.
Spurs vs. Mavericks Over/Under, Spread
The Spurs enter this matchup as 8.5-point favorites, returning a 1.31x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Mavericks are home underdogs with a 3.12x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: San Antonio Spurs -8.5
- Over/Under: 230.5
- Game Winner Payout: Spurs 1.31x | Mavericks 1.61x
(Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change)
Spurs vs. Mavericks Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Spurs vs. Mavericks injury report for Thursday, via NBA.com.
Spurs Injury Report
- F Kelly Olynyk (foot) - OUT
- G Dylan Harper (ankle) - OUT
- F Jeremy Sochan (quadriceps) - OUT
- F Lindy Waters III (knee) - OUT
Mavericks Injury Report
- C-F Daniel Gafford (ankle) - Questionable
- F P.J. Washington (concussion) - OUT
Spurs vs. Mavericks Numbers to Know
Here are some facts and figures to get you set for Spurs vs. Mavericks tonight, including insights on our Spurs vs. Mavericks prediction.
- The Mavericks are 12-6 against the spread as home underdogs.
- The Spurs are 4-7-1 ATS as away favorites.
- According to Dunks and Threes, San Antonio is one of three teams that rank in the top ten in both adjusted offensive and defensive ratings.
- Dallas likes to play fast, ranking fifth in possessions per 48 minutes (102.2).
- Opponents tend to play slower against the Spurs, with the four-longest offense possession length (14.5 seconds).
- San Antonio ranks 14th in effective field percentage (54.6%).
- The Mavs rank fourth in opponents’ effective field goal percentage (52.6%)
Spurs vs. Mavericks NBA Player Picks
Mavericks SF Cooper Flagg and Spurs C-F Victor Wembanyama headline key PrizePicks player projections.
Mavericks SF Cooper Flagg vs. Spurs Projection: 41.5 PRA
- Flagg has improved dramatically since the beginning of the season. In his first 19 games, he averaged 15.7 points; in his last 23 games, he upped it to 23.7.
- The Rookie of the Year candidate has more than 50+ PRA in three straight.
- The Spurs allowed small forwards to go over their PRA total in five of their last eight games.
- San Antonio ranks third in points given up to small forwards. However, Boston ranks sixth in that category, and the former Duke guard scored 36 points against them on February 3, his third-highest total this season.
Spurs C-F Victor Wembanyama vs. Mavericks Projection: 33.5 Points+Rebounds
- The man they call the Alien sits 19th in the league in points (24.1) and fourth in rebounds (11.0).
- Wembanyama had a season-high 40 points along with 15 rebounds in the October 22 matchup against the Mavericks.
- Dallas is 29th in the league in points allowed to centers (24.5) and 26th in rebounds (15.4).
- Wemby has recorded a double-double in six of his last nine games.
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