Spurs vs. Magic Prediction, Picks: Franz Wagner Leads the Way

Orlando Magic F Franz Wagner reacts in an NBA Cup game against the Detroit Pistons.
AP Photo/Ryan Sun

With a six-game Tuesday slate in the books, the NBA returns with a whopping nine outings on Wednesday. Tonight’s Spurs vs. Magic matchup (7:00 p.m. ET) sees the Eastern Conference and Western Conference collide. 

As the 2025-26 campaign hits its quarter mark, both squads occupy projected playoff spots. A lot can change between now and April, however, which makes even inter-conference play critical. 

Below, we’ll break down a Spurs vs. Magic prediction and picks to consider for Wednesday night’s game. Use PrizePicks NBA to make player picks and win money if you’re right. 

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Spurs vs. Magic Prediction, Preview for Wednesday, 12/3

Wednesday marks the 74th time the Spurs and Magic will meet in the regular season. Although San Antonio boasts a 49-24 series lead, Orlando has rattled off four victories in a row. 

On the injury front, several players will miss Wednesday’s contest. Magic F Paolo Banchero (groin) and C Moritz Wagner (knee) are both out, as are Spurs C Victor Wembanyama (calf), G Stephon Castle (hip), and G Jordan McLaughlin (hamstring). 

The Spurs enter Wednesday’s game as 9.5-point road underdogs, returning a 3.22x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Magic are home favorites with a 1.31x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Orlando Magic -9.5
  • Total: 236.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Spurs 3.22x | Magic 1.31x

San Antonio Spurs Preview vs. Magic

Last season saw the Spurs experience a 12-win improvement over the year before, going 34-48 with Mitch Johnson taking over as head coach for most of the year. 

This year’s San Antonio squad is off to a roaring start, sitting at 14-6 through 20 games. Entering Wednesday’s play, they’re in a three-way tie for fourth place in the West. 

Even with their extensive injuries thus far, the Spurs’ offense remains effective. It ranks 10th in per-game scoring (119.2 points) and sixth in overall shooting efficiency (48.8%). 

San Antonio’s defense is also relatively stout, owning the league’s best fastbreak prevention (10.5 PPG) and the third-best unit at guarding the paint (43.2 PPG). 

Orlando Magic Preview vs. Spurs

After winning 47 games in 2023, the Magic took a step back last year at 41-41 but still made it to the Eastern Conference playoffs. They wound up losing to the Boston Celtics, 4-1, in the first round. 

Since a 1-4 start, Orlando is 12-4 and seems to be finding its footing. An offseason trade for SG Desmond Bane has hopes high for April and beyond. 

The Magic offense thrives primarily on running in fastbreak scenarios (19.0 PPG) and scoring in the paint (54.6 PPG), where they rank third in the NBA. 

Orlando’s defense remains respectable, sitting 10th in scoring (114.3 PPG) and fourth in opposing assist to turnover ratio (1.541).


Spurs vs. Magic NBA Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today

Here are three top Spurs vs. Magic picks to target on Wednesday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by PG De’Aaron Fox, F Franz Wagner, and SG Desmond Bane.

Spurs PG De’Aaron Fox vs. Magic Projection: 31.5 Pts + Asts

  • Since making his debut on Nov. 18, Fox is averaging 30.9 combined points and assists per game. In his last eight games, that figure is 33.3. 
  • Fox’s 121 offensive rating is the highest of his nine-year career, as is his 21.5 player efficiency rating. 
  • The former fifth overall pick’s 30.8% assist rate is his best since 2020 with the Sacramento Kings. 
  • Per FantasyPros, the Magic allow the second-most PPG to opposing PGs (29.43) and are fifth overall in per-outing fantasy scoring (52.98) yielded to the position. 
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Magic F Franz Wagner vs. Spurs Projection: 31.5 Pts + Rebs

  • Wagner averages 29.3 combined points and rebounds this season. In his last five games, that average rises to 30.2. 
  • The fifth-year man has fared better at home this year, shooting 49.4% in the confines of the Kia Center compared to 46.6% on the road.
  • Via databallr, Wagner’s 13.2% defensive rebounding rate puts him in the 60th percentile leaguewide. 
  • Wagner nets 10.1 rebound chances per game with a 62.9 rebound chance percentage.

Magic SG Desmond Bane vs. Spurs Projection: 33.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • Bane averages 28.3 points, rebounds, and assists per game but in his last eight outings, that PRA number rose to 34.4. 
  • Since Banchero’s absence started on Nov. 14, Bane’s usage rate increased from 22.4% to 26.2%.
  • According to NBARAPM, Bane’s 24 true shot attempts per 100 puts him in the 91st percentile.
  • Bane’s 10.5 potential assists per 100 rank in the 84th percentile.

Make NBA Picks on PrizePicks

Spurs vs. Magic isn’t the only avenue basketball fans have to make NBA picks. With PrizePicks, you can win real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. 

Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit.

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA coverage and analysis all season. 

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

Jordan Foote is a seasoned sports writer with years of experience covering the NFL, NBA and MLB for multiple outlets. He is a Baker University alumnus, earning his degree in Mass Media with an emphasis in sports journalism. Foote was born and raised in Kansas City, where he still resides to this day.

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